Alert archive / New Mexico / Flash Flood Warnings in 2005

Flash Flood Warning 27, NWS Albuquerque, NM

August 28, 2005Chaves County, New Mexico

NWS Albuquerque, NM issued this flash flood warning at Aug 28, 2005, 1:12 AM MDT for Chaves County, New Mexico. It was in force for 63 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Aug 28, 2005, 1:12 AM MDT (07:12 UTC)
Expired: Aug 28, 2005, 2:15 AM MDT
In force: 63 min
Issued by: NWS Albuquerque, NM
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Chaves County, NM

The radar

The Holloman AFB radar (KHDX), 154 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 07:11 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Aug 28, 1:18 AM MDT	FLASH FLOOD	5 Nw Roswell, NM	SIGNIFICANT FLOODING REPORTED ALONG THE HIGHWAY 285 TRUCK BYPASS ROUTE JUST NORTHWEST OF ROSWELL.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched one storm report to this flash flood warning; the first came 6 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Santa Teresa, NM (KEPZ), launched 00:00Z, 7.2 hours before the alert went out and 265 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 74 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -25 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 3481 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 12 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 8 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 47 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WGUS55 KABQ 280712
FFWABQ
NMC005-280815-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
112 AM MDT SUN AUG 28 2005

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  CENTRAL CHAVES COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO

* UNTIL 215 AM MDT

* AT 110 AM MDT...THE PUBLIC REPORTED FLASH FLOODING FROM A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 5 MILES NORTH OF ROSWELL. THE STORM 
  PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING WAS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLASH FLOODS.

LAT...LON 3352 10465 3307 10461 3314 10412 3357 10447

$$

KJ

2 follow-up statements

000 
WGUS75 KABQ 280726
FFSABQ

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
126 AM MDT SUN AUG 28 2005

NMC005-280815-
CHAVES-
126 AM MDT SUN AUG 28 2005

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CENTRAL CHAVES
COUNTY UNTIL 215 AM MDT...

AT 120 AM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING OVER
CENTRAL CHAVES COUNTY. THE MOST INTENSE STORM WAS LOCATED OVER 
ROSWELL....MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH. OTHER STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE 
LOCATED NEAR DEXTER AND HAGERMAN ALSO MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST AT
AROUND 20 MPH. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL APPROACH ONE INCH IN THE ROSWELL AREA 
AS WELL AS ALONG HIGHWAY 285 NEAR DEXTER AND HAGERMAN.   

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM THESE STORMS WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING OF SMALL
STREAMS...ARROYOS AND DITCHES...HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES AS
WELL AS POOR DRAINAGE AND LOW LYING AREAS.

LAT...LON 3352 10465 3307 10461 3314 10412 3357 10447

$$

KJ/DPORTER

000 
WGUS75 KABQ 280817
FFSABQ

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
217 AM MDT SUN AUG 28 2005

NMC005-280827-
CHAVES-
217 AM MDT SUN AUG 28 2005

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR CENTRAL CHAVES COUNTY...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THE RAINFALL WAS
ENDING ACROSS THE WARNED AREA...AND THE FLASH FLOOD THREAT WAS
DIMINISHING. SOME MINOR FLOODING MAY CONTINUE...BUT THE THREAT FOR
FLASH FLOODING IS ENDING. THUS...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN
ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

LAT...LON 3352 10465 3307 10461 3314 10412 3357 10447

$$

DPORTER

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Albuquerque, NM wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Aug 27, 9:00 PM MDT, 4 hours 12 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 27, 9:00 PM MDT, 4 hours 12 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
900 PM MDT SAT AUG 27 2005

.UPDATE...EXTENDED ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
NORTHWEST QUARTER...MAINLY ALONG AND NORTH OF I-40...THROUGH
TONIGHT. A PASSING SHORTWAVE IS CURRENTLY TRIGGERING A TRAIL OF
CONVECTION FROM AROUND CHACO CANYON WELL INTO UTAH. LATEST GFS
INDICATES THE POSITIVE VORTICITY ADVECTION OVER THE NORTHWEST WILL
PERSIST UNTIL AROUND SUNRISE

