Gale Warning 1101, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 311906 AAA
CWFALU

SOUTHWEST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
1005 AM AST SAT DEC 31 2005

UPDATED ZONE 150 155

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-010300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A STRONG LOW IN THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA AND HIGH PRESSURE OVER
EASTERN RUSSIA WILL CONTINUE THE PATTERN OF NORTHERLY FLOW ACROSS THE
BERING SEA THROUGH MONDAY.
$$

PKZ150-010300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
1005 AM AST SAT DEC 31 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT EXCEPT EAST 25 KT NEAR SITKINAK. SEAS 13 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-010300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
1005 AM AST SAT DEC 31 2005

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS AND
SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-010300-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AST SAT DEC 31 2005

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT THROUGH SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS
AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-010300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AST SAT DEC 31 2005

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW SHOWERS AND
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW
SHOWERS.  
.MON THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.   

$$

PKZ180-010300-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AST SAT DEC 31 2005

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TONIGHT THROUGH SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT.   
.MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ170-010300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AST SAT DEC 31 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS AND
SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-010300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AST SAT DEC 31 2005

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS.  
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ172-010300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AST SAT DEC 31 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW SHOWERS AND
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-010300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AST SAT DEC 31 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-010300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AST SAT DEC 31 2005

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-010300-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AST SAT DEC 31 2005

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG.
SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW
SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.  
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-010300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AST SAT DEC 31 2005

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT AND SUN...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW
SHOWERS.  
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
200 PM AST FRI DEC 30 2005

.DISCUSSION...

PLANETARY UPPER LEVEL LOW EXTENDS FROM THE ROCKIES TO JAPAN AND
EASTERN RUSSIA TODAY. A ZONAL JET WITH A 200 KT MAX EXTENDS FROM
JAPAN TO THE WEST COAST. AT THE SURFACE A DEEP LOW LIES JUST EAST OF
KODIAK ISLAND AND AN ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT IS WEAKENING AS IT
MOVES TOWARD THE NORTH GULF COAST. A WEAK LOW IS ALSO SOUTH OF THE
CENTRAL ALEUTIANS.

MODELS ARE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE GULF LOW PREPARING TO
TAKE UP RESIDENCE SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK ISLAND AND REMAIN THERE THROUGH
MONDAY. THIS WILL KEEP ONSHORE FLOW OVER KODIAK ISLAND THROUGH THAT
PERIOD. SINCE THE FLOW WILL BE MORE OF A GLANCING BLOW FOR THE REST
OF THE GULF COAST...PRECIPITATION IS NOT REALLY EXPECTED TO MAKE IT
PAST COASTAL MOUNTAINS THROUGH THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK. RAIN OR
RAIN SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED FOR COASTAL LOCATIONS WITH SOME SNOW AT
HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE CHUGACH RANGE.

IN THE WEST...THE WESTERN FLANK OF THE KODIAK LOW WILL BRING SHOWERS
TO SOUTHWEST ALASKA...ALTHOUGH THIS WILL BE LIMITED NEAR THE
MOUNTAINS BY DOWNSLOPING. OTHERWISE...WESTERN SECTIONS WILL BE
AFFECTED BY NORTH FLOW AND SIGNIFICANT COLD ADVECTION INTO THE BERING
AND WESTERN ALEUTIANS. PERIODIC UPPER LEVEL LOBES OF POSITIVE
VORTICITY MOVING THROUGH THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN WILL PROVIDE ENOUGH
LIFT FOR EPISODES OF SNOW SHOWERS INTO NEXT WEEK.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE
MARINE...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 185
         GALES 120 130 150 155
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

DS DEC 05