Severe Thunderstorm Warning 36, NWS Albuquerque, NM

000 
WWUS55 KABQ 272146
SVSABQ

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
344 PM MDT FRI MAY 27 2005

NMC019-047-272215-
/O.CON.KABQ.SV.W.0036.000000T0000Z-050527T2215Z/
GUADALUPE-SAN MIGUEL-
344 PM MDT FRI MAY 27 2005

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHWESTERN SAN
MIGUEL AND NORTHWESTERN GUADALUPE COUNTIES UNTIL 415 PM MDT...

AT 339 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GOLF BALL SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED NEAR SAN JUAN...OR ABOUT 34 MILES SOUTH OF LAS VEGAS...MOVING
SOUTH AT 20 MPH.

THIS STORM PRODUCED GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL IN VILLANUEVA.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM MDT
FRIDAY EVENING FOR NORTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO.

LAT...LON 3535 10516 3534 10553 3507 10553 3508 10523
      3511 10501

$$

JM

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
311 PM MDT FRI MAY 27 2005

.DISCUSSION...INSTABILITY GROWING ACROSS EASTERN AREAS AS LOW CLOUDS
THIN OUT. ALREADY HAD A REPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER SOUTH OF LAS VEGAS
SO PROMPTED A WATCH UNTIL 10 PM THIS EVENING. STEERING FLOW WILL
REMAIN TO THE SOUTH...SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT. POSSIBLE MCS TYPE EVENT
ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS SO UPPED POPS TO NUMEROUS. HEAVY RAIN
WILL BE A CONCERN ALONG WITH THE SEVERE WEATHER. WILL NEED TO WATCH
THIS BUT RESIDENT SOIL MOISTURES PERHAPS QUITE NOT EXASPERATED ENOUGH
FROM PREVIOUS ACTIVITY. IT HAS BEEN AT LEAST 36 HOURS SINCE THE
PAST EVENT. MADE ONLY MINOR TWEAKS TO WEATHER AND TEMP FIELDS IN
THE NEAR TERM. STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY SUNDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
STILL LIKES LIKE A SIGNIFICANT BACK DOOR FRONT WILL PUSH IN LATER
ON SUNDAY AND WITH REINFORCING COOLER AIR ON MONDAY AS THE MAIN PUSH
COMES IN FROM THE NORTH. FOR THE MOST PART LEFT EXTENDED ALONE AS
CONFIDENCE LOW AS TO DISTINGUISH EXACT SOLUTION DUE TO THE VARIABLE
MODEL SOLUTIONS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
FARMINGTON......................  52  87  52  85 /   0   0   0  10
GALLUP..........................  47  81  47  76 /  10  10  10  30
GRANTS..........................  49  82  49  78 /  10  10  10  30
GLENWOOD........................  63  85  63  81 /  20  30  30  30
CHAMA...........................  41  72  41  70 /  20  20  20  30
LOS ALAMOS......................  53  77  53  75 /  20  20  20  20
RED RIVER.......................  42  66  42  64 /  30  20  20  30
TAOS............................  46  77  46  75 /  20  20  20  20
SANTA FE........................  49  77  49  75 /  30  20  20  20
SANTA FE AIRPORT................  53  80  53  78 /  30  20  20  20
ESPANOLA........................  52  83  52  81 /  20  10  20  20
ALBUQUERQUE HEIGHTS.............  60  82  60  82 /  30  20  20  20
ALBUQUERQUE VALLEY..............  57  84  57  83 /  20  20  20  20
ALBUQUERQUE FOOTHILLS...........  58  80  58  78 /  30  20  20  20
ALBUQUERQUE WEST MESA...........  57  84  57  83 /  20  20  20  20
SOCORRO.........................  51  86  51  84 /  30  20  20  30
SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST.........  49  79  50  77 /  40  30  30  20
MORIARTY/ESTANCIA...............  53  81  48  82 /  50  30  30  20
CARRIZOZO.......................  57  81  57  79 /  30  20  20  20
RUIDOSO.........................  48  77  47  75 /  50  40  30  20
RATON...........................  49  75  48  73 /  40  40  30  30
LAS VEGAS.......................  49  76  48  74 /  40  40  30  30
ROY.............................  50  74  50  72 /  40  30  30  30
CLAYTON.........................  49  80  52  73 /  40  30  30  30
SANTA ROSA......................  56  84  56  85 /  50  30  30  20
TUCUMCARI.......................  59  82  59  87 /  50  30  30  30
FORT SUMNER.....................  52  84  52  88 /  50  30  30  20
CLOVIS..........................  54  82  54  89 /  50  30  30  20
PORTALES........................  57  81  57  88 /  50  30  30  20
ROSWELL.........................  63  82  61  90 /  50  30  30  20

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 AM MDT SATURDAY FOR
NMC055.
FLOOD STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 AM MDT SATURDAY FOR
NMC033-039-047-049-055.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH UNTIL 10 PM NMC005-007-009-011-019-021-027-
033-041-047-049-057-059.

&&

50

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
600 AM MDT FRI MAY 27 2005

NMZ001>021-026-281200-
CAPITAN/NORTHERN SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS-
CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS/ESTANCIA VALLEY-CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-
CONCHAS LAKE/GUADALUPE COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
FAR NORTHEAST PLAINS-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF CHAVES COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-LINCOLN COUNTY HIGH PLAINS/HONDO VALLEY-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST MOUNTAINS INCLUDING JEMEZ-NORTHWEST PLATEAU-QUAY COUNTY-
ROOSEVELT COUNTY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS/UPPER GILA REGION-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
551 AM MDT FRI MAY 27 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY WITHIN THE
CENTRAL PORTIONS OF NEW MEXICO. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE LARGE HAIL
AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS FROM THE WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS EASTWARD TO
THE EASTERN SLOPES OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN THIS AFTERNOON AND
EARLY EVENING.

