Small Craft Advisory 685, NWS Anchorage, AK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 AM ADT SUN AUG 28 2005

.DISCUSSION...PRECIP SPREADING FAST OVER SOUTHCENTRAL THIS MORNING.
RAIN AND FOG ALL NIGHT FOR WESTERN ZONES. SATELLITE SHOWS FRONT
STRETCHING FROM PAMH TO ADAK AND MOVING FASTER THAN MODELS HAD
EXPECTED. TONIGHTS MODELS HAVE THE LONG WAVE ONCE AGAIN DIGGING OVER
AK THROUGH MID WEEK. THE COLD AIR COMING DOWN BEHIND THE WAVE HAS
RETURNED AND IS A LITTLE STRONGER THAN ON RUNS 48 HOURS AGO. THIS
WOBBLE IN THE MODEL SOLUTIONS IS NOT UNCOMMON..OR RATHER COMMON AS WE
START INTO THE CHANGE OF SEASONS.  SEEMS THE MODELS REALLY DONT WANT
TO BRING THAT COLD AIR IN...BUT EVENTUALLY ALASKA FALL WEATHER WINS
OUT.  COLDER TEMPS WILL MOVE INTO WESTERN MAINLAND ZONES WEDNESDAY
MORNING AND TEASE SOUTHCENTRAL ZONES THURSDAY MORNING. THE
SIGNIFICANT COLD AIR STILL WANTS TO STAY BEHIND THE ALASKA AND
ALEUTIAN RANGES. COVER THOSE TOMATOES AND PICK THE SUMMER SQUASHES.
WITH THE LOW THURSDAY MORNING ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST AND THE COLD
AIR BEHIND THE MOUNTAINS THERE SHOULD BE QUITE STRONG GUSTY WINDS ON
THIS SIDE OF THE RANGES. LOOKING WAY OUT TO NEXT WEEKEND THE 850 ZERO
LINE FINALLY DIPS OVER ANCHORAGE...HIGHER ELEVATIONS MIGHT SEE SOME
T-DUST BUT NOT LASTING AS TEMPS WARM AGAIN AHEAD OF THE NEXT SYSTEM
AND THE PATTERN CONTINUES.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALES 132 150 155 160 165 180 185 179.

AFC AUG 05