Small Craft Advisory 394, NWS Anchorage, AK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
1200 PM ADT SUN MAY 8 2005

.DISCUSSION...MODEL SOLUTIONS REASONABLE. OVERALL FORECAST TREND OVER
THE LOW PRESSURE CENTER SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS HANDLED BEST BY THE
GFS MODEL.

EAST...HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO DOMINATE MUCH OF THE AREA
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS SHOULD CONTINUE RELATIVELY DRY
CONDITIONS AND FAIR SKIES. AFTERNOON RH VALUES WILL CONTINUE TO DIP
INTO THE TEENS AND RECOVER OVERNIGHT. EXPECT AFTERNOON SEA BREEZES AS
A RULE. PATCHY FOG DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS LIKELY TO
CONTINUE...ESPECIALLY ALONG COASTAL LOCALS.

WEST...
WEAK THERMAL TROUGH CONTINUES OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA. PAMC SOUNDING
THIS MORNING WAS CONDITIONALLY UNSTABLE...HOWEVER WAS FAIRLY DRY IN
THE LOWER LAYERS. EXPECT SHOWERS FAVORABLE THIS EVENING AS REMNANTS
OF MOISTURE WITH OLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVES NORTH. EXPECT COASTAL FOG
TO AGAIN DEVELOP TONIGHT WITH FAIRLY WEAK GRADIENTS. LOW PRESSURE
CENTER SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN WILL REMAIN
QUASI-STATIONARY AND SLOWLY WEAKEN OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
EXPECT GALES OVER THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND AK PEN.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALES: 5B AND 12B.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

RMC MAY 05