Small Craft Advisory 722, NWS Anchorage, AK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 AM ADT SAT SEP 10 2005

.DISCUSSION...
THE LOW RESPONSIBLE FOR YESTERDAYS WEATHER IN SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA IS
NOW QUICKLY MOVING EAST ALONG THE GULF COAST. THIS LOW WILL EXIT THE
AREA LATER THIS MORNING WITH JUST SOME LINGERING SHOWERS BY THIS
AFTERNOON. A SHORT WAVE RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE MAINLAND AS A VERY
DEEP LOW OVER THE BERING SEA (THE REMNANTS OF SUPER TYPHOON NADI)
MOVES ALMOST STRAIT NORTH TODAY AND TONIGHT. WEATHER FROM THIS LOW
WILL MOVE INTO SOUTHWEST ALASKA LATE TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY...AND THEN
EAST INTO THE SOUTH CENTRAL AREA SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY. ANOTHER
SLUG OF DECENT RAINFALL WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA AS THIS STORM
OBVIOUSLY HAS A TROPICAL BACKGROUND.

A BREAK IN THE ACTION EXPECTED TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AS THE LOW NOW
IN THE GULF WILL MOVE NORTH INTO THE ARCTIC OCEAN AND ANOTHER LOW
MOVES INTO THE BERING SEA WITH WEAK RIDGING OVER SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA
AGAIN. MORE RAIN EXPECTED TOWARD THE END OF THE WEEK AS WESTERLY FLOW
BRINGS IN MORE MOISTURE.

WEATHER PICTURE NOT SO CLEAR FOR NEXT WEEKEND AS MODELS BEGIN TO
DIVERGE...BUT MILD TEMPERATURES AND A CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION LOOKS
LIKE A NICE COMPROMISE AS THE MEAN LOW POSITION REMAINS IN THE BERING
SEA.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...FLOOD WATCH FOR WILLOW CREEK IN ZONE 145.
MARINE...GALE WARNING 165 170 171 172 175 176 179 180 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

LUDWIG SEP 05