Gale Warning 701, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 081402 CCC
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
605 AM ADT THU SEP 8 2005

CORRECTED ZONE 132

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-090200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE WESTERN GULF THURSDAY MORNING AND
MOVE TO THE EASTERN GULF FRIDAY MORNING.
$$

PKZ120-090200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM ADT THU SEP 8 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
$$

PKZ121-090200-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM ADT THU SEP 8 2005

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT AND SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
$$

PKZ125-090200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM ADT THU SEP 8 2005

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT AND SUN...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
$$

PKZ129-090200-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM ADT THU SEP 8 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS DIMINISHING TO 10 KT BY
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT SUBSIDING TO 1 FOOT THIS AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
$$

PKZ130-090200-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM ADT THU SEP 8 2005

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO SE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6
FT BUILDING TO 10 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.FRI...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
$$

PKZ132-090200-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM ADT THU SEP 8 2005

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
$$

PKZ138-090200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM ADT THU SEP 8 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN AND MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
$$

PKZ140-090200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM ADT THU SEP 8 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
$$

PKZ141-090200-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM ADT THU SEP 8 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 082309
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM ADT THU SEP 8 2005

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-091400-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...A GALE FORCE LOW WILL MOVE NORTHWARD THROUGH THE CENTRAL
BERING SEA THROUGH FRI. THE ASSOCIATED FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE
WESTERN GULF BY FRI AFTERNOON AND WILL WEAKEN OVER THE EASTERN GULF
SAT. 

$$

PKZ120-091400-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM ADT THU SEP 8 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 10 KTS INCREASING TO SE WIND 25 KT BY LATE AFTERNOON.
SEAS BUILDING TO 8 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO SOUTHWEST 15 KT BY MORNING.
SEAS 11 FT SUBSIDING. SHOWERS. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-091400-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM ADT THU SEP 8 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-091400-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM ADT THU SEP 8 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SHOWERS. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-091400-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM ADT THU SEP 8 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-091400-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM ADT THU SEP 8 2005

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
BUILDING TO 8 FT BY MORNING. RAIN. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT.
RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. SHOWERS. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-091400-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM ADT THU SEP 8 2005

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
13 FT SUBSIDING. SHOWERS. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-091400-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM ADT THU SEP 8 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-091400-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM ADT THU SEP 8 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5
FT. SHOWERS. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...SOUTH WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-091400-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM ADT THU SEP 8 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 091117
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM ADT FRI SEP 9 2005

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-100200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A STRONG WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE FROM NEAR HOMER TO THE EASTERN GULF
OF ALASKA BY SATURDAY MORNING. ANOTHER STRONG FRONT WILL MOVE INTO
THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA BY SATURDAY MORNING.
$$

PKZ120-100200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM ADT FRI SEP 9 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO SE 25 KT BY NOON. SEAS
6 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...EAST OF CAPE CLEAR SE WIND 30 KT. WEST OF CAPE CLEARE SW
WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. SHOWERS.

.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-100200-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM ADT FRI SEP 9 2005

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT AND SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-100200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM ADT FRI SEP 9 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT BY NOON. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ129-100200-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM ADT FRI SEP 9 2005

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-100200-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM ADT FRI SEP 9 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 9 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ132-100200-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM ADT FRI SEP 9 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ138-100200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM ADT FRI SEP 9 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SHOWERS. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ140-100200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM ADT FRI SEP 9 2005

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT BY MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-100200-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM ADT FRI SEP 9 2005

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT BY MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 AM ADT THU SEP 8 2005

.DISCUSSION...

