Gale Warning 447, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 010714 AAB
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
1015 PM AST THU MAR 31 2005

AMENDED AREAS 2B 2B1 3A

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-011500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 980 MB LOW 200 NM EAST OF KODIAK ISLAND WILL MOVE TO 110 NM
SOUTHWEST OF SITKA FRI AFTERNOON AT 993 MB. A SECONDARY 991 MB
LOW WILL MOVE TO 100 NM EAST OF KODIAK ISLAND FRI AFTERNOON THEN
BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY AS IT SLOWLY WEAKENS THROUGH SAT AFTERNOON. 
$$

PKZ120-011500-
AREA 2B. CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
1015 PM AST THU MAR 31 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-011500-
AREA 2B1. RESURRECTION BAY
1015 PM AST THU MAR 31 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 6 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
$$

PKZ125-011500-
AREA 2C. PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
805 PM AST THU MAR 31 2005

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT
SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT THROUGH SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
$$

PKZ129-011500-
AREA 2C4. PASSAGE CANAL
805 PM AST THU MAR 31 2005

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO E 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
$$

PKZ130-011500-
AREA 3A. BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
1015 PM AST THU MAR 31 2005

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW
SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 

$$

PKZ132-011500-
AREA 3B. SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AST THU MAR 31 2005

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 18 FT DIMINISHING TO 10 FT BY MORNING. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY BECOMING LIGHT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-011500-
AREA 3C. SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AST THU MAR 31 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ140-011500-
AREA 4. COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AST THU MAR 31 2005

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO VARIABLE 15 KT OR LESS 
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-011500-
AREA 4A. KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AST THU MAR 31 2005

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 011232
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AST FRI APR 1 2005

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-020300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 984 MB LOW 400 NM SOUTHEAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND WILL MOVE EAST
TODAY AND DISSIPATE BY SAT MORNING. A BROAD 995 MB LOW CENTERED NEAR
SEWARD WILL SLOWLY DRIFT NORTHEAST THROUGH SUN MORNING.
$$

PKZ120-020300-
AREA 2B. CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AST FRI APR 1 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-020300-
AREA 2B1. RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AST FRI APR 1 2005

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT AND SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-020300-
AREA 2C. PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AST FRI APR 1 2005

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-020300-
AREA 2C4. PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AST FRI APR 1 2005

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-020300-
AREA 3A. BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AST FRI APR 1 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...EAST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. WEST
OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND
SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 6 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT THROUGH MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-020300-
AREA 3B. SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AST FRI APR 1 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-020300-
AREA 3C. SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AST FRI APR 1 2005

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT AND SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT THROUGH MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-020300-
AREA 4. COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AST FRI APR 1 2005

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT AND SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-020300-
AREA 4A. KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AST FRI APR 1 2005

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT THROUGH MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
1200 PM AST THU MAR 31 2005

.DISCUSSION...
.500MB...5000M CENTER OVER OF WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA WEAKENS AND
MOVES TO SOUTHEAST ALASKA FRI AFTERNOON. 5050M CENTER FORMING OVER
THE CHUKCHI SEA DROPS SOUTH TO OVER EASTERN NORTON SOUND LATE FRI
AND REMAINS QSTNRY THRU MON NIGHT. RIDGE OVER THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS
THIS MORNING IS PINCHED N/S AS TROUGH TO WEST ELONGATES E/SE. 5040M
CENTER NEAR KAMCHATKA THIS MORNING MOVES TO THE CENTRAL BERING SEA
AND WEAKENS LATE FRI. ZONAL FLOW SETS UP AT THIS TIME(FRI) ACROSS THE
NORTH PACIFIC BETWEEN 160E-160W. FLOW IS DISRUPTED AS SHORT WAVE
MOVING FROM KAMCHATKA SAT INTENSIFIES AND MOVES TO ALONG 165W SUN.

.SURFACE EAST...ETA LOOKS REASONABLE AND IN GENERAL WILL BE USED FOR
FORECASTY PACKAGES. A 974 MB LOW EAST OF KODIAK IS STACKED WITH UPPER
CENTER AND SHOULD BEGIN TRACK TOWARD THE EASTERN GULF AND WEAKEN.
SECONDARY DEVELOPMENT LIKELY OVER THE EASTERN GULF TODAY WITH STRONG
UPPER SHORT WAVE. THIS SECONDARY CENTER WILL BE WEAKER THAN CURRENT
LOW AND SHOULD MOVE TO NEAR KODIAK ISLAND TONIGHT. THIS CENTER WILL
HOLD IN A WEAKENED FORM WILL HOLD THROUGH SAT. THE TROUGH OVER
SOUTHCENTRAL WILL BECOME RATHER BROAD AND DIFFUSE SAT. IN THE SHORT
TERM...BLIZZARD CONDITIONS FOR KODIAK ISLAND SHOULD SUBSIDE LATE THIS
MORNING AS OCCLUDED FRONT TRACKS WEST AND SURFACE LOW WEAKENS.
HOWEVER...GUSTY NW WINDS WILL CONTINUE INTO THIS EVENING AND FAIRLY
INTENSE SHOWERS SHOWING UP ON SAT TO EAST WILL KEEP WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORY CONTINUES AROUND THE ZONE INTO EARLY THIS EVENING. REMAINDER
OF AREA SHOULD REMAIN UNSETTLED WITH WEAKENING LOW OVER THE
GULF/SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA AND SW FLOW ALOFT INTO THE WEEKEND. THINK
GENERAL CONDITIONS WILL BE MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS.

.SURFACE WEST...GFS/UKMET MODEL MOST REASONABLE WESTERN AREAS AND
WILL USED FOR FORECAST PACKAGES. MESO ETA IN GENERAL WILL BE USED
FOR THE SW MAINLAND. 970S OVER THE WESTERN BERING SEA WEAKENS AS IT
TRACKS TO SOUTH OF THE PRIBILOFS SAT AFTERNOON. ASSOCIATED FRONTAL
TROUGH ELONGATES E-SE UNDER STRONG JET. TRIPLE POINT DEVELOPS NEAR
UNIMAK PASS FRI AND TRACKS SOUTH OF THE AK PEN. EXPECT FRONTAL TROUGH
TO BE OVER THE WESTERN AK PEN FRI MORNING THEN WEAKEN AS TRIPLE FRONT
CARRIES BRUNT OF ENERGY SOUTH. EXPECT GALES TO CONTINUE ACROSS THE
ALEUTIAN CHAIN THROUGH SAT. SNOW OVER EASTERN BRISTOL BAY THIS
MORNING SHOULD BE ENDING BY EARLY AFTERNOON.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...BLIZZARD WARNING CANCELLED ZONE 171.
MARINE...GALES 3A..5AB..12AB..13AB..14.. AND 15

RMC MAR 05