Small Craft Advisory 392, NWS Anchorage, AK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
1200 PM ADT SAT MAY 7 2005

.DISCUSSION...NCEP/UKMET MODEL INITIALIZATIONS REASONABLE. ALL SEEM
TO HAVE THE GENERAL FOREAST TREND...HOWEVER THE AVN/GFS APPEAR TO
HAVE A BETTER HANDLE ON SURFACE LOW APPROACHING THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN.

EAST
HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUE ITS HOLD OVER MUCH OF THE GULF AND
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. SO EXPECT GENERALLY
FAIR SKIES WITH AFTERNOON AND EVENING COASTAL SEA BREEZES. INLAND
AREAS WILL WARM UP AND REMAIN DRY OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. RAIN
ASSOCIATED WITH WEAKENING FRONTAL TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF
ALASKA SHOULD TAPPER OFF THROUGH TODAY. LOWER CLOUDS TO EAST OF
FRONTAL ZONE SHOULD HOLD CLOUD COVER OVER KODIAK ISLAND THROUGH
TONIGHT WITH BREAKS ON SUNDAY.

WEST...WEAKENING FRONTAL ZONE EXTENDING ACROSS BRISTOL BAY AND THE
DELTA IS PRODUCING AREAS OF LIGHT RAIN/SHOWERS. EXPECT FRONTAL ZONE
TO CONTINUE TO THIN THROUGH TODAY AND DISSIPATE TONIGHT. HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND THROUGH MONDAY.
DEVELOPING LOW SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS MOVES SOUTH OF THE EASTERN
ALEUTIANS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND BECOMES STATIONARY AND SLOWLY
INTENSIFIES. EXPECT GALES SHOULD MOVE INTO THE ALEUTIAN MARINE AREAS
TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. HIGHEST WINDS WILL INITIALLY BE ON THE PACIFIC
SIDE.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE 12A(PACIFIC SIDE) AND 12B.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

RMC MAY 05