Severe Thunderstorm Warning 117, NWS Albuquerque, NM

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1044 AM MDT WED JUN 15 2005

.UPDATE...TEMPERATURES HEATING UP NICELY THIS AFTERNOON. WHILE LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE BEING MIXED OUT OVER CENTRAL AREAS...MID LEVEL
MOISTURE SHOULD PROVIDE FUEL FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT OVER
HIGHER TERRAIN THIS AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY LATE. THEREFORE HAVE
UPPED POPS THERE. LOOKS LIKE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE BOUNDARY
WILL SET UP OVER EAST CENTRAL AREAS LATER TODAY...SO UPPED POPS THIS
EVENING IN THOSE LOCATIONS WHERE CONVECTIVE FOCUS LIKELY TO SHIFT.
COULD BE SEVERE IN THOSE LOCATIONS ALTHOUGH BEST UPPER LEVEL FORCING
REMAINS IN THE NORTHEAST NEAR UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE PASSAGE...KD

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...254 AM MDT WED JUN 15 2005
MOISTURE HAS INCREASED SINCE YESTERDAY/S FROPA. THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING WILL SEE MUCH MORE WIDESPREAD SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF STRONG STORMS ACROSS THE EASTERN
PLAINS. THE FAR WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE STATE WILL SEE DRY
THUNDERSTORMS WITH GUSTY WINDS. BY THURSDAY FOCUS FOR ACTIVITY
SHIFTS BACK TO THE EASTERN PLAINS WITH ANOTHER DAY OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS.

BEGINNING FRIDAY AND EXTENDING THROUGH THE END OF THE EXTENDED...UPR
LVL RDG BUILDS ACROSS THE AREA LIMITING THE AMOUNT OF CONVECTION AND
INCREASING TEMPS WITH TIME. NO CHANGES TO THE EXTENDED FORECAST...16

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

19

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