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...300 PM MDT SAT AUG 27 2005...GOES SOUNDER IMAGERY
INDICATES DRYING CONTINUES TO SPREAD SOUTHWARD INTO GILA AND
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO. DESPITE THIS AND DECREASING
DEWPOINTS OVER LAST 24 HRS...THUNDERSTORMS MANAGED TO FIRE OVER THE
NORTHERN MOUNTAINS BEFORE NOON...UNLIKE ON FRIDAY. ALTHOUGH
SHORTWAVE RESPONSIBLE FOR LAST NIGHTS STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IN
NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO HAS EXITED...ANOTHER SHORTWAVE IS EVIDENT IN
THE WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AS WELL AS OBSERVED DATA...AND PICKED UP BY
MORNING MODEL RUNS. TIMING OF THIS WAVE RESULTING IN UPTICK IN
ACTIVITY THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING OVER THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS AND
NORTHEAST.

DESPITE THE LOW LEVEL SOUTHWEST WINDS OVER NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO THIS
MORNING...RUC DEPICTS AREA OF LOWERING PRESSURE/SURFACE TROUGHING
DEVELOPING IN ADVANCE OF THE APPROACHING SHORTWAVE. MSAS PRESSURE
CHANGE PLOT SHOWING THIS TREND...AND FEEL A LOW LEVEL SOUTHEAST FLOW
MAY DEVELOP LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

THEREFORE...WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE
STORMS BREAK OUT EAST OF THE INTERSTATE 25 CORRIDOR OVER THE
NORTHEAST LATE IN THE DAY WITH THE FOCUS OF MORE FAVORABLE
INSTABILITY/MOISTURE SHIFTING INTO THE EAST CENTRAL DURING THE
EVENING AS THE SHORTWAVE DIGS FARTHER SOUTHEASTWARD INTO THE STATE
PER FORECAST MODELS. ACTIVITY MAY PERSIST INTO LATE NIGHT
HOURS...WHICH IS WELL COVERED IN CURRENT GRIDS.

SUNDAY LOOKS TO BE ACTIVE AS WELL...MORE ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST TWO
THIRDS OF THE FORECAST AREA AS THE RIDGE AMPLIFIES TO OUR WEST AND
UPPER FLOW BECOMES NORTH TO NORTHEAST BY EARLY MONDAY. MONDAY STILL
APPEARS TO BE A DOWN DAY...WITH THE MIDWEEK
PERIOD...WED/THURS...BECOMING MORE ACTIVE AGAIN AS UPPER FLOW SHIFTS
TO SOUTHWEST TO WEST AND ANOTHER BOUNDARY SLIDES INTO THE PLAINS.
THERE MAY BE SOME POTENTIAL FOR SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE TO RETURN LATE
NEXT WEEK...WITH THE UPPER HIGH CENTER FORECASTED OVER
TEXAS/OKLAHOMA.

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

44

Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 27, 6:00 AM MDT, 19 hours 12 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
600 AM MDT SAT AUG 27 2005

NMZ001>021-026-281200-
CAPITAN/NORTHERN SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS-
CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS/ESTANCIA VALLEY-CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-
CONCHAS LAKE/GUADALUPE COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
FAR NORTHEAST PLAINS-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF CHAVES COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-LINCOLN COUNTY HIGH PLAINS/HONDO VALLEY-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST MOUNTAINS INCLUDING JEMEZ-NORTHWEST PLATEAU-QUAY COUNTY-
ROOSEVELT COUNTY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS/UPPER GILA REGION-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
600 AM MDT SAT AUG 27 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY

ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NORTHEAST AND
EAST CENTRAL PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON AND ESPECIALLY TONIGHT.
HAILSTONES UP TO THE SIZE OF A QUARTER AND WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 50 AND
60 MPH WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREATS. HOWEVER...HEAVY RAIN FROM ANY OF
THE SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS COULD RESULT IN LOCALIZED FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

