Gale Warning 797, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 041136
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM ADT TUE OCT 4 2005

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-050200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...A 987 MB LOW 300 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK ISLAND
INTENSIFIES TO 983 MB WED MORNING NEAR KODIAK AND THEN WEAKENS TO 991
MB WED NIGHT 75 NM SOUTH OF SEWARD. AN ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT MOVES
TO THE NORTHEAST GULF AND STALLS TUE. THE FRONT DISSIPATES ALONG THE
COAST WED AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ120-050200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM ADT TUE OCT 4 2005

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E TO NE WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 16 FT.
SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. SEAS 26 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 45 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 23 FT.
SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-050200-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM ADT TUE OCT 4 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT. SHOWERS
AND SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-050200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM ADT TUE OCT 4 2005

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 6 FT TOWARD EVENING. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
9 FT. SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-050200-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM ADT TUE OCT 4 2005

...SMALL CRAFT TONIGHT...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WINDS 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SHOWERS
AND SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-050200-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM ADT TUE OCT 4 2005

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 14 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E TO NE WIND 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
15 FT. SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-050200-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM ADT TUE OCT 4 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT.
SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-050200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM ADT TUE OCT 4 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING E 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 FT
AND SUBSIDING.
SHOWERS. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-050200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM ADT TUE OCT 4 2005

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING 8 FT. SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
14 FT. SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-050200-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM ADT TUE OCT 4 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT. 
SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
135 PM ADT MON OCT 3 2005

.DISCUSSION...
LINGERING UPPER LOW OVER SRN COOK INLET CONTINUING TO CIRCULATE
SHOWERS NORTHWESTWARD FROM THE GULF INTO WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
AND ACROSS THE KENAI PEN TO PAHO-PAIL AND PORT ALSWORTH TODAY. LIGHT
SCATTERED SHOWERS TO CONTINUE AT THESE LOCATIONS INTO TUE MORNING.
ELSEWHERE LOOK FOR AREAS OF CLOUDS ALONG WITH SOME SUN DURING THE
AFTERNOON.

ETA GFS UKMET IN PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH 60 HRS OR SO.
LOW SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA TO CONTINUE ON ITS DUE EAST COURSE
INTO TUE NIGHT THEN REDEVELOP NORTHWEST WITH A 985 MB CENTER MOVING
TO AFOGNAK ISLE WED AFTERNOON. LIGHT RAIN TO SPREAD NORTHWARD ACROSS
KODIAK ISLAND LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND INCREASE ALONG THE
NORTH GULF COAST TUE CONTINUING AND BECOMING HEAVIER WED AND WED
NIGHT. LIGHT PRECIPITATION WILL EVEN DEVELOP IN BRISTOL BAY TUE NIGHT
AND WED.

INCREASING SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST FLOW WILL NUDGE SOME WARMER AIR NORTH
ACROSS SOUTHERN MAINLAND RESULTING IN SNOWFALL LEVELS STAYING UP
AROUND 1-2K. KUSKOKWIM VALLEY AND DELTA SHOULD REMAIN DRY THROUGH
THU. GFS BRINGS RAIN..WHICH COULD START OUT AS SNOW..BACK TO THE
SOUTHWEST COAST THURSDAY NIGHT AS ANOTHER BERING SEA LOW APPROACHES
THE PRIBILOFS.

NEXT UPSTREAM STORM OVER THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS WILL SPREAD GALES AND
MORE RAIN EAST TO THE FOX AND PRIBILOF ISLANDS TONIGHT THEN OVER TO
THE ALASKA PENINSULA TUE MORNING WITH COLD BAY POSSIBLE SEEING GUSTS
OVER 50 MPH JUST AHEAD OF THE FRONT.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE
MARINE...GALE AREAS
120..155..160..165..180..170..172..175..176..185..179

PERCY OCT 05