Gale Warning 830, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 181814 RRA
CWFAER
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
1015 AM ADT TUE OCT 18 2005

RETRANSMISSION

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-190200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A WEATHER FRONT EXTENDING ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA AND THE 
CENTRAL GULF WILL MOVE INLAND OVER THE SOUTHEAST PANHANDLE BY TUE
EVENING. MODERATE WEST FLOW FOLLOWS THE FRONT AND PERSISTS THROUGH
TUE NIGHT. A 973 MB LOW WILL BE 200 NM SOUTH OF SITKINAK WED NIGHT. 
$$

PKZ120-190200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM ADT TUE OCT 18 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. AREAS OF FOG. SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  
$$

PKZ121-190200-
RESURRECTION BAY
645 AM ADT TUE OCT 18 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
$$

PKZ125-190200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
645 AM ADT TUE OCT 18 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
$$

PKZ129-190200-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM ADT TUE OCT 18 2005

.TODAY...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
$$

PKZ130-190200-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM ADT TUE OCT 18 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  
$$

PKZ132-190200-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
645 AM ADT TUE OCT 18 2005

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO SW 30 KT THIS AFTERNOON.
SEAS 16 FT. SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
$$

PKZ138-190200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM ADT TUE OCT 18 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
$$

PKZ140-190200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM ADT TUE OCT 18 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
$$

PKZ141-190200-
KACHEMAK BAY
645 AM ADT TUE OCT 18 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 181936 AAB
CWFAER
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
1145 AM ADT TUE OCT 18 2005

UPDATED AREAS 130 138 140

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-190200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A WEATHER FRONT EXTENDING ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA AND THE 
CENTRAL GULF WILL MOVE INLAND OVER THE SOUTHEAST PANHANDLE BY TUE
EVENING. MODERATE WEST FLOW FOLLOWS THE FRONT AND PERSISTS THROUGH
TUE NIGHT. A 973 MB LOW WILL BE 200 NM SOUTH OF SITKINAK WED NIGHT. 
$$

PKZ120-190200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM ADT TUE OCT 18 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. AREAS OF FOG. SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  
$$

PKZ121-190200-
RESURRECTION BAY
645 AM ADT TUE OCT 18 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
$$

PKZ125-190200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
645 AM ADT TUE OCT 18 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
$$

PKZ129-190200-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM ADT TUE OCT 18 2005

.TODAY...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
$$

PKZ130-190200-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
1145 AM ADT TUE OCT 18 2005

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SHOWERS.  
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  
$$

PKZ132-190200-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
645 AM ADT TUE OCT 18 2005

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO SW 30 KT THIS AFTERNOON.
SEAS 16 FT. SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
$$

PKZ138-190200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
1145 AM ADT TUE OCT 18 2005

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
$$

PKZ140-190200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
1145 AM ADT TUE OCT 18 2005

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
$$

PKZ141-190200-
KACHEMAK BAY
645 AM ADT TUE OCT 18 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 182257
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM ADT TUE OCT 18 2005

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-191400-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE OVER THE GULF WILL WEAKEN AND MOVE EASTWARD
THROUGH WED. A STORM WILL DEVELOP WELL SOUTHWEST WED NIGHT BECOMING
CENTERED 200 NM SOUTHEAST OF SAND POINT AT 964 MB. THIS STORM WILL
DEEPEN TO 956 MB 300 NM SE OF SITKINAK BY THU EVENING.

$$

PKZ120-191400-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM ADT TUE OCT 18 2005

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND DIMINISHING TO 15 KT. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 6 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-191400-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM ADT TUE OCT 18 2005

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND BECOMING S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
RAIN.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-191400-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM ADT TUE OCT 18 2005

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-191400-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM ADT TUE OCT 18 2005

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-191400-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM ADT TUE OCT 18 2005

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. SHOWERS. 
.THU...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 26 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-191400-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM ADT TUE OCT 18 2005

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SHOWERS. 
.THU...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 27 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 

$$

PKZ138-191400-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM ADT TUE OCT 18 2005

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SHOWERS. 
.THU...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 

$$

PKZ140-191400-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM ADT TUE OCT 18 2005

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-191400-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM ADT TUE OCT 18 2005

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 191155
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM ADT WED OCT 19 2005

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-200200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA WILL WEAKEN AND 
MOVE EASTWARD THROUGH WED EVENING. A 979 MB LOW WILL DEVELOP 360 NM
SOUTHWEST OF SITKINAK WED AFTERNOON. THIS STORM WILL RAPIDLY
INTENSIFY TO 957 MB AND MOVE TO 330 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK BY 
FRI MORNING.
$$

