Gale Warning 68, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 051558 AAB
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
700 AM AST WED JAN 5 2005

UPDATES AREA 2B

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-060300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A WEAK FRONT CROSSING THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA WED MORNING WILL
DISSIPATE BY WED EVENING. A 1045 MB HIGH CENTERED 250 NM SOUTHWEST 
OF DUTCH HARBOR WED MORNING WILL MOVE TO INTO THE WESTERN ALASKA
INTERIOR AT 1054 MB THU EVENING. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL 
EXTEND FROM THIS HIGH INTO THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA AND SOUTHERN
COASTAL WATERS WED EVENING THROUGH FRI MORNING.
$$

PKZ120-060300-
AREA 2B. CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
700 AM AST WED JAN 5 2005

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 KT. LOCAL GUSTS TO 60 KT OUT OF COPPER RIVER
DELTA. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. LOCAL GUSTS TO 60 KT OUT OF COPPER RIVER
DELTA. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 

$$

PKZ121-060300-
AREA 2B1. RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AST WED JAN 5 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU NIGHT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-060300-
AREA 2C. PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
650 AM AST WED JAN 5 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ129-060300-
AREA 2C4. PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AST WED JAN 5 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT AND THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-060300-
AREA 3A. BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
650 AM AST WED JAN 5 2005

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-060300-
AREA 3B. SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AST WED JAN 5 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH SEAS THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-060300-
AREA 3C. SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AST WED JAN 5 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-060300-
AREA 4. COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AST WED JAN 5 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ141-060300-
AREA 4A. KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AST WED JAN 5 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 060000
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AST WED JAN 5 2005

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-061500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 1049 MB HIGH NEAR SAND POINT WILL MOVE ONSHORE OVER SOUTHERN
BRISTOL BAY BY THU.  A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE FROM SEWARD TO SITKA
WILL PERSIST THROUGH FRI.

$$

PKZ120-061500-
AREA 2B. CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AST WED JAN 5 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY ...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT EXCEPT GUSTS INCREASING TO 65 KT OUT OF THE
COPPER RIVER DELTA. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE 10 KT W OF CAPE CLEARE. GUSTS
INCREASING TO 65 KT OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER DELTA. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE 10 KT W OF CAPE CLEARE.
SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-061500-
AREA 2B1. RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AST WED JAN 5 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 6 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-061500-
AREA 2C. PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AST WED JAN 5 2005

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS INCREASING TO 45 KT OUT OF
NORTHEASTERN BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF
NORTHEASTERN BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-061500-
AREA 2C4. PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AST WED JAN 5 2005

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-061500-
AREA 3A. BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AST WED JAN 5 2005

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-061500-
AREA 3B. SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AST WED JAN 5 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ROUGH SEAS THROUGH THURSDAY ...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU NIGHT THROUGH FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-061500-
AREA 3C. SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AST WED JAN 5 2005

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-061500-
AREA 4. COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AST WED JAN 5 2005

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-061500-
AREA 4A. KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AST WED JAN 5 2005

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 061259
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AST THU JAN 6 2005

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-070300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE WATERS THROUGH SAT MORNING. A
PERSISTENT AREA OF WEAK LOW PRESSURE ALONG THE COAST EAST OF PRINCE
WILLIAM SOUND WILL REMAIN THROUGH THE PERIOD.

$$

PKZ120-070300-
AREA 2B. CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AST THU JAN 6 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY ...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TONIGHT THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ121-070300-
AREA 2B1. RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AST THU JAN 6 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT THROUGH FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-070300-
AREA 2C. PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AST THU JAN 6 2005

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT FROM BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 3
FT. 
.TONIGHT THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT FROM BAYS AND
PASSES. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-070300-
AREA 2C4. PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AST THU JAN 6 2005

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...
...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT THROUGH SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-070300-
AREA 3A. BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AST THU JAN 6 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY ...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TONIGHT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-070300-
AREA 3B. SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AST THU JAN 6 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TONIGHT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-070300-
AREA 3C. SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AST THU JAN 6 2005

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-070300-
AREA 4. COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AST THU JAN 6 2005

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-070300-
AREA 4A. KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AST THU JAN 6 2005

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 AM AST WED JAN 5 2005

.DISCUSSION...

MAIN FEATURES AT 500 MB ARE A STRONG HIGH CENTERED NEAR 50N 140W AND
A SECOND HIGH CENTERED NEAR 47N 179W. A COL AREA IS SOUTH OF THE
SOUTHERN END OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA BETWEEN THE TWO HIGH CENTERS. A
RELATIVELY WEAK TROUGH IS CROSSING INTO THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA.
AN EVEN WEAKER TROUGH IS CROSSING FROM THE EASTERN BERING TO NORTON
SOUND. ON THE SURFACE...A WEAK FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE STRONGER OF
THE TWO TROUGHS IS CROSSING THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA. THE WEAKER
UPPER TROUGH IS ASSOCIATED WITH A 1007 MB LOW IN THE BERING STRAITS
WITH A WEAK FRONT EXTENDING SOUTH TO NEAR NUNIVAK ISLAND. GOES IR
LOOP INDICATES THAT SYSTEM APPROACHING NORTON SOUND MOVING RAPIDLY
INTO THE NORTHERN INTERIOR. UPPER CLOUD SHIELD ASSOCIATED WITH
ANOTHER SYSTEM WELL TO THE WEST OF THE BERING SEA VISIBLE SPILLING
OVER RIDGE AXIS NEAR THE DATELINE. CONSIDERABLE STRATOCUMULUS OVER
MUCH OF THE BERING SEA.

COMPARISON OF GFS AND MESOETA...BOTH MODELS APPEAR TO INITIALIZE THE
TWO HIGHS AND THE TROUGH IN ABOUT THE SAME PLACE AND WITH THE SAME
CENTRAL VALUES. NO MAJOR DIFFERENCES BETWEEN THE TWO MODELS THROUGH
SATURDAY. GFS AND MESOETA DEVELOP A SINGLE VERY STRONG 500 MB HIGH
CENTERED ON THE ALASKA PENINSULA BY EARLY THURSDAY. GFS TAKES 500 MB
HIGH CENTER SLIGHTLY FURTHER NORTH THAN MESOETA ON FRIDAY THEN
SOMEWHAT FURTHER SOUTH THAN MESOETA ON SATURDAY. ON SURFACE...MESOETA
A FEW MILLIBARS STRONGER ON CENTRAL VALUE OF HIGH. BOTH MODELS
INDICATE NEXT SYSTEM WILL APPROACH BERING SEA FROM THE SOUTHWEST
SATURDAY. GFS SOMEWHAT DEEPER ON PROJECTED CENTRAL PRESSURE OF THIS
LOW AT 985 MB THAN MESOETA AND ABOUT 991 MB.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...STORMS 13B.
         GALES WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA BERING SEA 8 12A 12B 13A 14.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

STM JAN 05