Alert archive / New Mexico / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2005

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 154, NWS Albuquerque, NM

July 5, 2005Harding County, New Mexico

NWS Albuquerque, NM issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 5, 2005, 6:25 PM MDT for Harding County, New Mexico. It was in force for 65 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Jul 5, 2005, 6:25 PM MDT (00:25 UTC)
Expired: Jul 5, 2005, 7:30 PM MDT
In force: 65 min
Issued by: NWS Albuquerque, NM
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Harding County, NM

The radar

The Cannon AFB radar (KFDX), 137 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:29 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jul 5, 1:10 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	8 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Albuquerq/Krtlnd, NM (KABQ), launched 00:00Z, 0.4 hours before the alert went out and 267 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 166 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -55 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 4231 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 18 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 21 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 56 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Albuquerque, NM wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 5, 2:40 PM MDT, 3 hours 45 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 5, 2:40 PM MDT, 3 hours 45 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
240 PM MDT TUE JUL 5 2005

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IN EFFECT THRU 03Z FOR THE NE PLAINS...

.DISCUSSION...
INHERITED GRIDS ON TRACK ONCE AGAIN WITH ONLY MINIMAL ADJUSTMENTS
REQUIRED. PLENTY TO TALK ABOUT WITH SEVERE WEATHER THE MAIN THREAT.
CONVECTIVE OUTFLOWS BOUNTIFUL THIS AFTERNOON AS EARLY/LATE MORNING
THUNDERSTORMS TRACKED THROUGH THE REGION. CAPES BEGINNING TO SHOW
SOME IMPRESSIVE IMPROVEMENT WITH VALUES EXCEEDING 2500 J/KG ALONG
THE ERN SLOPES OF THE SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS. CONVECTION NOTED
ON VISIBLE SATELLITE ALONG THE CENTRAL MTN CHAIN AND ODDLY ENOUGH
OVER THE UPPER GILA REGION. ACTIVITY IN THE EAST WILL BE ENHANCED
WITH UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE WHICH IS PROGGED TO TRAVERSE NORTHERN
NM LATER THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING. SUPERCELLULAR STORMS ARE POSSIBLE
THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING AS MARGINAL UPSLOPE FLOW CONTINUES AS WELL
AS DECENT BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE. STORMS WILL EVENTUALLY CONVERGE
INTO SOME SORT OF MCS...SIMILAR TO LAST NIGHT. MAIN THREAT FOR SVR
WEATHER WOULD BE LARGE HAIL AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS. WILL ALSO HAVE
TO MONITOR OUTFLOW BOUNDARY MOVING WESTWARD THROUGH PANHANDLES OF
TX/OK.

MEANWHILE...A FEW CELLS ARE TRYING TO DEVELOP OVER THE GILA REGION
WHERE MID-LEVEL/SFC MOISTURE IS SEVERELY LACKING. ACTIVITY APPEARS
TO BE LOCATED WHERE 700-500MB LAPSE RATES NEAR 10.0C/KM. DEW POINTS
AT RAWS SITES IN THE REGION ARE IN THE TEENS/MID 20S...THUS EXPECT
VIRGA AND SOME GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS. EAST CANYON WINDS WERE PRETTY
IMPRESSIVE DURING THE MORNING HOURS...WITH INCREASED DEW POINTS IN
THE MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY WESTWARD TO GRANTS. MIXING STARTING TO
COMMENCE...AND WILL BE A CHALLENGE TO SEE IF ANYTHING POPS PRIOR TO
SCOURING OUT SHALLOW MOISTURE DECK. FOR NOW...WILL STICK WITH VIRGA
SHOWERS AS CUMULUS HAS BEEN NOTED OVER MOUNT TAYLOR BUT LACKING IN
VERTICAL GROWTH. FINALLY...ACTIVITY OVER THE SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS
PROGGED BY THE NAM TO ROLL OFF INTO THE ROSWELL AREA THIS EVENING.
LAPS NOT IMPRESSIVE WITH CAPES IN THIS AREA...THUS SOME UNCERTAINTY
REMAINS AS TO HOW LONG IT WILL SUSTAIN ITSELF WITH MAIN UPPER LEVEL
WAVE CENTERED FURTHER NORTH. THUS...WILL STICK WITH LOW TO MID GRADE
SCATTERED POPS OVER THE NE CORNER OF THE STATE AND ISOLATED COVERAGE
OVER THE NW/CENTRAL/SRN MOUNTAINS. LATER SHIFTS WILL NEED TO MONITOR
THE SE PLAINS AS POPS MAY NEED TO BE INCREASED IF 18Z NAM PANS OUT.
NEEDLESS TO SAY...EAST CANYON WINDS A GOOD BET AS OUTFLOWS SHOULD
SQUEEZE WESTWARD THROUGH THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN.

