Alert archive / Florida / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2004

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 59, NWS Tampa Bay, FL

June 28, 2004Hillsborough County, Florida

NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 28, 2004, 7:30 PM EDT for Hillsborough County, Florida. It was in force for 45 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 28, 2004, 7:30 PM EDT (23:30 UTC)
Expired
Jun 28, 2004, 8:15 PM EDT
In force
45 min
Issued by
NWS Tampa Bay, FL
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Hillsborough County, FL

The radar

The Tampa radar (KTBW), 37 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:30 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Tampa Bay, FL (KTBW), launched 12:00Z, 11.5 hours before the alert went out and 37 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Tampa Bay, FL at 12:00Z on 2004-06-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1590 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Tampa Bay, FL at 12:00Z on 2004-06-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -17 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1590 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-29 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
857 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
7 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-17 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
4 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

888 
WUUS52 KTBW 282330
SVRTBW
FLC057-290015-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
730 PM EDT MON JUN 28 2004

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  NORTHERN HILLSBOROUGH COUNTY IN FLORIDA.

* UNTIL 815 PM EDT

* AT 730 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WITH DAMAGING WINDS...OVER TEMPLE TERRACE...
  MOVING WEST AT 10 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT...
  THONOTOSASSA.
  TEMPLE TERRACE.
  EAST LAKE ORIENT PARK.
  LUTZ.
  CARROLLWOOD.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CONTAIN WIND GUSTS OF 60 MPH OR HIGHER...AND
HAIL THE SIZE OF PENNIES OR LARGER. MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY.

REPORT SEVERE WEATHER OR DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY
OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN RUSKIN.


&&

LAT...LON 2801 8224 2818 8231 2810 8264 2789 8255

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tampa Bay, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 28, 1:00 PM EDT, 6 hours 30 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 28, 1:00 PM EDT, 6 hours 30 minutes before
WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
100 PM EDT MON JUN 28 2004

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT-WED)...ETA/MESOETA MODEL OF CHOICE AS GFS HAS
PRODUCED ODD MOS NUMBERS LAST FEW DAYS. WEAKENING TUTT ENERGY OVER
THE AREA AND LL CONVERGENT BOUNDARIES COLLISIONS TO HELP THIS
AFTERNOONS CONVECTION TO PERSIST INTO THE EVENING. WITH EAST COAST
BREEZE RACING OVER THE PENINSULA ATTM COMBINED WITH CLOUD COVER
HINDERING DEV OF WEST COAST BREEZE WITH E/SE FLOW THRU 8-15K FT WILL
KEEP HIGHER SCT POPS MAINLY OVER THE COASTAL COUNTIES. SOME OF THE
STORMS MAY AGAIN BE STRONG. MIN TEMPS NEAR NORMAL.

TUE...MODELS DONT INDICATE ALTO CU DECK LIKE TODAY. SO EXPECT MORE
TYPICAL SUMMERTIME DIURNAL PRECIP PATTERN. MODEL SOUNDING AND TIME
HEIGHTS SHOWING SE FLOW TO BECOME QUITE DEEP CONTINUING MOIST AND
UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE. PWATS NEAR 2 INCHES...-7 LI...AND 3000 CAPES.
WE KEEP NUMEROUS AFTERNOON POPS ALONG ALL COASTAL AREAS WITH HIGH END
SCT ELSEWHERE. PRECIP AGAIN TO PRESIST IN THE EVENING. TEMPS NEAR
NORMAL.

WED...WESTWARD MOVING BAHAMIAN TUTT AND WEAK TROPICAL WAVE TO
APPROACH SE FL WITH SUBSIDENCE AHEAD OF THESE FEATURES. MODELS HAVE
GOOD HANDLE ON DRY AIR AIR MID/UPPER LEVELS. WILL LOWER POPS TO 30/40
PERCENT ON WED AHEAD OF WAVE. MAX TEMP A DEGREE OR 2 ABOVE TUE.

.LONG TERM (WED NIGHT - SUN)...IN GENERAL...A FAIRLY PERSISTENT AND
RATHER TYPICAL PATTERN TO BEGIN JULY WITH 500 MB RIDGE PARKED ACROSS
THE PENINSULA INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.  THAT SAID...THE TRUE BERMUDA
HIGH HAS NOT SET UP JUST YET...WHICH DOES NOT ALLOW FOR THE DEEP E/SE
FLOW WHICH PINS THE GULF COAST SEA BREEZE NEAR THE COAST...PROVIDING
MORE PCPN FOR THE URBAN COASTAL AREAS AS WELL AS THE BEACHES.
INSTEAD...BOUNDARY COLLISIONS WILL REMAIN THE FOCUS FOR MAINLY
AFTERNOON THROUGH EVENING ACTIVITY.

