Alert archive / Florida / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2004

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 86, NWS Tampa Bay, FL

December 23, 2004Citrus County, Florida

NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Dec 23, 2004, 10:15 AM EST for Citrus County, Florida. It was in force for 45 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Dec 23, 2004, 10:15 AM EST (15:15 UTC)
Expired
Dec 23, 2004, 11:00 AM EST
In force
45 min
Issued by
NWS Tampa Bay, FL
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Citrus County, FL

The radar

The Tampa radar (KTBW), 122 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:14 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Tampa Bay, FL (KTBW), launched 12:00Z, 3.3 hours before the alert went out and 123 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Tampa Bay, FL at 12:00Z on 2004-12-23Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 313 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Tampa Bay, FL at 12:00Z on 2004-12-23The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 314 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
313 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-71 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
712 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
46 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
314 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
391 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
3.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS52 KTBW 231515
SVRTBW
FLC017-231600-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1015 AM EST THU DEC 23 2004

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  CITRUS COUNTY IN FLORIDA.

* UNTIL 1100 AM EST

* AT 1015 AM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WITH DAMAGING WINDS...6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
  HOMOSASSA SPRINGS...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT...
  HOMOSASSA SPRINGS.
  INVERNESS.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CONTAIN WIND GUSTS OF 60 MPH OR HIGHER...AND
HAIL THE SIZE OF PENNIES OR LARGER. MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY.

REPORT SEVERE WEATHER OR DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY
OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN RUSKIN.

&&

LAT...LON 2885 8270 2870 8268 2872 8227 2889 8224

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tampa Bay, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Dec 23, 9:05 AM EST, 1 hour 10 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 23, 9:05 AM EST, 1 hour 10 minutes before
WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
905 AM EST THU DEC 23 2004

.DISCUSSION...SURFACE ANALYSIS PLACES COLD FROM NEAR KTLH TO WEST
OF BUOY 036. RADAR...METARS...AND STLT ALL INDICATING PCPN MOVING
ONSHORE AND ACROSS MUCH OF THE COST FROM KSRQ TO LEVY COUNTY...WHILE
PASCO AND HERNANDO ARE NOW JUST STARTING TO SEE SOME RAINFALL. SOUTH
OF KSRQ THE RAIN IS STILL OFFSHORE BUT EXPECT IT TO MOVE ONSHORE LATE
THIS MORNING. ALTHOUGH THE TIMING OF THE PCPN IN THE SOUTH MAY BE
SLIGHTLY FASTER THAN EXPECTED...THE WORDING IN THE PUBLIC ZONES
GENERALLY COVER THIS AND THE GRIDS ARE FINE.

&&

.MARINE...BUOY DATA AND 12Z RAOB SUPPORT ON GOING MARINE FORECAST
WITH SCA GULF AND SCEC TAMPA BAY. ONLY CHANGE FOR THE 1030 ISSUANCE
WILL BE TO USE WITH GUSTS TO 30KT TODAY ON THE GULF. WINDS WILL
DROP SOME AS THE FRONT MOVES BY BUT THEN PICK BACK UP TO THE
RESPECTIVE HIGHLIGHTS FOR THIS EVENING.

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
 SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY BONITA BEACH TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT 60
 NM
 SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION TAMPA BAY.

&&

RKR
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 23, 5:21 AM EST, 4 hours 54 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
521 AM EST THU DEC 23 2004

FLZ039-042-043-048-231600-
CITRUS-HERNANDO-LEVY-SUMTER-
521 AM EST THU DEC 23 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR FLORIDAS NATURE COAST.

...TURNING SHARPLY COLDER FOR CHRISTMAS...

.DAY ONE...TODAY:

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT MAY PRODUCE WIND GUSTS
TO 30 MPH...AS WELL AS OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND A
BRIEF DOWNPOUR...THROUGH 10 AM THIS MORNING.