ANOTHER REPEAT PERFORMANCE IS EXPECTED FOR WED...HOWEVER SHEAR WILL
NOT BE AS SUPPORTIVE. STILL EXPECT CONVECTION TO REFIRE ONCE AGAIN
DURING THE PEAK HEATING HOURS OVER THE HIGH TERRAIN AND TRACK INTO
THE ERN PLAINS. HAVE PRACTICALLY COPIED POP GRIDS FOR TODAY/TONIGHT
INTO WED/WED NIGHT PERIODS. ISOLATED SEVERE STILL POSSIBLE WITH SPC
HIGHLIGHTING THE FAR NE PLAINS. EAST CANYON WINDS COULD OCCUR ONCE
AGAIN...BUT WILL LET LATER SHIFTS INSERT IF PATTERN PERSISTS.

WILL START TO SOUND LIKE A BROKEN RECORD FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
FORECAST AS UPPER LEVEL HIGH REMAINS IN THE VICINITY SOUTHWEST OF
THE CWFA. UPPER LEVEL WAVES WILL RIDE THROUGH NW FLOW OVER THE NE
CORNER OF THE STATE...KEEPING A THREAT FOR PRECIP IN THESE ZONES.
DGEX/GFSLR HINTING AT SOME QPF SQUEAKING INTO WRN ZONES DURING THE
UPCOMING WEEKEND WITH E/SE SURFACE FLOW PUSHING THROUGH THE CENTRAL
MOUNTAIN CHAIN. WILL CONTINUE TO HOLD OFF ON POPS FOR THIS AREA AS
AFTERNOON MIXING SHOULD SCOUR OUT MOISTURE. OF NOTE...ALL BETS ARE
OFF WITH THE EXTENDED FORECAST IF THE GFSLR IS CORRECT...WITH NOW
TROPICAL STORM DENNIS TRACKING INTO SRN TEXAS AND MOVING WESTWARD
UNDER RIDGE. SEEMS IMPRACTICAL...BUT STRANGER THINGS HAVE OCCURRED.
STAY TUNED. DPORTER

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
FARMINGTON......................  57  96  57  94 /   0   0   0   0
GALLUP..........................  48  91  47  91 /   0   0   0   0
GRANTS..........................  47  93  50  93 /   0   0   0   0
GLENWOOD........................  57  97  57  97 /   0   0   0   0
CHAMA...........................  41  84  42  82 /  10   0   0   0
LOS ALAMOS......................  53  87  53  88 /   0   0   0   0
RED RIVER.......................  38  79  38  79 /  20  10  10  20
TAOS............................  46  88  47  88 /  10   0   0   0
SANTA FE........................  54  89  54  88 /  10   0   0   0
SANTA FE AIRPORT................  56  92  56  92 /  10   0   0   0
ESPANOLA........................  54  94  53  94 /   0   0   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE HEIGHTS.............  65  96  66  96 /   0   0   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE VALLEY..............  62  97  61  97 /   0   0   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE FOOTHILLS...........  63  94  62  94 /   0   0   0   0
ALBUQUERQUE WEST MESA...........  65  97  63  96 /   0   0   0   0
SOCORRO.........................  62  98  62  98 /   0   0   0   0
SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST.........  54  89  55  89 /  20  10  10   0
MORIARTY/ESTANCIA...............  52  91  53  91 /  20  10  10   0
CARRIZOZO.......................  60  95  62  94 /   0   0   0   0
RUIDOSO.........................  56  88  57  87 /  20  10  10   0
RATON...........................  52  86  52  87 /  30  20  20  20
LAS VEGAS.......................  52  87  52  87 /  30  20  20  20
ROY.............................  57  88  57  89 /  30  20  20  20
CLAYTON.........................  60  87  61  89 /  40  20  20  10
SANTA ROSA......................  62  96  62  94 /  30  10  20  10
TUCUMCARI.......................  65  95  66  95 /  30  10  20  10
FORT SUMNER.....................  64  97  64  96 /  30  10  20  10
CLOVIS..........................  65  94  64  94 /  30  10  20  10
PORTALES........................  64  96  65  95 /  30  10  20  10
ROSWELL.........................  69 101  69  99 /  20  10  20  10

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

46

Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 5, 6:00 AM MDT, 12 hours 25 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
600 AM MDT TUE JUL 5 2005

