Gale Warning 848, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 241627 AAB
CWFALU

SOUTHWEST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
830 AM ADT MON OCT 24 2005

UPDATED ZONE 180

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-250200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS WILL MOVE TO THE
EASTERN ALEUTIANS.  A WEATHER FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM OVER THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN
ALEUTIANS MONDAY MORNING AND MOVE TO THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS BY TUESDAY
MORNING.  IT WILL WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE ON WEDNESDAY.

$$

PKZ150-250200-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM ADT MON OCT 24 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-250200-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM ADT MON OCT 24 2005

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-250200-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
730 AM ADT MON OCT 24 2005

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT.

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-250200-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM ADT MON OCT 24 2005

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
16 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-250200-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
830 AM ADT MON OCT 24 2005

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-250200-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
730 AM ADT MON OCT 24 2005

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15
FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT ON THE PACIFIC SIDE. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14 FT
SUBSIDING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT BERING SIDE. SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO
5 FT PACIFIC SIDE. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-250200-
UNALASKA BAY
730 AM ADT MON OCT 24 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8
FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-250200-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
730 AM ADT MON OCT 24 2005

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND
SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 27 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-250200-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM ADT MON OCT 24 2005

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 45 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 55 KT. SEAS 31 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-250200-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
730 AM ADT MON OCT 24 2005

...STORM WARNING THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...SE WIND 50 KT BECOMING SW WIND 40 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 16
FT. PATCHY FOG. SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 26 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-250200-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
730 AM ADT MON OCT 24 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W OF ST MATTHEW...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 25 KT IN
THE AFTERNOON. E OF ST MATTHEW ISLAND...NW WIND 30 KT BECOMING
VARIABLE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TONIGHT AND TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED AND THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-250200-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM ADT MON OCT 24 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 11 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 242332
CWFALU

SOUTHWEST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM ADT MON OCT 24 2005

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-251400-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 984 MB LOW 350 NM NW OF SHEMYA WILL DISSIPATE AS A FRONT MOVES INTO
THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS MON NIGHT. A 1003 MB LOW WILL DEVELOP 125 NM SE
OF DUTCH HARBOR ALONG THE FRONT TUE AFTERNOON THEN DISSIPATE. ANOTHER
984 MB LOW WILL DEVELOP 575 NM NW OF SHEMYA TUE AFTERNOON AND MOVE TO
200 NM NW OF SHEMYA WED AFTERNOON AT 980 MB. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
REMAIN OVER THE EASTERN ALEUTIAN CHAIN.
$$

PKZ150-251400-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM ADT MON OCT 24 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-251400-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM ADT MON OCT 24 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-251400-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM ADT MON OCT 24 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-251400-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM ADT MON OCT 24 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-251400-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM ADT MON OCT 24 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-251400-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM ADT MON OCT 24 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE WIND 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-251400-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM ADT MON OCT 24 2005

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-251400-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM ADT MON OCT 24 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT.
RAIN.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-251400-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM ADT MON OCT 24 2005

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-251400-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM ADT MON OCT 24 2005

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14 FT.
PATCHY FOG. SHOWERS. 
.WED...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-251400-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM ADT MON OCT 24 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO E WIND 25 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-251400-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM ADT MON OCT 24 2005

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 AM ADT MON OCT 24 2005

.DISCUSSION...