PKZ120-200200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM ADT WED OCT 19 2005

...STORM WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 45 KT INCREASING TO 55 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO
70 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 23 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 55 KT DIMINISHING TO SE 30 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-200200-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM ADT WED OCT 19 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-200200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM ADT WED OCT 19 2005

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG. SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-200200-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM ADT WED OCT 19 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FOG. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-200200-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM ADT WED OCT 19 2005

...STORM WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT.
SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. PATCHY FOG. SHOWERS. 
.THU...E WIND 45 KT BECOMING NE 55 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 25 FT.
RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO SE 25 KTS. SEAS 24 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-200200-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM ADT WED OCT 19 2005

...STORM WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KTS INCREASING TO SE WIND 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 12 FT. SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. SHOWERS. 
.THU...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 24 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-200200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM ADT WED OCT 19 2005

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SHOWERS. 
.THU...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-200200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM ADT WED OCT 19 2005

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KTS. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-200200-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM ADT WED OCT 19 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 AM ADT TUE OCT 18 2005

.DISCUSSION...

GFS AND ETA DISAGREE CONSIDERABLY OVER THE NUMBER AND POSITION OF LOW
PRESSURE CENTERS IN THE NORTHERN BERING SEA. ETA RECOGNIZES UP TO
FOUR SEPARATE CENTERS. GFS LARGELY MEANS OUT THESE FEATURES INTO ONE
VAST LOW. CHOSE TO BASE FORECAST LOW POSITIONS AND MOVEMENTS ON THE
UKMET...AS ITS SOLUTION LIES BETWEEN THESE TWO EXTREMES.

PRIMARY LOW IS A 975 MB LOW CENTERED OVER EASTERN NORTON SOUND.
THE LOW HEADS NORTHWESTWARD TODAY...INTO THE CHUCKCHI SEA BY 00Z...
THEN ARCS SOUTHWARD TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...ENDING UP OVER
ST LAWRENCE ISLAND WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

SATELLITE IMAGERY COUPLED WITH SURFACE OBS INDICATES THE ASSOCIATED
OCCLUDED FRONT EXTENDS IN AN ARC FROM THE COPPER RIVER
BASIN...THROUGH THE EASTERN GULF COAST...AND INTO THE CENTRAL GULF OF
ALASKA. THE FRONT IS PROGGED TO MOVE RAPIDLY EASTWARD AND WEAKEN.
GUSTY SOUTHEAST WINDS AND MODERATE RAIN IN ADVANCE
OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND PARTIAL CLEARING
BEHIND.

SECONDARY LOW IS A A 982 MB LOW 540 NM NORTH OF SHEMYA. THE LOW MOVES
NEAR ST MATTHEW ISLAND THIS EVENING AND BECOMES THE DOMINANT FEATURE
ON THE MAP. BUT ITS LIFESPAN WILL BE SHORT AS IT IS PROGGED TO
DISSIPATE NEAR NEAR NUNIVAK ISLAND WED EVENING. THE MAIN EFFECT OF
THIS FEATURE WILL BE TO MAINTAIN 25 TO 40 KT WESTERLIES ACROSS THE
BERING SEA THROUGH TUE NIGHT.

COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA NOW OFFICIALLY OVER.
HOWEVER CONTINUED WESTERLY FLOW ACROSS THE BERING SHOULD YIELD HIGH
TIDES OF 1 TO 2 FT ABOVE NORMAL SPRING TIDES AND POSSIBLE MINOR TIDAL
OVERFLOW THROUGH 48 HOURS.

NEXT BIG FEATURE WILL BE A 979 MB LOW THAT IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
90 NM SOUTH OF SAND POINT WED AFTERNOON. A STRONG JET ALOFT WILL
ENHANCE THE LOWS DEVELOPMENT. GFS HAS IT AT 964 MB 300 NM SOUTH OF
KODIAK THU EVENING. IF TRUE THIS COULD BE A MAJOR WIND EVENT FOR
MUCH OF SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWESTERN ALASKA. STILL THE PROGGED
POSITION IS MUCH FURTHER SOUTH THAN THAT OF THE PREVIOUS MODEL RUN.
THEREFORE CONFIDENCE IN THE FORECASTED TRACK OF THIS LOW REMAINS LOW.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE 160 165 170 172 175 176 179 180
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

ASB OCT 05