Gale Warning 389, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 281334 AAA
CWFAER
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
430 AM AST MON MAR 28 2005

UPDATED 4A. 

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-290300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 978 MB LOW INLAND OVER COOK INLET WILL WEAKEN OVER THE INTERIOR
THROUGH TUE. A SECONDARY LOW WILL DEVELOP TO 994 MB IN THE EASTERN
GULF TUE NIGHT AND WILL DISSIPATE NEAR YAKUTAT EARLY WED. EXPECT A
STORM FORCE LOW TO MOVE INTO THE GULF THU. 
$$

PKZ120-290300-
AREA 2B. CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AST MON MAR 28 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING W 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY NEAR
SHORE. 
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY NEAR SHORE.

.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  
$$

PKZ121-290300-
AREA 2B1. RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AST MON MAR 28 2005

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT AND TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED AND THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
$$

PKZ125-290300-
AREA 2C. PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AST MON MAR 28 2005

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT AND TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
$$

PKZ129-290300-
AREA 2C4. PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AST MON MAR 28 2005

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. A FEW HIGHER GUSTS THIS MORNING. SEAS 2 FT.
SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY THIS MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. HIGHER GUSTS OFF THE GLACIER. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW
SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
$$

PKZ130-290300-
AREA 3A. BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AST MON MAR 28 2005

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W TO SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY NEAR AUGUSTINE. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  
$$

PKZ132-290300-
AREA 3B. SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AST MON MAR 28 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING NEAR SHORE. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  
$$

PKZ138-290300-
AREA 3C. SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AST MON MAR 28 2005

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
$$

PKZ140-290300-
AREA 4. COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AST MON MAR 28 2005

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
13 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED AND THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
$$

PKZ141-290300-
AREA 4A. KACHEMAK BAY
430 AM AST MON MAR 28 2005

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT AND TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 290035
CWFAER

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AST MON MAR 28 2005

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-291500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...A 978 MB LOW INLAND OVER COOK INLET WILL WEAKEN OVER THE
INTERIOR THROUGH TUE. A 992 MB LOW WILL DEVELOP 275 NM SE OF KODIAK
TUE AFTERNOON AND MOVE INLAND NEAR YAKUTAT WED MORNING AT 996 MB. A
982 MB LOW WILL DEVELOP 450 NM S OF KODIAK TUE NIGHT AND DEEPEN TO
970 MB 400 NM SE OF KODIAK WED AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ120-291500-
AREA 2B. CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AST MON MAR 28 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-291500-
AREA 2B1. RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AST MON MAR 28 2005

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KTS AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-291500-
AREA 2C. PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AST MON MAR 28 2005

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-291500-
AREA 2C4. PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AST MON MAR 28 2005

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-291500-
AREA 3A. BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AST MON MAR 28 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-291500-
AREA 3B. SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AST MON MAR 28 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-291500-
AREA 3C. SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AST MON MAR 28 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-291500-
AREA 4. COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AST MON MAR 28 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY THIS EVENING. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-291500-
AREA 4A. KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AST MON MAR 28 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING.
 FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
1230 PM AST SUN MAR 27 2005

.DISCUSSION...UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA TO FEED INTO
POLAR LOW DROPPING THROUGH THE BERING STRAIT TOMORROW. A SHORT WAVE
WILL ROTATE INTO SOUTH CENTRAL AS THIS HAPPENS. THE POLAR LOW DROPS
TO NEAR BETHEL TUESDAY NIGHT. IN ADDITION...THE KAMCHATKA UPPER LOW
IS PUSHED INTO THE BERING AND PHASES WITH THE POLAR LOW AT THIS TIME
AS WELL. THE TIMING AND INTENSITY OF THESE SHORT WAVE TROUGHS
ROTATING AROUND THE DEEP COLD TROUGH IS THE REAL FORECAST PROBLEM.
RIGHT NOW...LEANING TOWARD THE GFS. AS A RESULT...THE LOW ON TUESDAY
NIGHT/WEDNESDAY TO MOVE THROUGH THE GULF WILL BE A BIT FARTHER EAST
THAN THE NAM SOLUTION. OTHERWISE...SOLUTIONS VERY SIMILAR WITH THE
HANDLING OF THE MOISTURE AND CURRENT KING SALMON LOW MAKING ITS WAY
UP COOK INLET TONIGHT AND TOMORROW AND WITH THE PROGRESSION OF THE
SURFACE LOW OUT OF THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS INTO THE CENTRAL BERING.

CURRENTLY...SOUTHERLY FLOW FROM THE UPPER LOW NEAR BETHEL CONTINUES
TO PUMP MOISTURE TO POINTS EAST THROUGH TONIGHT. DEEPER MOISTURE WILL
STAY MAINLY EAST OF THE ALASKA RANGE AS THE POLAR LOW MOVES INTO
PLACEBY TUESDAY. SURFACE LOW SOUTH OF PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND THIS
MORNING TO SLOWLY MOVE INLAND THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. PLENTY OF
MOISTURE WRAPPED AROUND THIS LOW WITH SNOW OVER MUCH OF SOUTH
CENTRAL. THE LOW NEAR BRISTOL BAY TO MOVE INTO COOK INLET TONIGHT AND
FARTHER INLAND TOMORROW WITH SNOW CONTINUING OVER SOUTH CENTRAL
ALASKA. WITH THE PROXIMITY OF THE UPPER LEVEL LOW AND CONTINUED
MOISTURE STREAM...SNOW AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE THE RULE THROUGH AT
LEAST WEDNESDAY.

OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA...THE EXITING UPPER LEVEL LOW REPLACED BY POLAR
LOW BY TUESDAY. AIR MASS UNSTABLE ENOUGH FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS OVER
MUCH OF THE AREA INTO WEDNESDAY AS WELL. TEMPERATURES WILL 5 TO 10
DEGREES BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS AREA THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

ACROSS THE ALEUTIANS...A WEAK LOW WILL TRAVERSE THE ISLANDS THROUGH
TOMORROW WITH SHOWERS ALONG THE WAY. RIDGE MOVES INTO THE WESTERN
ALEUTIAN BEHIND THE LOW AND AHEAD OF THE NEXT STRONG FRONT. OVER THE
EASTERN ALEUTIANS...THE WEATHER WILL BE DOMINATED BY THE COLD UPPER
LEVEL LOW THROUGH WEDNESDAY. RIDGE TIGHTENS UP OVER THE BERING SEA AS
THE STRONG FRONT WORKS FROM SHEMYA BEGINNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

IN THE EXTENDED THROUGH FRIDAY...A STRONG LOW DEVELOPS IN THE NORTH
PACIFIC AND HEADS INTO THE GULF WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY.
HOWEVER...THIS LOW IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME TO MOVE INTO THE
PANHANDLE WITH A TROUGH BACK ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. THE
UPPER LEVEL LOW AT THIS TIME SHIFTS INTO THE WESTERN GULF WITH THE
RIDGE OVER THE BERING SEA BEING KNOCKED DOWN BY THE STRONG LOW OVER
KAMCHATKA AND ASSOCIATED FRONT ACROSS THE BERING SEA.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE
MARINE...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 8 14
         GALE 5A 5B 6B 12A 12B 13B
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

JN MAR 05