Small Craft Advisory 115, NWS Anchorage, AK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA
500 PM AST FRI FEB 4 2005

.DISCUSSION...
THE GFS AND MESO ETA ARE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH SUNDAY
AFTERNOON THOUGH IT LOOKS LIKE THE MESO ETA HAS A BETTER SOLUTION
OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY.

A WEAKENING WEATHER FRONT OVER THE PRIBILOFS AND EASTERN ALEUTIANS
WILL MOVE NORTHEAST AND DISSIPATE OVER ST. MATTHEW ISLAND AND THE
ALASKA PENINSULA TONIGHT.

A 962 MB LOW 660 MILES SOUTH OF AMCHITKA WILL MOVE TO 300 MILES SOUTH
OF AMCHITKA AND WILL STRENGTHEN TO 956 MB FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTH TO 80 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ADAK AND WEAKEN TO
966 MB SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THE LOW WILL BECOMING NEARLY STATIONARY
AND DRIFT TO 100 MILES WEST OF ADAK AND WEAKEN TO 966 MB SUNDAY
AFTERNOON.

STORM FORCE WINDS WILL MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL ALEUTIAN AND MODERATE TO
MAX GALE FORCE WINDS OVER THE REST OF THE ALEUTIANS TONIGHT.

A 1003 MB LOW 300 MILES SOUTH OF COLD BAY WILL MOVE EAST 120 MILES
SOUTH OF QUEEN CHARLOTTE ISLAND AND WEAKEN TO 1007 MB SATURDAY
AFTERNOON.

A RIDGE OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA BUILD INTO WESTERN GULF OF
ALASKA TONIGHT AND WILL DISSIPATE OVER THE EASTERN GULF SATURDAY
NIGHT.

A 1006 MB LOW WILL DEVELOP SOUTH OF KODIAK ISLAND SATURDAY NIGHT AND
WILL MOVE TO 60 MILES EAST OF KODIAK CITY AND STRENGTHEN TO 1003 MB
SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...STORM 3A..12B.
         GALE 5AB..6AB..8..12A..13AB..14..15.

NM FEB 05