Gale Warning 928, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 130013
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AST SAT NOV 12 2005

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-131500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE GULF WILL DISSIPATE SUNDAY. A
996 MB LOW DEVELOPING 1000 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK SUNDAY WILL MOVE TO 450
NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND MONDAY AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ120-131500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AST SAT NOV 12 2005

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-131500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AST SAT NOV 12 2005

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N WIND 25 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-131500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AST SAT NOV 12 2005

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT WITH STRONGER GUSTS 35 KT OUT OF
NORTHERN BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-131500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AST SAT NOV 12 2005

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT.  
.MON NIGHT...BECOMING W WIND 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-131500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AST SAT NOV 12 2005

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-131500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AST SAT NOV 12 2005

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-131500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AST SAT NOV 12 2005

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-131500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AST SAT NOV 12 2005

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 10 KT EXCEPT E WIND 30 KT SOUTH OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEA 3
FT EXCEPT SEAS 7 FT SOUTH OF KALGIN ISLAND. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-131500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AST SAT NOV 12 2005

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
400 AM AST SAT NOV 12 2005

.DISCUSSION...

H517 LOW ANCHORED OVER SOUTHERN BRISTOL BAY WEAKENS TO H533 SOUTH OF
THE ALASKA PENINSULA SUNDAY NIGHT. H559 LOW PERSISTS OVER EASTERN
RUSSIA. NORTHERLY UPPER LEVEL FLOW ABOVE THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL
BERING SEA WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH 60 HOURS.

AT THE SURFACE. WEAK COMPLEX LOW PRESSURE OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA.
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE BERING SEA. GUSTY NORTH WINDS THROUGH
CHANNELED AREAS AND COLD ADVECTION SHOWERS EXTEND ACROSS THE BERING
SEA...ALEUTIAN CHAIN...ALASKA PENINSULA...AND KODIAK ISLAND.
PATCHY CLOUDS AND FLURRIES ELSEWHERE. LITTLE CHANGE ANTICIPATED IN
THIS PATTERN THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT.

SIGNIFICANT OCCLUDED FRONT IN THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC APPROACHES THE
WESTERN ALEUTIANS SUNDAY NIGHT BUT IS NOT EXPECTED TO ADVANCE INTO
THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN DUE TO THE BLOCKING ACTION OF THE UPPER LEVEL
HIGH.

MODEATE LOW PROGGED TO MOVE INTO THE EASTERN GULF MONDAY. THIS
SHOULD ENHANCE OFFSHORE FLOW ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA.

NEXT SIGNIFICANT STORM SHOULD BE A MODERATE LOW PROGGED TO DEVELOP
IN THE NORTH PACIFIC ALONG LAT 170 MON AFTERNOON. THE LOW
IS EXPECTED TO QUICKLY DEEPEN AND MOVE INTO BRISTOL BAY BY THU
MORNING.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE
MARINE...NONE
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

ASB NOV 05