Gale Warning 586, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 272329
CWFALU

SOUTHWEST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM ADT WED JUL 27 2005

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-281400-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 983 MB LOW IN THE SEA OF JAPAN WILL WEAKEN TO 991 MB AND MOVE TO
350 NM WEST OF SHEMYA FRI AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ150-281400-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM ADT WED JUL 27 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 10 FT. RAIN.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8
FT. SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT THROUGH FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
$$

PKZ155-281400-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM ADT WED JUL 27 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
$$

PKZ160-281400-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM ADT WED JUL 27 2005

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU NIGHT THROUGH FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
$$

PKZ165-281400-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM ADT WED JUL 27 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU THROUGH FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
$$

PKZ180-281400-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM ADT WED JUL 27 2005

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
$$

PKZ170-281400-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM ADT WED JUL 27 2005

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
$$

PKZ171-281400-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM ADT WED JUL 27 2005

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
$$

PKZ172-281400-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM ADT WED JUL 27 2005

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
$$

PKZ175-281400-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM ADT WED JUL 27 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
$$

PKZ176-281400-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM ADT WED JUL 27 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. SHOWERS. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT AND SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
$$

PKZ185-281400-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM ADT WED JUL 27 2005

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
$$

PKZ179-281400-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM ADT WED JUL 27 2005

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 PM ADT TUE JUL 26 2005

.DISCUSSION...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE PERSISTS IN THE BERING SEA THROUGH FRIDAY.
WEAK DISTURBANCE IN VICINITY OF ST. MATTHEW ISLAND SHOULD DISSIPATE
ON WEDNESDAY.  LOADS OF STRATUS AND FOG ASSOCIATED WITH THE RIDGE.

NAM AND GFS MODELS IN REASONABLE AGREEMENT ON THE GULF OF ALASKA LOW.
BOTH OF THESE TOOLS WANT TO MERGE THE ONE IN THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF
WITH A VORTICITY CENTER IN THE EASTERN GULF.  THE RESULT IS A
SLIGHTLY DEEPER LOW IN THE NORTHERN GULF WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.  GFS
SEEMS TO HANDLE THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE THERMAL TROUGH OVER THE
INTERIOR ON WEDNESDAY BETTER THAN THE NAM. LOOKS LIKE MODEST
INSTABILITY IN WESTERN AND NORTHERN PORTION OF AOR ON WEDNESDAY PM
AND THURSDAY.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE
MARINE...NONE
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

JMP JUL 05