IN ADDITION...HIGH WATER FLOWS WILL CONTINUE WITHIN THE RIVERS AND
STREAMS OVER NORTHERN NEW MEXICO. THE MAIN AREAS OF CONCERN INCLUDE
THE ANIMAS AND LA PLATA RIVERS AND WELL AS PORTIONS OF THE CABRESTO
CREEK AND RED RIVER...WHERE A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES. SIGNIFICANT
PRECIPITATION THIS WEEKEND COULD ALLOW WATERWAYS TO RISE ONCE AGAIN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY ALONG AND
EAST OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN ON SATURDAY. SEVERE STORMS ARE
POSSIBLE ONCE AGAIN ON SUNDAY...BUT CONFINED TO THE FAR NORTHEAST
PLAINS. SEVERE STORMS COULD PRODUCE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS.

IN ADDITION...HIGH WATER FLOWS WILL CONTINUE WITHIN THE RIVERS AND
STREAMS OVER NORTHERN NEW MEXICO. SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL THIS WEEKEND
COULD ALLOW WATERWAYS TO RISE ONCE AGAIN.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR
LOCATIONS WITHIN CENTRAL AND NORTHERN NEW MEXICO. TO REPORT SEVERE
WEATHER OR FLOODING...PLEASE CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OR
YOUR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS.

VISIT HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/ABQ FOR THE LATEST WARNINGS AND
STATEMENTS OR STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

DPORTER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
106 PM MDT FRI MAY 27 2005

NMZ004-271930-
SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING OVER NORTHERN TAOS COUNTY...

AT 105 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WINDS UP TO 50 MPH AND
HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER 7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF COSTILLA.
MOVEMENT WAS NORTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE AMALIA AND COSTILLA.
ANOTHER STRONG STORM WAS DETECTED BETWEEN TRES PIEDRAS AND
CERRO...AND WAS MOVING EAST TO SOUTHEAST.

MOTORISTS CAN EXPECT BRIEF...BUT SUDDEN CHANGES IN VISIBILITY AND
PONDING OF WATER ON HIGHWAY 522 AS STORMS MOVE THROUGH THE AREA.

BRIEF HEAVY RAINS OF UP TO ONE HALF INCH MAY OCCUR WITH THESE STORMS.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
114 PM MDT FRI MAY 27 2005

NMZ002-003-271945-
NORTHWEST MOUNTAINS INCLUDING JEMEZ-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVER LOS ALAMOS COUNTY...

AT 108 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WINDS UP TO 50 MPH AND
HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER NEAR BANDELIER NATIONAL
MONUMENT. MOVEMENT WAS SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH. ANOTHER STRONG STORM
WAS LOCATED NORTHWEST OF SAN ILDEFONSO PUEBLO AND WAS MOVING
SOUTHEAST.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE FRIJOLES...EL RANCHO...
SAN ILDEFONSO PUEBLO...SANTA CLARA PUEBLO AND WHITE ROCK.

MOTORISTS CAN EXPECT BRIEF...BUT SUDDEN CHANGES IN VISIBILITY AND
PONDING OF WATER ON HIGHWAYS AS THESE STORMS MOVE THROUGH THE AREA.
RAINFALL RATES MAY REACH UP TO ONE INCH PER HOUR.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
152 PM MDT FRI MAY 27 2005

NMZ004-005-011-272015-
CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS/ESTANCIA VALLEY-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-SANGRE DE
CRISTO MOUNTAINS-

...CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVER NORTHWEST SAN MIGUEL
COUNTY...

AT 148 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WINDS UP TO
50 MPH AND HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER EXTENDING FROM EL
PORVENIR AND GALLINAS TO MONTEZUMA. THE STORMS WERE MOVING EAST TO
SOUTHEAST.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE GALLINAS...MINERAL
HILL...MONTEZUMA...SAN ANTONIO AND SAN GERONIMO....OJITOS
FRIOS...LAS VEGAS AND ROMEROVILLE. RAINFALL RATES IN EXCESS OF ONE
INCH PER HOUR MAY RESULT IN LOCALIZED PONDING OF WATER IN LOW SPOTS
AND DIPS.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
229 PM MDT FRI MAY 27 2005

NMZ002>007-010>013-016>021-026-280400-
CAPITAN/NORTHERN SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS-CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS/ESTANCIA
VALLEY-CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-CONCHAS LAKE/GUADALUPE COUNTY-CURRY
COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-FAR NORTHEAST PLAINS-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF
CHAVES COUNTY-HARDING COUNTY-LINCOLN COUNTY HIGH PLAINS/HONDO
VALLEY-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHWEST MOUNTAINS INCLUDING JEMEZ-QUAY
COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-SANGRE DE CRISTO
MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
229 PM MDT FRI MAY 27 2005

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM MDT FRIDAY
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
338 IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM MDT FRIDAY EVENING FOR THE
FOLLOWING AREAS

IN NORTH AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO THIS WATCH INCLUDES 14 COUNTIES

  CHAVES          COLFAX          CURRY           DE BACA
  GUADALUPE       HARDING         LINCOLN         MORA
  QUAY            ROOSEVELT       SAN MIGUEL      SANTA FE
  TORRANCE        UNION

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
302 PM MDT FRI MAY 27 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0215 PM     HAIL             7 S LAS VEGAS           35.50N 105.22W
05/27/2005  1.00 INCH        SAN MIGUEL         NM   TRAINED SPOTTER

0215 PM     HAIL             ROMEROVILLE             35.52N 105.24W
05/27/2005  0.75 INCH        SAN MIGUEL         NM   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

DS