DISTURBANCES IN THE NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT COMBINED WITH A LOW LEVEL
UPSLOPE FLOW WILL CREATE AN ENVIRONMENT FAVORABLE FOR A FEW SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF NEW MEXICO SUNDAY AFTERNOON
AND NIGHT. OTHERWISE...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS
TIME. WEATHER CAN CHANGE RAPIDLY. ALWAYS USE THE LATEST
FORECASTS...WARNINGS...WATCHES AND ADVISORIES FOR PLANNING PURPOSES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. HOWEVER...SPOTTERS ARE
ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY HAZARDOUS WEATHER TO THE NWS OFFICE IN
ALBUQUERQUE.  CONTACT OUR OFFICE TOLL FREE AT 1-888-386-7637 OR
VISIT WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/ABQ AND CLICK ON SUBMIT STORM REPORTS.

KJ

In the hours before

Local storm report, Aug 27, 7:42 PM MDT, 5 hours 30 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
742 PM MDT SAT AUG 27 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0729 PM     HAIL             NW CLOVIS               34.41N 103.20W
08/27/2005  1.75 INCH        CURRY              NM   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

RJOJOLA

Local storm report, Aug 27, 7:50 PM MDT, 5 hours 22 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
750 PM MDT SAT AUG 27 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0744 PM     HAIL             CLOVIS                  34.41N 103.20W
08/27/2005  1.00 INCH        CURRY              NM   EMERGENCY MNGR

            DOWNTOWN CLOVIS

&&

RJOJOLA

Special weather statement, Aug 27, 7:58 PM MDT, 5 hours 14 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
758 PM MDT SAT AUG 27 2005

NMZ020-280300-
ROOSEVELT COUNTY-

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM MOVING OVER FAR NORTHEAST ROOSEVELT COUNTY...

AT 754 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WINDS UP TO 50 MPH AND
HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER 6 MILES NORTHEAST OF ARCH.
MOVEMENT WAS EAST AT 10 MPH. ALSO...STRONG OUTFLOW WINDS ARE MOVING
WEST SOUTHWEST OVER ROOSEVELT COUNTY FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
LOCATED IN CURRY COUNTY. WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE RURAL EAST CENTRAL
ROOSEVELT COUNTY.

23

Local storm report, Aug 27, 8:00 PM MDT, 5 hours 12 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
800 PM MDT SAT AUG 27 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0744 PM     HAIL             SW CLOVIS               34.41N 103.20W
08/27/2005  1.00 INCH        CURRY              NM   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SOUTHWEST SIDE OF TOWN

&&

RJOJOLA

Local storm report, Aug 27, 8:10 PM MDT, 5 hours 2 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
810 PM MDT SAT AUG 27 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0747 PM     HAIL             CLOVIS                  34.41N 103.20W
08/27/2005  1.75 INCH        CURRY              NM   EMERGENCY MNGR

            DOWNTOWN

&&

RJOJOLA

Local storm report, Aug 27, 8:12 PM MDT, 5 hours before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
812 PM MDT SAT AUG 27 2005

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0740 PM     HAIL             2 SE TUCUMCARI          35.15N 103.70W
08/27/2005  0.75 INCH        QUAY               NM   PUBLIC

&&

44

The office that day

Everything else NWS Albuquerque, NM issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Aug 27, 6:02 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Quay	58 min
Aug 27, 6:15 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	San Miguel	64 min
Aug 27, 6:20 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Curry	55 min
Aug 27, 7:09 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Quay	69 min
Aug 27, 7:16 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Curry	59 min
Aug 27, 8:12 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Roosevelt	47 min
Aug 27, 8:15 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Curry	60 min
Aug 28, 12:39 AM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Chaves	67 min
Aug 28, 1:05 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Lincoln	56 min
Aug 28, 1:39 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Chaves	36 min
Aug 28, 2:49 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ABQ	Chaves	41 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in New Mexico, 2005 Every flash flood warning in 2005

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.