Small Craft Advisory 751, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 191146 CCA
CWFAER
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM ADT MON SEP 19 2005

CORRECTED AREA 121

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-200200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 992 MB LOW CENTER NEAR CAPE SUCKLING WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY
AND WEAKEN THROUGH WED MORNING.
$$

PKZ120-200200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM ADT MON SEP 19 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. WEST WIND 20 KT ALONG THE SOUTH PART
OF THE AREA. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY MORNING FOG. ISOLATED SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. WEST WIND 20 KT ALONG THE SOUTH PART
OF THE AREA. SEAS 8 FT. ISOLATED SHOWERS. PATCHY FOG LATE. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  
$$

PKZ121-200200-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM ADT MON SEP 19 2005

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.TONIGHT AND TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
$$

PKZ125-200200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM ADT MON SEP 19 2005

.TODAY...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
SHOWERS.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
$$

PKZ129-200200-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM ADT MON SEP 19 2005

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT OFF THE GLACIER. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
GUSTS TO 25 KT OFF THE GLACIER. SEAS 2 FT.  
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY MORNING FOG. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
$$

PKZ130-200200-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM ADT MON SEP 19 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT THIS MORNING. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TONIGHT THROUGH WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  
$$

PKZ132-200200-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM ADT MON SEP 19 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TONIGHT THROUGH WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
..THU...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  
$$

PKZ138-200200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM ADT MON SEP 19 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED AND THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
$$

PKZ140-200200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM ADT MON SEP 19 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. STRONGEST WIND S OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS 8 FT. 

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. STRONGEST WIND S OF KALGIN ISLAND. 
SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED AND THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
$$

PKZ141-200200-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM ADT MON SEP 19 2005

.TODAY...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT BECOMING W 20 KT BY NOON.
SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT. PATCHY MORNING FOG. 
.TONIGHT AND TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG LATE. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 191250 AAA
CWFAER
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
445 AM ADT MON SEP 19 2005

AMENDED AREAS 140 AND 141

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-200200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 992 MB LOW CENTER NEAR CAPE SUCKLING WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY
AND WEAKEN THROUGH WED MORNING.
$$

PKZ120-200200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM ADT MON SEP 19 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. WEST WIND 20 KT ALONG THE SOUTH PART
OF THE AREA. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY MORNING FOG. ISOLATED SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. WEST WIND 20 KT ALONG THE SOUTH PART
OF THE AREA. SEAS 8 FT. ISOLATED SHOWERS. PATCHY FOG LATE. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  
$$

PKZ121-200200-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM ADT MON SEP 19 2005

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.TONIGHT AND TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
$$

PKZ125-200200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM ADT MON SEP 19 2005

.TODAY...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
SHOWERS.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
$$

PKZ129-200200-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM ADT MON SEP 19 2005

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT OFF THE GLACIER. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
GUSTS TO 25 KT OFF THE GLACIER. SEAS 2 FT.  
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY MORNING FOG. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
$$

PKZ130-200200-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM ADT MON SEP 19 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT THIS MORNING. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TONIGHT THROUGH WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  
$$

PKZ132-200200-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM ADT MON SEP 19 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TONIGHT THROUGH WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
..THU...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  
$$

PKZ138-200200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM ADT MON SEP 19 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED AND THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
$$

PKZ140-200200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
445 AM ADT MON SEP 19 2005

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT S OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT S OF KALGIN ISLAND.  
SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED AND THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
$$

PKZ141-200200-
KACHEMAK BAY
445 AM ADT MON SEP 19 2005

.TODAY...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT BY NOON.
SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT. PATCHY MORNING FOG. 
.TONIGHT THROUGH TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG LATE
NIGHTS AND MORNINGS. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 PM ADT SUN SEP 18 2005

.DISCUSSION...
THE MODEL ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE POSITION OF THE MAJOR FEATURES
THROUGH TUE NIGHT.

AT 500 MB...
THE UPPER LOW SOUTH OF YAKUTAT WILL MOVE NORTH ALONG THE ALCAN BORDER
AND DISSIPATE NEAR EAGLE TONIGHT. THE OTHER UPPER LOW NEAR CAPE
ROMANZOF WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST THROUGH BRISTOL BAY MONDAY AND INTO THE
WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA MONDAY THEN WILL TURN EAST AND DISSIPATE INTO
A TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN GULF TUESDAY EVENING. A WEAK UPPER HIGH
OVER THE KOBUK VALLEY WILL MOVE INTO THE SUSITNA VALLEY MONDAY THEN
WEAKEN INTO AN UPPER RIDGE OVER THE COPPER RIVER BASIN TUESDAY. AN
UPPER RIDGE WILL BEGIN TO BUILD OVER THE BERING SEA AND CENTRAL
ALEUTIANS MONDAY AND MOVE INTO WESTERN ALASKA TUESDAY AND TUESDAY
NIGHT.

AT THE SURFACE...
A 986 MB LOW JUST SOUTHEAST OF YAKUTAT WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHERN
YUKON TERRITORY TONIGHT. A PORTION OF THE PARENT LOW WILL RETROGRADE
BACK TOWARD PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND TONIGHT AND WILL PERSIST IN THE AREA
THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON. SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL MOVE BACK INTO THE
CENTRAL GULF COAST AND PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND TONIGHT AND CONTINUE
THROUGH TUESDAY.

ELSEWHERE OVER SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA, A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDING
OUT OF THE YUKON TERRITORY WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA THROUGH MONDAY
THEN SWING SOUTH INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA AS A RIDGE MOVES INTO KODIAK
ISLAND AND THE SUSITNA VALLEY TUESDAY. LIFTED INDUCES SHOW WILL
REMAIN IN THE LOW RANGE OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS, SCATTERED SHOWERS CAN
BE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY.

SCATTERED SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER LOW WILL PASS THROUGH
KODIAK ISLAND LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

THE LOW NEAR BETHEL WILL DISSIPATE TONIGHT. A RIDGE OVER THE CENTRAL
BERING SEA MOVE INTO BRISTOL BAY AND THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA MONDAY NIGHT
AND INTO THE SOUTHWEST INTERIOR TUESDAY. THE SCATTERED SHOWERS OVER
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WILL DIMINISH TONIGHT. A STABLE STRATUS LAYER OFF
THE BERING SEA WILL MOVE OVER THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA COAST MONDAY AND
MAY SPREAD INTO PARTS OF THE BRISTOL BAY COAST MONDAY NIGHT.
OTHERWISE LOOK FOR IMPROVING CONDITIONS OVER THE INTERIOR MONDAY AND
TUESDAY.

A 1003 MB LOW OVER THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA WILL MOVE INTO THE
NORTHERN BERING SEA AND STRENGTHEN TO 993 MB MONDAY NIGHT. A 1005 MB
LOW NORTH OF JAPAN WILL MOVE TO 200 MILES NORTHWEST OF SHEMYA AND
STRENGTHEN TO 988 MB TUESDAY AFTERNOON. MORE RAIN AND GALE FORCE
WINDS WILL WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS AND WESTERN BERING
SEA MONDAY AND SPREAD INTO THE CENTRAL BERING AND CENTRAL ALEUTIANS
TUESDAY.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE 176.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

NM SEP 05