Small Craft Advisory 928, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 120008
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AST FRI NOV 11 2005

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-121500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1000 MB LOW NEAR KODIAK WILL WEAKEN TO 1010 MB 120 NM SOUTH OF
KODIAK SATURDAY EVENING THEN DISSIPATE SATURDAY NIGHT. 994 MB LOW 100
NM SOUTH IF SITKA WILL WEAKEN TO 1016 MB 80 NM SOUTHWEST OF SITKA
SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ120-121500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AST FRI NOV 11 2005

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 

$$

PKZ121-121500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AST FRI NOV 11 2005

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-121500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AST FRI NOV 11 2005

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-121500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AST FRI NOV 11 2005

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-121500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AST FRI NOV 11 2005

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-121500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AST FRI NOV 11 2005

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-121500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AST FRI NOV 11 2005

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-121500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AST FRI NOV 11 2005

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT EXCEPT NE 20 KT SOUTH OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS 3
FT EXCEPT 6 FT SOUTH OF KALGIN ISLAND. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-121500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AST FRI NOV 11 2005

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
130 PM AST THU NOV 10 2005

.DISCUSSION...
THERE IS NOT MUCH DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE ETA AND GFS SOLUTION THIS
MORNING.

UPPER AIR...THE MAIN UPPER LOW OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF OF ALASKA
WILL MOVE EAST AND WILL WEAKEN OVER SOUTHEAST ALASKA FRIDAY NIGHT.
ANOTHER DEVELOPING UPPER LOW NEAR GALENA WILL DROP SOUTH THROUGH THE
SOUTHWEST INTERIOR TONIGHT AND WILL STRENGTHEN AS IT MOVE OVER THE AK
PEN FRIDAY AND WILL DRIFT EAST INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF OF ALASKA
SATURDAY. SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL PERSIST OVER THE SOUTHWEST INTERIOR
THROUGH TONIGHT.

AT THE SURFACE...
THE MAIN LOW OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA WILL BEGIN TO SPLIT INTO TWO
SEPARATE LOWS TONIGHT. ONE WILL REMAIN OVER THE WESTERN GULF AND WILL
SLOWLY WEAKEN TO 1000 MB SATURDAY WHILE THE OTHER MOVES INTO
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FRIDAY AND WILL DISSIPATE FRIDAY NIGHT. THE RIDGE
OVER THE WESTERN BERING SEA WILL PERSIST THROUGH SATURDAY THEN WILL
WEAKEN A BIT OVER THE CENTRAL BERING SEA SUNDAY. AN AREA OF SNOW
SHOWERS WILL MOVE THROUGH PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND TONIGHT.

THE STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER EASTERN BERING SEA AND WESTERN
ALASKA WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN OVER THE TWO DAYS. GUSTY WINDS ALONG THE
SOUTHWEST COAST AND THROUGH CHANNELED TERRAIN ON THE ALASKA PENINSULA
AND THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS WILL GRADUAL DIMINISH THROUGH TONIGHT AND
SATURDAY. STRONG WINDS WILL PERSIST TONIGHT AND INTO FRIDAY MORNING.
GUSTY WINDS BLOWING THROUGH THE CHANNELED TERRAIN ALONG THE CENTRAL
GULF COAST ALSO SLOWLY DIMINISH TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. THE GUSTY WINDS
BLOWING THROUGH KODIAK WILL DIMINISH TONIGHT THOUGH THEY MAY CONTINUE
INTO FRIDAY AFTERNOON OVER THE SOUTH END OF THE ISLAND.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALES 132, 150, 155, 160, 176, 179, 180, 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

NM NOV 05