ONE HOPE FOR COASTAL RAINS EXISTS THURSDAY AND PERHAPS FRIDAY AS
WEAK EASTERLY WAVE MOVES ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA AND CUBA...WHICH
SHOULD ENHANCE DEEP MOISTURE AND PROVIDE BETTER CHANCES AND COVERAGE
AT LEAST FOR THURS AFTN.  BY THE WEEKEND...RIDGE RE-CENTERS OVER THE
CENTRAL PENINSULA BRINGING RETURN TO BOUNDARY COLLISION TYPE STORMS
ONCE AGAIN AND PCPN COVERAGE PERHAPS A BIT BELOW NORMAL.

SO...HAVE PUSHED TSTMS INTO THE NUMEROUS CATEGORY THURS AFTN FOR
THE COASTAL AND SW COUNTIES...DROPPING BACK TO SCATTERED FRI AND
BEYOND.  NO CHANGES TO TEMPS WHICH SHOULD BE NEAR SEASONAL NORMS.

&&

.MARINE...HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE AXIS OVER THE NORTHERN GULF THRU MID
WEEK. WEAK TROPICAL WAVE EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF
THU/FRI. WITH HIGH PRESSURE RETURNING FOR THE WEEKEND. WINDS AND
SEAS EXPECTED TO REMAIN BENIGN. AND AS USUAL...EXPECT WINDS AND SEAS
TO BE HIGHER IN AND AROUND ANY TSTMS THAT DEVELOP.

&&

.FIRE WX...PLENTY OF MOISTURE FOR NO HIGHLIGHTS. SOME DRIER AIR
ALOFT WED MAY DROP AFTERNOON RH LEVELS INTO THE LOWER 40S. MOISTURE
TO RETURN FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA 75 91 75 91 / 40 60 40 40
FMY 73 91 73 92 / 40 60 40 40
GIF 74 92 73 92 / 40 50 40 40
SRQ 73 90 73 90 / 40 60 40 40
BKV 70 91 71 92 / 30 50 30 40

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

RD/BG
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 28, 5:09 AM EDT, 14 hours 21 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
509 AM EDT MON JUN 28 2004

FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-281415-
CHARLOTTE-CITRUS-DE SOTO-HARDEE-HERNANDO-HIGHLANDS-HILLSBOROUGH-LEE-
LEVY-MANATEE-PASCO-PINELLAS-POLK-SARASOTA-SUMTER-
509 AM EDT MON JUN 28 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY:

ANOTHER DAY OF ABOVE NORMAL HEAT ALONG WITH FAIRLY HIGH HUMIDITIES
WILL PUSH HEAT INDICES INTO THE 100 TO 105 DEGREE RANGE LATER THIS
MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON. DRINK PLENTY OF WATER...BEFORE YOU GET
THIRSTY. WEAR LIGHT WEIGHT AND LIGHT COLORED CLOTHING. RESERVE
STRENUOUS EXERCISE FOR EARLY MORNING OR EVENING HOURS. STAY NEAR AIR
CONDITIONED LOCATIONS IF POSSIBLE.

IN ADDITION TO THE HEAT...ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER
THE EASTERN GULF WATERS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THIS MORNING. BY
THIS AFTERNOON...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL REFORM
OVER LAND ALONG THE WEST COAST SEA BREEZE AND CONTINUE INTO THE
EVENING HOURS. EXPECT THE MOST NUMEROUS SHOWERS TO OCCUR ALONG THE
COAST FROM THE TAMPA BAY AREA SOUTH.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THAT FORM NORTH OF THE TAMPA BAY AREA WILL
MOVE TOWARD THE NORTH TO NORTHEAST...WHEREAS FROM TAMPA SOUTH MOTION
WILL BE TOWARD THE NORTHWEST. SOME THUNDERSTORMS COULD BECOME STRONG
LATER IN THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING WITH THE MAIN THREATS BEING
GUSTY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES...AND POSSIBLY SMALL
HAIL.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR
UPDATES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY:

SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEK. ALSO HEAT INDICES WILL CONTINUE TO MAX
OUT AROUND 100 DEGREES.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS SHOULD BE PREPARED TO SELF ACTIVATE TODAY WHENEVER THE
WEATHER CONDITIONS BECOME THREATENING.

&&

FOR ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION...CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TBW (LOWER CASE)

RJS

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 28, 1:50 PM EDT, 5 hours 40 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
150 PM EDT MON JUN 28 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0515 PM     HAIL             INVERNESS               28.84N 82.34W
06/25/2004  1.00 INCH        CITRUS             FL   PUBLIC

0515 PM     TSTM WND DMG     INVERNESS               28.84N 82.34W
06/25/2004                   CITRUS             FL   PUBLIC

            DAMAGE AT RESIDENCE INCLUDED...TWO 2 FOOT DIAMETER LIMBS
            DOWN...FASCIA RIPPED FROM ROOF...POSSIBLE SHINGLE DAMAGE
            TO ROOF. ALSO...HEAVY STATUE IN GROUND RIPPED OUT...BOAT
            MOVED 200 FEET INTO SIDE OF NEIGHBORS HOUSE.

