Small Craft Advisory 699, NWS Anchorage, AK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 PM ADT FRI SEP 2 2005

.DISCUSSION...
THE MODELS HAVE SLOWLY THE PROGRESS OF THE FRONT FROM THE PREVIOUS
RUNS AND RAIN IS NOT EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE SUSITNA VALLEY AND
KENAI PENINSULA UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING. OTHERWISE, THE BOTH MESA ETA
AND GFS ARE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT.

THE 500 MB RIDGE OVER KODIAK ISLAND, THE KENAI PENINSULA AND THE
COPPER RIVER BASIN WILL FLATTEN AND MOVE EAST INTO EASTERN GULF OF
ALASKA AND ALONG THE ALCAN BORDER SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THE CLOUDS OVER
THE COPPER RIVER BASIN ARE EXPECTED TO CLEAR TONIGHT WITH SOME FOG
FORMING TOWARD MORNING.

THE LOW OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA WILL MOVE TO NEAR KUSKOKWIM
BAY SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND TO NEAR KODIAK ISLAND AND WEAKEN TO 1000
MB SUNDAY. THE WEATHER FRONT OVER THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND BRISTOL BAY

WILL MOVE THOUGH THE REST OF SOUTHWEST ALASKA TONIGHT AND MOVE INTO
THE SUSITNA VALLEY AND KENAI PENINSULA SATURDAY.

MODEL STILL INDICATE A STRONG BAND OF WINDS ALONG THE BACK SIDE OF
THE BERING SEA LOW MOVING INTO THE EASTERN BERING SEA AND EASTERN
ALEUTIANS TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. THE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH ON
SUNDAY.

A 991 MB LOW OVER THE SEA OF OHKOTSK WILL MOVE TO 400 MILES NORTHWEST
OF SHEMYA SUNDAY.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALES 155, 170, 171, 172, 179, 180, 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

NM SEP 05