THE LONGWAVE TROUGH HAS REALLY DEEPENED IN THE PAST 24 HOURS AND IS
VERY PLAIN ON THE WATER VAPOR IMAGERY THIS MORNING.  THE LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM THAT WAS OFF THE CHARTS YESTERDAY IS JUST SOUTH OF ADAK THIS
MORNING. PLENTY OF MOISTURE IS APPARENT BOTH ON IR AND WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY WHICH IS CONSISTENT WITH A VERY STRONG SOUTH TO NORTH JET FLOW.
COMPARISON OF THE UPPER AIR CHARTS SHOWS THAT THE LOW CENTER IS NOT YET
VERTICALLY STACKED SO IT WILL NOT BEGIN TO WEAKEN FOR THE NEXT 12
HOURS. STRONG JET SUPPORT AT 300MB AND SUFFICIENT TEMPERATURE ADVECTION
AT 850MB ARE ALSO INDICATORS THAT THIS LOW STILL HAS PLENTY OF DYNAMICS
AT ALL LEVELS.  OVER THE EASTERN PORTION OF THE ZONE A HIGH PRESSURE
CENTER HAS BUILT IN FROM THE NORTH PACIFIC.  THIS WILL MOVE THE LOW UP
ALONG THE WEST COAST AS THE STEERING FLOW MOVES UP AND AROUND THE HIGH.

MOST OF THE WEATHER CONCERNS ARE OUT WEST ALONG THE ALEUTIANS.  AS TO
BE EXPECTED THE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE HIGH AND THE LOW IS VERY TIGHT AND
STRONG WINDS...GALE FORCE...WILL PLAGUE THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS TODAY.
THESE STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE BRISTOL BAY REGION AND
KUSKOKWIM DELTA ALTHOUGH THEY WILL BE STRONGEST OFFSHORE.  ADVISORY
LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT EXPECTED OUTSIDE OF THE ALEUTIANS AND SOUTHERN
ALASKA PENINSULA. WITH THAT ABUNDANT MOISTURE PLENTY OF RAIN WILL FALL
IN THESE REGIONS AS WELL...BUT EASTERLY FLOW SHOULD SHADOW THE WESTERN
SIDES OF THE MOUNTAINS SLIGHTLY.

IN THE EAST HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO DOMINATE FOR MOST OF THE DAY.
FOG IS A FACTOR THIS MORNING IN THE MAT SU VALLEY AND MAY STILL APPEAR
IN THE COPPER RIVER VALLEY AS WELL WITH CLEARING SKIES.  MOST OF THE
EASTERN ZONES WILL NOT SEE THE EFFECTS OF THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TODAY
...EXCEPT FOR KODIAK WHERE CLOUDS AND WINDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE.

MODEL DISCUSSION...THE MODELS SEEM TO HAVE FINALLY COME TOGETHER ON A
SOLUTION. GFS AND UKMET ARE STILL RUNNING A LITTLE STRONGER ON THE
CURRENT LOW IN THE ALEUTIANS.  GIVEN THE CURRENT OBSERVATIONS THESE TWO
ARE PROBABLY MORE ACCURATE.  YESTERDAY THE BIG QUESTION WAS WHAT WAS
HAPPENING OUT WEST WITH THE TYPHOON MOVING UP FROM JAPAN.  TODAY THE
MODELS SEEM TO AGREE...THE OLD TYPHOON WILL MOVE WEST ALONG THE
ALEUTIANS AND GRADUALLY PROGRESS INTO THE CENTRAL BERING.  MODEL OF THE
DAY IS GFS FOR STRENGTH ON THE LOW BUT BOTH ETA AND GFS ARE HANDLING
TIMING WELL.

EXTENDED FORECAST...AFTER THE CURRENT LOW PUSHES SOME MOISTURE ACROSS
THE FORECAST REGION SKIES LOOK FAIRLY CLEAR FOR THE MAINLAND ON
SATURDAY. BY THIS TIME THE OLD TYPHOON HAS ALREADY MOVED INTO THE
ALEUTIANS SO WINDS AND RAIN WILL CONTINUE IN THAT REGION.  MOISTURE
FROM THAT LOW CENTER WILL MOVE ONTO THE MAINLAND SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND
THE BEGINNING  OF NEXT WEEK LOOKS RAINY AT BEST.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE
MARINE...GALES 130 AND ALL WESTERN ZONES
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

LEW SEP 05