Small Craft Advisory 117, NWS Anchorage, AK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
500 PM AST SAT FEB 5 2005

.DISCUSSION...
THE CURRENT SET OF MODELS ARE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH SUNDAY
NIGHT BUT BEGIN TO HAVE DIVERGENT SOLUTIONS MONDAY AND TUESDAY. IT
APPEARS THAT THE MESO ETA HAS THE BETTER SOLUTION.

A 964 MB LOW 60 MILES SOUTH OF ADAK WILL MOVE TO 200 MILES NORTH OF
ADAK AND WEAKEN TO 971 MB SUNDAY AFTERNOON THEN BECOME NEARLY
STATIONARY AND WEAKEN TO 976 MB MONDAY AFTERNOON.

THE WEATHER FRONT OVER THE PRIBILOFS AND THROUGH UNIMAK ISLAND WILL
MOVE NORTHEAST THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA COAST AND CENTRAL BRISTOL BAY LATE
TONIGHT AND INTO THE YUKON DELTA, KUSKOKWIM VALLEY AND THE KENAI
PENINSULA SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND WILL DISSIAPTE OVER THE SUSITNA VALLEY
AND PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND SUNDAY EVENING.

A WEAK 1002 MB LOW WILL DEVELOP JUST EAST OF KODIAK CITY AND
DISSIPATE SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND SUNDAY NIGHT.

A 992 MB LOW 600 MILES SOUTH OF ADAK SUNDAY AFTERNOON WILL MOVE TO
250 MILES SOUTH OF COLD BAY AND STRENGTHEN TO 982 MB MONDAY
AFTERNOON.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...STORM...12B, 13B, 14
         GALE...3ABC, 4, 5AB, 6AB, 8, 12A, 15.

NM FEB 05