Small Craft Advisory 181, NWS Anchorage, AK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION SOUTHWEST ALASKA
1200 PM AST SAT FEB 26 2005

.DISCUSSION...GFS/UMKET OVERALL INITIALIZED WELL AND HAVE REASONABLE
FORECAST SOLUTIONS. THE GFS WILL BE USED WITH SOME ADJUSTMENT IN
FORECAST PACKAGES. UPPER LOW NEAR KODIAK WILL LIFT NORTH TONIGHT AND
SUNDAY AS RIDGE BUILDS SOME TO WEST. WEAK LOW PRESSURE OVER THE NORTH
GULF SHOULD FOLLOW SUIT. THE MORE DOMINATE OF THE LOW CENTERS
APPROACHING THE NORTH GULF THIS MORNING SHOULD WEAKEN AS IT TRACKS
INTO SOUTHCENTRAL TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. PRECIPITATION TODAY SHOULD HOLD
MAINLY ALONG COASTS...PROB WILL BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD AND FAIRLY
WEAK TONIGHT. WEAK INVERTED TROUGH WILL HOLD OVER MUCH OF THE GULF OF
ALASKA/SOUTHCENTRAL INTO MONDAY.

OUT WEST...WEAK RIDGE WITH GENERAL OFFSHORE FLOW OVER THE SOUTHWEST
MAINLAND SHOULD KEEP THE REGION UNDER GENERAL DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH
MONDAY. AREA OF CONCERN WILL BE POCKETS OF STRATUS AND FOG...MAINLY
ALONG COASTS. 960S MB LOW WELL SOUTH OF ADAK IS MOVING RAPIDLY EAST
UNDER STRONG UPPER JET. GALES OVER THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS WILL MOVE TO
THE EAST ALEUTIANS THIS AFTERNOON...THEN END OVERNIGHT. NEXT IN A
SERIES OF LOWS AROUND 40N 155E THIS MORNING MOVES TO NEAR THE WESTERN
ALEUTIANS MON IN THE 970S. FRONTAL TROUGH SHOULD STRETCH E-SE AS
TRIPLE POINT DEVELOPS ALONG BOUNDARY AND TRACKS SOUTH OF THE CHAIN.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALES 12A/B(DIMINISHING) AND 13A/B.

RMC FEB 05