TEMPERATURES WILL DROP STEADILY BEHIND THE FRONT...WHICH IS EXPECTED
TO CROSS THE AREA BETWEEN 1 AND 3 PM TODAY.  READINGS NEAR 70 AHEAD
OF THE FRONT WILL FALL TO BETWEEN 50 AND 55 BY SUNSET...AND CONTINUE
DROPPING INTO THE 40S BY DAYBREAK FRIDAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY:

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.  HOWEVER...RAINY RAW
WEATHER IS EXPECTED LATER CHRISTMAS EVE THROUGH CHRISTMAS NIGHT.
DAYTIME TEMPERATURES MAY NOT CRACK 50 EITHER DAY AND MINIMUM
TEMPERATURES WILL FALL INTO THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

&&

FOR ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION...CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TBW (LOWER CASE)

FLZ049>052-055>057-060-061-231600-
DE SOTO-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-HILLSBOROUGH-MANATEE-PASCO-PINELLAS-POLK-
SARASOTA-
521 AM EST THU DEC 23 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

...TURNING SHARPLY COLDER FOR CHRISTMAS...

.DAY ONE...TODAY:

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT MAY PRODUCE WIND GUSTS
TO 30 MPH...AS WELL AS OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND A
BRIEF DOWNPOUR...THROUGH NOON TODAY. ONE OR TWO STORMS MAY BECOME
STRONG...MAINLY OVER SOUTHERN POLK AND HIGHLANDS COUNTIES WHERE THE
ATMOSPHERE MAY BECOME A BIT MORE UNSTABLE.  SUCH A STORM WOULD
PRODUCE WIND GUSTS OF 40 MPH OR MORE ALONG WITH SMALL HAIL.

TEMPERATURES WILL DROP STEADILY BEHIND THE FRONT...WHICH IS EXPECTED
TO CROSS THE AREA BETWEEN 3 AND 5 PM TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY:

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.  HOWEVER...RAINY RAW
WEATHER IS EXPECTED LATER CHRISTMAS EVE THROUGH CHRISTMAS
NIGHT.  DAYTIME TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO ONLY RANGE FROM 50 TO 55
EACH DAY AND MINIMUM TEMPERATURES WILL FALL INTO THE LOWER AND MIDDLE
40S.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

&&

FOR ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION...CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TBW (LOWER CASE)

FLZ062-065-231600-
CHARLOTTE-LEE-
521 AM EST THU DEC 23 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWEST FLORIDA.

...TURNING COOLER FOR CHRISTMAS...

.DAY ONE...TODAY:

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT MAY PRODUCE WIND GUSTS
TO 30 MPH...OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...AND A BRIEF
DOWNPOUR...LATER THIS MORNING AND EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY:

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...PERIODS OF
COOL RAIN ARE EXPECTED LATER CHRISTMAS EVE THROUGH CHRISTMAS NIGHT.
DAYTIME TEMPERATURES FRIDAY WILL ONLY REACH THE LOWER OR MID
60S...AND MAY REMAIN IN THE UPPER 50S ON CHRISTMAS DAY.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

&&

FOR ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION...CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TBW (LOWER CASE)

BSG

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Dec 23, 9:10 AM EST, 1 hour 5 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
910 AM EST THU DEC 23 2004

FLZ039-042-231500-
CITRUS-LEVY-
910 AM EST THU DEC 23 2004

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT THE NORTHERN NATURE COAST...
A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH...WILL AFFECT
YANKEETOWN...LEBANON...OZELLO AND CRYSTAL RIVER...UNTIL 1000 AM EST.
GUSTY WINDS UP TO 50 MPH MAY CAUSE LOOSE OBJECTS TO BLOW AROUND. SOME
DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND WIRES IS POSSIBLE. TORRENTIAL RAINS WILL
REDUCE VISIBILITY TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES. MOTORISTS MAY WANT TO DELAY
TRAVEL.
Special weather statement, Dec 23, 9:53 AM EST, 22 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
953 AM EST THU DEC 23 2004

FLZ039-042-231545-
CITRUS-LEVY-
953 AM EST THU DEC 23 2004

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT CRYSTAL RIVER...
A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH...WILL AFFECT
YANKEETOWN...OZELLO...CRYSTAL RIVER AND HOMOSASSA SPRINGS...UNTIL
1045 AM EST. GUSTY WINDS UP TO 50 MPH MAY CAUSE LOOSE OBJECTS TO BLOW
AROUND. SOME DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND WIRES IS POSSIBLE. TORRENTIAL
RAINS WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADS...AND MINOR FLOODING OF
POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 23, 8:52 AM ESTSpecial Marine WarningTBW53 min
Dec 23, 9:46 AM ESTSpecial Marine WarningTBW29 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Florida, 2004Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.