Brisk Wind Advisory 34, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 211158
CWFALU

SOUTHWEST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AST WED DEC 21 2005

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-220300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 965 MB LOW 375 NM SOUTH OF DUTCH HARBOR WILL MOVE TO 320 NM
SOUTHEAST OF COLD BAY AS IT WEAKENS TO 974 MB THU. A WEATHER FRONT
WILL ENTER THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS THU EVENING AS A 938 MB LOW MOVES
FROM THE WEST TO 320 NM SOUTHWEST OF SHEMYA EARLY FRI MORNING.

$$

PKZ150-220300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM AST WED DEC 21 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT AND THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-220300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM AST WED DEC 21 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-220300-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AST WED DEC 21 2005

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT AND THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 

$$

PKZ165-220300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AST WED DEC 21 2005

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-220300-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AST WED DEC 21 2005

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT.
.TONIGHT THROUGH THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. 
.FRI AND SAT...E WIND 30 KT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. 

$$

PKZ170-220300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AST WED DEC 21 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-220300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AST WED DEC 21 2005

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-220300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AST WED DEC 21 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-220300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AST WED DEC 21 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-220300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AST WED DEC 21 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 55 KT. SEAS 28 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-220300-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AST WED DEC 21 2005

...GALE WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 15 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 13 FT. SNOW
SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 16 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 21 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-220300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AST WED DEC 21 2005

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
200 PM AST TUE DEC 20 2005

.DISCUSSION...
MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THIS MORNING WITH ONLY SMALL DIFFERENCES
IN PRESSURE AND POSITION OF THE SYSTEMS. THE ETA MODEL IS PREFERRED
IN THE GULF OF ALASKA AND THE GFS HAS A MORE REASONABLE SOLUTION IN
THE ALEUTIANS AND BERING SEA.

UPPER AIR...THE RIDGE OVER BRITISH COLUMBIA AND INTO CENTRAL ALASKA
WILL SLOWLY ERODE FROM THE WEST AND A UPPER LOW NORTH OF BANKS ISLAND
MOVES TOWARD WRANGELL ISLAND WITH A TROUGH EXTENDING TOWARD ST.
LAWRENCE ISLAND FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE AROUND THE
CENTRAL ALEUTIANS WILL BE DISPLACED EASTWARD BY AN UPPER RIDGE MOVING
THROUGH THE ALEUTIANS THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

AT THE SURFACE...THE SURFACE SYSTEMS WILL CONTINUE TO MIRROR THE
UPPER LEVEL FEATURES. A MODERATE LOW SOUTH OF THE GULF OF ALASKA WILL
MOVE IN THE NORTH GULF WEDNESDAY THEN BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY AND
WEAKEN THROUGH THURSDAY. RAIN...WITH A FEW AREAS OF SNOW... WILL MOVE
INTO PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND TONIGHT. SNOW WILL MOVE INTO ANCHORAGE, THE
MATANUSKA VALLEY AND THE COPPER RIVER BASIN WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. A
FEW AREAS OF FREEZING RAIN MAY DEVELOP ALONG TURNAGAIN ARM AND ALONG
THE MOUNTAIN ON THE EAST SIDE OF ANCHORAGE WEDNESDAY.

OUT OVER THE WESTERN DOMAIN, THE LOWS SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS WILL
MOVE EAST ALONG OR JUST SOUTH OF 50N LATITUDE THROUGH FRIDAY.

A 956 MB LOW EAST OF JAPAN WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL MOVE TO 350 MILES
SOUTH ATTU AND DEEPEN TO 944 MB FRIDAY AFTERNOON. STORM FORCE WINDS
WILL MOVE INTO THE ALEUTIANS AND THE SOUTHERN BERING SEA THURSDAY
NIGHT AND FRIDAY.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...SEE MARINE FORECASTS.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

NM DEC 05