THE UPPER LEVEL LOW HAS MOVED FROM THE NORTHERN BERING AND IS NOW STATIONED
OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA.  IN ITS PLACE A RIDGE IS BUILDING OVER THE CENTRAL
BERING.  THE RIDGE CONTINUES TO PUSH COLD AIR INTO THE LOW IN THE GULF AND A
170 KT JET MAX IS MOVING INTO THE BASE OF THE TROUGH.  THESE FACTORS COMBINED
ARE ENOUGH DYNAMICS TO CONTINUE TO FEED THE LOW EVEN THOUGH IT HAS BECOME
VERTICALLY STACKED.  COLD AIR MOVING DOWN FROM SIBERIA AND RUSSIA OVER THE
WARM WATER OF THE GULF IS MAKING FOR VERY UNSTABLE CONDITIONS OVER THE
GULF...CAUSING ISOLATED LATE SEASON THUNDERSTORMS.  WEST OF THE RIDGE
BUILDING OVER THE ALEUTIANS A NEW LOW IS MOVING UP THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA.
THIS LOW WILL MOVE AN ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT INTO THE FORECAST AREA BUT THE
JET SUPPORT ALOFT IS TOO WEAK TO BREAK DOWN THE RIDGE.  THE ASSOCIATED FRONT
WILL EVENTUALLY SHEAR OUT OVER THE ALEUTIANS AS IT BECOMES SEPARATED FROM THE
LOW AND SHEARS APART.

IN THE EAST...AS MENTIONED CONDITIONS ARE STILL UNSTABLE ESPECIALLY IN THE
MARINE ZONES.  WINDS ARE NOT STRONG AS THE LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS DOMINATING
MOST OF THE MARINES AND THE GRADIENT HAS WEAKENED SIGNIFICANTLY...HOWEVER THE
SHOWERS WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES AND ISOLATED THUNDERSHOWERS OVER THE WATER ARE
EXPECTED AGAIN THROUGH THE AM AS TEMPERATURES ARE STILL COLD ALOFT.  A FEW
SHOWERS ARE MAKING IT ONSHORE BUT FOR THE MOST PART THE EAST ZONE WILL BE
SHELTERED BY THE TERRAIN.  EXPECT MORNING FOG IN AREAS THAT CLEAR OUT
OVERNIGHT.

OUT WEST...A FEW SHORTWAVES MOVING SOUTHWARD OVER THE MAINLAND ARE BRINGING
SNOWSHOWERS TO THE KUSKOKWIM AND BRISTOL BAY REGIONS.  AS THE SURFACE LOW
MOVES EASTWARD THESE SHOULD DIMINISH.  RESIDUAL LOW CLOUDS WILL REMAIN
ESPECIALLY IN COASTAL AREAS BUT CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE THROUGHOUT THE DAY.
THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAN EXPECT DIMINISHING WINDS AS THE RIDGE
AXIS MOVES OVERHEAD...HOWEVER WITH STABLE CONDITIONS COMES THE LOW STRATUS.
IN THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS THE FRONT IS SLOWLY MOVING EASTWARD BRINGING WARMER
TEMPERATURES RAIN AND WIND.

MODEL DISCUSSION...GFS AND ETA ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT FOR THE FIRST 36HRS.  AT
THAT POINT THE GFS AND ETA VARY SLIGHTLY...WITH THE GFS RESOLVING MULTIPLE
LOWS IN THE GULF A LITTLE BETTER.  THE ETA IMPROVES AT THE END OF ITS
RUN...BUT THE END OF A MODEL RUN IS ALWAYS SLIGHTLY SUSPECT.  IN
SUMMARY...BOTH GFS AND ETA LOOK GOOD FOR THE FIRST 36 HRS WITH GFS SLIGHTLY
BETTER AFTER THAT POINT.

EXTENDED FORECAST...WITH THE LOW PRESSURE CENTER IN THE GULF SHOWERS WILL
CONTINUE OVER THE EAST DOMAIN FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.  AVAILABLE MOISTURE
OVER LAND IS DIMINISHING HOWEVER AND WITH THE RIDGE MOVING IN EXPECT SUNNY
SKIES BY THE END OF THE WEEK.  OUT WEST...EXPECT STABLE CONDITION EXCEPT FOR
THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS WHERE THE FRONT MOVING THROUGH SHOULD BRING STORM
WARNING WINDS AND RAIN THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE
MARINE...GALE 155 165 172 175
         STORM 176
FIRE WEATHER...

LEW OCT 05