Brisk Wind Advisory 29, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 130053
CWFALU

SOUTHWEST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AST MON DEC 12 2005

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-131500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 983 MB LOW 75 NM S OF ADAK WILL DEEPEN TO 972 MB 100 NM NW OF ADAK
TUE AFTERNOON THEN TO 125 NM NE OF ADAK WED AFTERNOON AT 974 MB. A
970 MB LOW WILL DEVELOP 400 NM NE OF SHEMYA WED AFTERNOON AS WELL. A
967 MB LOW 400 NM S OF COLD BAY TUE AFTERNOON WILL WEAKEN TO 973 MB
200 NM SE OF COLD BAY WED AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ150-131500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM AST MON DEC 12 2005

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...E WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 18 FT. SNOW
SHOWERS AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-131500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AST MON DEC 12 2005

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 19 FT. SNOW
WITH RAIN. 
.TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 

$$

PKZ160-131500-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AST MON DEC 12 2005

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 20 FT. SNOW. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 20 FT. SNOW AND
RAIN. 
.WED...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 19 FT. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 19 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 18 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-131500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AST MON DEC 12 2005

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 

$$

PKZ180-131500-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AST MON DEC 12 2005

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT.  
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SNOW.
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 45 KT.  
.FRI...SE WIND 45 KT.  
.SAT...SE WIND 40 KT.   

$$

PKZ170-131500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AST MON DEC 12 2005

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 16 FT. RAIN
AND SNOW. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. RAIN.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-131500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AST MON DEC 12 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN WITH SNOW. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-131500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AST MON DEC 12 2005

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-131500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AST MON DEC 12 2005

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 18 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-131500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AST MON DEC 12 2005

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING E AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW
SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-131500-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AST MON DEC 12 2005

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
24 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 26 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-131500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AST MON DEC 12 2005

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 16 FT. SNOW
AND RAIN. 
.TUE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
300 PM AST SUN DEC 11 2005

.DISCUSSION...THE COLD AIR THAT IS IN SOUTHWEST ALASKA HAS BEEN SLOW
TO ADVECT INTO AREAS EAST OF THE ALASKA RANGE. KUSKOKWIM VALLEY AND
BRISTOL BAY HAVE SEEN THEIR TEMPERATURES SLOWLY DROPPING THROUGH THE
DAY ALONG WITH LIGHT SNOW OVER MUCH OF THESE AREAS AS THE COLD FRONT
PUSHES THROUGH. THIS FRONT WILL SPILL OVER THE ALASKA RANGE OVERNIGHT
AND INTO SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA WHERE IT WILL MEET UP WITH MOISTURE
BEING PUMPED INTO THE AREA FROM A LOW IN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND. RESULT
SHOULD BE SNOW OVERNIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING FOR MUCH OF SOUTH
CENTRAL.

UPPER LEVELS...THE JET STREAM CONTINUES TO DEPART ASIA OVER JAPAN AND
HEAD DUE EAST ALONG THE 35N PARALLEL. THIS MAIN SECTION OF THE JET
STREAM WILL MAINLY REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH MID WEEK. ONE INFLUENCE
THIS JET WILL HAVE IN SOUTHERN ALASKA IS THAT IT WILL SPLIT INTO TWO
SECTIONS MONDAY...AT THE 180 MERIDIAN. THE NORTHERN SECTION WILL HEAD
OVER THE ALASKA PENINSULA BY TUESDAY AND TIGHTEN UP THE UPPER LEVEL
WINDS OVER THE NORTHERN GULF AT THAT TIME AS WELL AS AN UPPER LEVEL
HIGH BEGINS TO BUILD INTO SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA FROM THE SOUTHEAST.
THIS UPPER HIGH WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA IN A MORE PRONOUNCED WAY IN
THE LATTER PART OF THE WEEK.

OUT WEST...A LARGE LOW WEST OF ATTU IS SENDING A WEATHER FRONT TOWARD
THE WESTERN ALEUTIAN ISLANDS FROM THE SOUTH. A SECONDARY LOW WILL
DEVELOP ALONG THIS FRONT SOUTH OF ADAK TONIGHT AND INTENSIFY TO
AROUND 980 MB AS IT MOVE TO NEAR ADAK MONDAY AFTERNOON. THIS LOW WILL
CONTINUE TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY AT IT RETROGRADES BACK TO THE NORTHWEST
ALONG THE OLD FRONT. A NEW LOW WILL DEVELOP IN THE AFORE MENTIONED
NORTHERN BRANCH OF THE JET STREAM AND MOVE INTO BRISTOL BAY TUESDAY
NIGHT AT AROUND 975 MB. THIS SYSTEM WILL BEAR WATCHING DUE TO THE
VERY TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT SETTING UP BETWEEN THIS LOW AND THE HIGH
BUILDING IN FROM THE EAST.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...SEE CURRENT MARINE PRODUCTS.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

DEC 05