Alert archive / Florida / Tornado Warnings in 2004
Tornado Warning 51, NWS Tampa Bay, FL
NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued this tornado warning at Sep 19, 2004, 3:54 PM EDT for Lee County, Florida. It was in force for 21 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Sep 19, 2004, 3:54 PM EDT (19:54 UTC)
- Expired
- Sep 19, 2004, 4:15 PM EDT
- In force
- 21 min
- Issued by
- NWS Tampa Bay, FL
- Area
- Counties, with a storm outline in the text
County Lee County, FL
The radar
The Tampa radar (KTBW), 137 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:55 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this tornado warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
Tampa Bay, FL (KTBW), launched 12:00Z, 7.9 hours before the alert went out and 137 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 834 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -74 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1005 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 11 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 8 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 58 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WFUS52 KTBW 191954 TORTBW FLC071-192015- BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 348 PM EDT SUN SEP 19 2004 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... WESTERN LEE COUNTY IN FLORIDA. * UNTIL 415 PM EDT * AT 348 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A TORNADO OVER CAPE CORAL...MOVING WEST AT 5 MPH. * THE TORNADO WILL AFFECT... CAPE CORAL SANIBEL PINE ISLAND AT 340 PM EDT...LAW ENFORCEMENT AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS REPORTED A BRIEF TORNADO TOUCHDOWN IN SOUTHWEST CAPE CORAL FUNNEL CLOUDS ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS. CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR TORNADO DEVELOPMENT. MOVE INSIDE A STURDY BUILDING IMMEDIATELY...AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. REPORT SEVERE WEATHER OR DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN RUSKIN. && LAT...LON 2643 8188 2666 8202 2666 8226 2640 8215 $$ 55
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this tornado warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tampa Bay, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this tornado warning went out at Sep 19, 1:26 PM EDT, 2 hours 28 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Sep 19, 1:26 PM EDT, 2 hours 28 minutes before
WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 126 PM EDT SUN SEP 19 2004 .SHORT TERM (TONIGHT - TUE)...LATEST MODELS INSIST ON STRONG JET DEVELOPING OVER FAR SOUTH FLORIDA FOR MONDAY INTO TUESDAY...PUTTING CWA INTO FAVORABLE LEFT FRONT QUAD. THIS IS EXPECTED TO INTERACT WITH SURFACE TROF MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD OVER THE FAR WESTERN ATLANTIC AND INTO THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...FOR ENHANCED VERTICAL MOTION AND RAINFALL. I HAVE RAISED POPS MONDAY AND TUESDAY DUE TO THIS FAVORABLE INTERACTION. IN ADDITION...MUCH MORE CLOUD COVER SHOULD HOLD MAX TEMPS DOWN A FEW DEGREES FROM TODAY...AND LOW LEVEL COLD ADVECTION WILL HELP THE PROCESS OUT AS WELL. WITH STRONG HIGH BUILDING TO THE NORTH...NORTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE...GIVING SOMEWHAT BREEZY CONDITIONS. LOW CLOUDS SHOULD MOVE IN ON THE NORTHEASTERLY WINDS TONIGHT NORTH OF TAMPA... AND WILL PROBABLY HAVE A HARD TIME BREAKING AT ALL ON MONDAY. MY CURRENT FORECAST MAX TEMPS MAY EVEN TURN OUT TO BE TOO HIGH. .LONG TERM (TUE NIGHT - SUN)...FOR THE TIME BEING WILL DAMPEN OUT THE FEATURE OUT IN THE GULF THAT APPEARS TO BE THE REMNANTS OF IVAN BUT WILL KEEP SCATTERED POPS IN FOR WED. OTHERWISE DEEP RIDGING OVER THE MID ATLANTIC COAST WILL KEEP A DRIER NORTHEASTERLY FLOW ACROSS THE CWFA WITH ISOLATED CONVECTION AFTER WED. WINDS REMAIN NE INTO THE WEEKEND BUT WILL DECREASE AS THE RIDGING MOVES OFF THE EAST U.S. COAST...ALLOWING THE GRADIENT TO SLACKEN AMD PROVIDE THE PROSPECTS OF A NICE BOATING WEEKEND. && .MARINE...AS MENTIONED ABOVE...WIND WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE STARTING TONIGHT AND LASTING INTO TUESDAY. SCEC CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY MONDAY AND LAST INTO EARLY TUESDAY. && .FIRE WEATHER...INCREASING WINDS WILL ALLOW FOR INCREASING DISPERSIONS MONDAY AND TUESDAY...BUT MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL REMAIN ABOVE ANY FLAG CRITERIA. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TPA 072 085 073 088 / 00 60 40 50 FMY 073 088 072 088 / 00 50 40 50 GIF 071 085 072 088 / 00 60 40 50 SRQ 073 086 075 088 / 00 60 40 50 BKV 068 083 071 088 / 10 50 40 40 && .TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE. && SHORT TERM...ALSHEIMER LONG TERM...RKR
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 19, 5:02 AM EDT, 10 hours 52 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 502 AM EDT SUN SEP 19 2004 FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-191300- CHARLOTTE-CITRUS-DE SOTO-HARDEE-HERNANDO-HIGHLANDS-HILLSBOROUGH-LEE- LEVY-MANATEE-PASCO-PINELLAS-POLK-SARASOTA-SUMTER- 502 AM EDT SUN SEP 19 2004 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA. .DAY ONE...TODAY: NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY: STRONG HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN OVER THE EASTERN UNITED STATES WILL SUPPORT BREEZY NORTHEAST WINDS OVER THE REGION THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK...WITH WINDS OVER THE ADJACENT GULF WATERS POSSIBLY APPROACHING SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION CRITERIA BY TUESDAY. IN ADDITION TO THE INCREASING WINDS...A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING INTO THE REGION LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY COMBINED WITH INCREASING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL RESULT IN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH THE MAIN HAZARD BEING OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING STRIKES. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. && FOR ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION...CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TBW (LOWER CASE) JCM
In the hours before
Local storm report, Sep 19, 3:47 PM EDT, 7 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
347 PM EDT SUN SEP 19 2004
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0333 PM TORNADO 1 WSW CAPE CORAL 26.57N 82.00W
09/19/2004 LEE FL EMERGENCY MNGR
CAPE CORAL FIRE CHIEF REPORTED A BRIEF TORNADO WITH SOME
DAMAGE TO LESS THAN 12 HOMES NEAR THE WATER.
0335 PM WATER SPOUT 2 SW CAPE CORAL 26.55N 82.01W
09/19/2004 LEE FL TRAINED SPOTTER
BRIEFLY A TORNADO IN EXTREME SOUTHWEST CAPE CORAL WITH
SOME DAMAGE TO LESS THAN 12 HOMES.
&&
NOAHThe office that day
Everything else NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 3:40 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | TBW | 35 min | |
| Sep 19, 3:49 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | TBW | Lee | 26 min |
| Sep 19, 4:15 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | TBW | Lee | 30 min |
Nearby
Tornado Warnings in Florida, 2004Every tornado warning in 2004Tornadoes in 2004
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.