Small Craft Advisory 1025, NWS Anchorage, AK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
130 PM AST WED DEC 7 2005

.DISCUSSION...VERY LARGE 945 MB LOW ABOUT 50 NM NORTH OF ATTKA HAS
NOTHING BUT MILD SOUTHRLY GRADIENT EAST FROM THIS CENTER TO THE
PANHANDLE. FRONT NOW ALONG 150W AND NW ACROSS THE BARROEN ISLANDS AND
SOUTHERN KUSKOKWIM VALLEY WILL CONTINUE EASTWARD ACROSS THE GULF THIS
EVENING. ETA/GFS SHOW A FAIR AMOUNT OF AGREEMENT WITH THIS STORM AS
IT MOVES TO THE SEWARD PENINSULA FRI MORNING. WITH THE LOW STAYING TO
THE WEST AND TRACKING NORTHWARD MILD AND SOMEWHAT MOIST SOUTHRLY
WINDS KEEP CONDITIONS CLOUDY WITH AREAS OF RAIN/SNOW OR A MIX ALONG
WITH LOCALLY STRONG GUSTY WINDS THROUGH THURSDAY.

GOES SATELITE IMAGRY SHOWS WHAT APEARS TO BE MORE OF A DEVELOPMENT
SOUTH OF KODIAK LATE THIS MORNING THAN WHAT MODELS INDICATE..WHICH
MAKES FOR A DIFFICULT WIND FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRL ALASKA THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ONCE THIS WAVES MOVES INLAND THIS EVENING AND
PRESSURE FALLS OVER THE INTERIOR STRONGER WINDS ALL AREAS ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN INTERIOR WILL RANGE FROM SOUTHEAST TO SOUTHWEST WHICH WILL
KEEP MANY AREAS AT OR ABOVE FREEZING THROUGHTOUT THE NIGHT.

WILL LET CURRENT WIND WARNINGS AND HEADLINES RIDE. PATTERN LOOKS GOOD
AND SUPPORTS THE HEAVY SNOW WARNING OUT FOR THE SUSITNA VALLEY WEST
OF THE PARKS HIGHWAY FOR AREAS AT 800 FT AND HIGHER. WITH 1/2 MILE
AND SNOW AT CHULITNA AT NOON..THE DRIVE NORTH FROM TRAPPER CREEK IS
PROBABLY PRETTY DIFFICULT.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...HIGH WIND WARNINGS ZONES 101 AND 125. HEAVY SNOW WARNING FOR
ZONE 145 WEST OF THE PARKS HIGHWAY.
MARINE...STORM AREAS 120 AND 130.

PERCY DEC 05

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1049 AM AST WED DEC 07 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0820 AM     HIGH SUST WINDS  MCHUGH CREEK RECREATION 61.02N 149.73W
12/07/2005  0 MPH                               AK   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            79 MPH WIND GUST

&&

DPERCY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
137 PM AST WED DEC 07 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0128 PM     SNOW             WNW TRAPPER CREEK       62.24N 150.42W
12/07/2005  0.0 INCH                            AK   PUBLIC

            BOB QUAINTANCE AT MILE 17.5 PETERSVILLE RD REPORTS OVER 1
            FT OF SNOW LAST 24 HRS. STILL SNOWING HARD AND MAY GET
            ANOTHER FT BY TONIGHT. TEMP 33 AT 1100FT HEAVY RAIN IN
            TOWARD TRAPPER CREEK.

0128 PM     SNOW             18 WNW TRAPPER CREEK    62.34N 150.93W
12/07/2005  12.0 INCH                           AK   PUBLIC

            AT MILE 17.5 PETERSVILLE RD. OVER 1FT OF SNOW IN LAST 24
            HOURS. STILL SNOWING HARD. MAY GET ANOTHER FT BY TONIGHT
            IF THE RATE HOLDS UP. 33F AT 1100FT. HEAVY RAIN REPORTED
            IN TOWARD TRAPPER CREEK.

&&

DPERCY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
145 PM AST WED DEC 07 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0143 PM     HIGH SUST WINDS  10 SE ANCHORAGE         61.08N 148.97W
12/07/2005  84 MPH                              AK   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            MCHUGH CREEK WIND GUST OF 84 MPH

&&

DPERCY