Small Craft Advisory 214, NWS Anchorage, AK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 PM AST THU MAR 10 2005

.DISCUSSION...
THIS MORNINGS MODEL HAVE VERY SIMILAR SOLUTIONS THOUGH I PREFER THE
NAM MODEL OVER THE EASTERN DOMAIN. THE GFS OR THE NAM IS ADEQUATE FOR
THE WESTERN DOMAIN.

A 970 MB LOW JUST SOUTH OF THE KENAI PENINSULA WILL MOVE INTO THE
KUSKOKWIM VALLEY AND DISSIPATE TONIGHT. A 968 MB LOW 60 MILES SOUTH
OF ADAK WILL MOVE TO 150 MILES EAST OF ADAK AND WEAKEN TO 979 MB
FRIDAY AFTERNOON THEN MOVE TO 100 MILES NORTH OF THE PRIBILOFS AND
WEAKEN TO 1003 MB SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC WILL MOVE INTO SOUTHEAST
ALASKA WITH A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDING INTO THE CENTRAL
INTERIOR SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

PART OF THE OCCLUDED FRONT OVER THE KENAI PENINSULA WILL ALSO MOVE
INTO PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND BY LATE AFTERNOON THEN DISSIPATE OVER THE
SUSITNA VALLEY TONIGHT.

RAIN OVER THE KENAI PENINSULA, MATANUSKA VALLEY AND PRINCE WILLIAM
SOUND WILL BECOME SHOWERS THIS EVENING. RAIN AND SNOW WILL MOVE INTO
THE SUSITNA VALLEY AND COPPER RIVER BASIN TONIGHT THEN BECOME
SCATTERED SHOWERS BY FRIDAY MORNING.

THE FLOW OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA WILL STAY MOSTLY FROM THE SOUTH
FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY WITH AREAS OF RAIN MAINLY ALONG THE SOUTH
SIDE OF TERRAIN.

AREAS OF VERY GUSTY WINDS BLOWING OUT OF THE MOUNTAIN PASSES OVER THE
KENAI PENINSULA WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH BY LATE EVENING.

SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL PERSIST OVER THE ALEUTIANS THROUGH FRIDAY
NIGHT.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...STORM...2B, 3A, 3C
         GALE...2C, 3B, 4, 4A, 5AB, 12A, 13B, 14.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

NM MAR 05