NMZ001>021-026-061200-
CAPITAN/NORTHERN SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS-
CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS/ESTANCIA VALLEY-CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-
CONCHAS LAKE/GUADALUPE COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
FAR NORTHEAST PLAINS-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF CHAVES COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-LINCOLN COUNTY HIGH PLAINS/HONDO VALLEY-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST MOUNTAINS INCLUDING JEMEZ-NORTHWEST PLATEAU-QUAY COUNTY-
ROOSEVELT COUNTY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS/UPPER GILA REGION-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
541 AM MDT TUE JUL 5 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
THIS EVENING ACROSS THE EAST SLOPES OF THE SANGRE DE CRISTO
MOUNTAINS AND EASTERN PLAINS. THE MAIN THREATS INCLUDE LARGE HAIL
AND DAMAGING WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AGAIN DEVELOP ALONG AND EAST OF THE
CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ALTHOUGH
THE LATEST FORECAST MODELS DEPICT A DECREASED THREAT OF SEVERE
WEATHER...A FEW ISOLATED STORMS MAY PRODUCE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS ON THE PLAINS.  WEATHER CAN CHANGE RAPIDLY. ALWAYS USE THE
LATEST FORECASTS...WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR PLANNING PURPOSES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...IN
COLFAX...UNION...MORA...HARDING...SAN MIGUEL...QUAY...TORRANCE...
GUADALUPE...DE BACA...ROOSEVELT...CURRY...CHAVES AND EASTERN LINCOLN
COUNTIES.

44

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 5, 4:19 PM MDT, 2 hours 6 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
419 PM MDT TUE JUL 05 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0413 PM     HAIL             8 NW WATROUS            35.87N 105.08W
07/05/2005  1.75 INCH        MORA               NM   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

DPORTER

Local storm report, Jul 5, 4:42 PM MDT, 1 hour 43 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
442 PM MDT TUE JUL 05 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0426 PM     HAIL             8 NW WATROUS            35.87N 105.08W
07/05/2005  1.25 INCH        MORA               NM   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

DPORTER

Special weather statement, Jul 5, 5:08 PM MDT, 1 hour 17 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
508 PM MDT TUE JUL 5 2005

NMZ005>007-052345-
FAR NORTHEAST PLAINS-HARDING COUNTY-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-
508 PM MDT TUE JUL 5 2005

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR COLFAX...MORA...HARDING AND UNION
COUNTIES UNTIL 9 PM THIS EVENING...

THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF GUSTY WINDS AND LARGE HAIL WILL BE
MOVING EAST OVER THE INTERSTATE 25 CORRIDOR BETWEEN RATION AND
WATROUS AND SPREADING EAST IN THE EASTERN MORA AND COLFAX
COUNTIES THROUGH 6 PM.

AT 510 PM...SEVERAL SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED SOUTH OF RATON
MOVING EAST OVER INTERSTATE 25. ANOTHER SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS
LOCATED BETWEEN WATROUS AND SPRINGER.

REMAIN ALERT DURING LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING FOR SUDDEN
CHANGES IN STORM INTENSITY WHICH MAY THREATEN THE INTERSTATE 25
CORRIDOR BETWEEN RATON AND LAS VEGAS WITH HAIL OF NEAR 1 INCH AND
GUSTY WINDS OVER 60 MPH.

03

Local storm report, Jul 5, 5:18 PM MDT, 1 hour 7 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
518 PM MDT TUE JUL 05 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0517 PM     HAIL             9 S WAGON MOUND         35.87N 104.71W
07/05/2005  1.00 INCH        MORA               NM   PUBLIC

&&

DPORTER

Local storm report, Jul 5, 6:07 PM MDT, 18 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
607 PM MDT TUE JUL 05 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0600 PM     HAIL             12 NE TREMENTINA        35.59N 104.38W
07/05/2005  1.50 INCH        SAN MIGUEL         NM   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

DPORTER

Local storm report, Jul 5, 6:23 PM MDT, 2 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
623 PM MDT TUE JUL 05 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0605 PM     HAIL             MOUNTAINAIR             34.52N 106.24W
07/05/2005  0.75 INCH        TORRANCE           NM   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

DPORTER

The office that day

Everything else NWS Albuquerque, NM issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 5, 6:48 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	San Miguel	57 min
Jul 5, 7:14 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Union	46 min
Jul 5, 7:26 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Harding	64 min
Jul 5, 7:41 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Guadalupe, San Miguel	64 min
Jul 5, 8:21 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Quay	54 min
Jul 5, 8:45 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	San Miguel	60 min
Jul 5, 9:16 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	De Baca	59 min
Jul 5, 9:25 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Quay	65 min
Jul 5, 9:52 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Quay	53 min
Jul 6, 2:22 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Lincoln	38 min
Jul 6, 3:26 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Union	47 min
Jul 6, 3:57 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Colfax	46 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in New Mexico, 2005 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2005

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.