Small Craft Advisory 619, NWS Anchorage, AK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 AM ADT TUE AUG 9 2005

.DISCUSSION...STILL NOT MUCH CHANGE FROM PREVIOUS DISCUSSIONS. LARGE
RIDGE OVER THE STATE REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY IN THE UPPER LEVELS
INTO THE WEEKEND. THE RIDGE DOES BEGIN TO SLIGHTLY WEAKEN AS WE
APPROACH THE WEEKEND BUT IT WILL STILL BE THE DOMINANT FEATURE OVER
THE STATE.

THE ONLY CHANGE FROM PREVIOUS THOUGHT IS THAT THE FRONT STRETCHING
FROM THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS NORTHWARD THROUGH NUNIVAK ISLAND HAS
PUSHED A LITTLE FURTHER EAST THAN IT LOOKED EARLIER. THIS WILL PUSH
SOME CLOUDS AND A CHANCE OF RAIN INTO THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA AS FAR EAST
AS BETHEL. IN SPITE OF THIS THE FRONT IS LOSING STRENGTH AND SHOULD
DISSIPATE BY FRIDAY.

MARINE STRATUS CONTINUES TO PLAGUE THE NORTH GULF COAST. THIS WILL
PERSIST UNDER THE RIDGE INTO THE WEEKEND.

SMOKE FROM FIRES IN THE INTERIOR SEEN ON THE VISIBLE SATELLITE. ONLY
AREA IN THE ANCHORAGE FORECAST AREA THAT WILL BE EFFECTED THE NEXT
DAY OR SO FROM THESE FIRES IS MCGRATH. THE SMOKE IS HEADING NORTH AND
THEN CURVING EAST ALONG THE SOUTHERN BROOKS RANGE. THIS PATTERN
SHOULD PERSIST WITH THE UPPER HIGH STATIONARY.

UPPER LEVEL LOW CURRENTLY OVER KAMCHATKA WILL MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD AND
BE OVER KISKA SATURDAY. THIS LOW WILL BRING SOME RAIN TO THE WESTERN
AND CENTRAL ALEUTIANS LATER THIS WEEK BUT NOT HAVE MUCH IMPACT ON THE
REST OF THE FORECAST AREA.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE 176 180.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

EZ AUG 05