&&
REPORTS RECEIVED ON MONDAY JUNE 28.

JS
Special weather statement, Jun 28, 2:24 PM EDT, 5 hours 6 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
224 PM EDT MON JUN 28 2004

FLZ062-065-282000-
CHARLOTTE-LEE-
224 PM EDT MON JUN 28 2004

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT SOUTHWEST FLORIDA...
A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH...WILL AFFECT
BONITA SPRINGS AND BONITA SHORES BY 3 PM...LEHIGH ACRES AND ESTERO
BY 330 PM...AND FORT MYERS BY 4 PM EDT. THE STRONGEST STORMS WILL
CONTAIN GUSTY WINDS UP TO 50 MPH AND MAY CAUSE LOOSE OBJECTS TO BLOW
AROUND. SOME DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND WIRES IS POSSIBLE. EXCESSIVE
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS EXPECTED IF OUTSIDE...CROUCH DOWN IN A
LOW SPOT...AWAY FROM TALL OBJECTS. IF INDOORS...REFRAIN FROM USING
ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES. HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER IS
EXPECTED. TORRENTIAL RAINS WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON
ROADS...AND MINOR FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.
Local storm report, Jun 28, 3:26 PM EDT, 4 hours 4 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
326 PM EDT MON JUN 28 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0410 PM     HAIL             3 NE ELLENTON           27.55N 82.49W
06/27/2004  0.75 INCH        MANATEE            FL   NWS EMPLOYEE

0415 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 E DUETTE              27.59N 82.07W
06/27/2004                   MANATEE            FL   CO-OP OBSERVER

            LARGE TREES DOWN

&&

JS
Special weather statement, Jun 28, 5:12 PM EDT, 2 hours 18 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
512 PM EDT MON JUN 28 2004

FLZ062-282200-
CHARLOTTE-
512 PM EDT MON JUN 28 2004

...EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING WILL AFFECT PORT CHARLOTTE...
A THUNDERSTORM...MOVING WEST AT 15 MPH...WILL AFFECT
CLEVELAND...PUNTA GORDA...CHARLOTTE HARBOR AND PORT
CHARLOTTE...UNTIL 600 PM EDT. GUSTY WINDS UP TO 50 MPH MAY CAUSE
LOOSE OBJECTS TO BLOW AROUND. SOME DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND WIRES IS
POSSIBLE. EXCESSIVE CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS EXPECTED IF
OUTSIDE...CROUCH DOWN IN A LOW SPOT...AWAY FROM TALL OBJECTS. IF
INDOORS...REFRAIN FROM USING ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES. RAINFALL RATES
OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR WILL OCCUR. MOTORISTS CAN EXPECT PONDING
OF WATER ON ROADS...AND MINOR FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.
Special weather statement, Jun 28, 6:47 PM EDT, 43 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
647 PM EDT MON JUN 28 2004

FLZ043-048-282330-
HERNANDO-SUMTER-
647 PM EDT MON JUN 28 2004

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT RIDGE MANOR...
A THUNDERSTORM...MOVING WEST AT 15 MPH...WILL AFFECT RIDGE MANOR AND
BROOKSVILLE...UNTIL 730 PM EDT. GUSTY WINDS UP TO 50 MPH MAY CAUSE
LOOSE OBJECTS TO BLOW AROUND. SOME DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND WIRES IS
POSSIBLE. FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS EXPECTED. IF CAUGHT
OUTSIDE...CROUCH DOWN IN A LOW SPOT...AWAY FROM TALL OBJECTS.
RAINFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR WILL OCCUR. MOTORISTS CAN
EXPECT PONDING OF WATER ON ROADS...AND MINOR FLOODING OF POOR
DRAINAGE AREAS.
Special weather statement, Jun 28, 7:12 PM EDT, 18 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
712 PM EDT MON JUN 28 2004

FLZ049-051-290000-
HILLSBOROUGH-PASCO-
712 PM EDT MON JUN 28 2004

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT HILLSBOROUGH RIVER BASIN...
A STRONG THUNDERSTORM...MOVING WEST AT 15 MPH...WILL AFFECT
HILLSBOROUGH RIVER STATE PARK...THONOTOSASSA...WESLEY CHAPEL...AND
NEW TAMPA...UNTIL 800 PM EDT. GUSTY WINDS UP TO 50 MPH MAY CAUSE
LOOSE OBJECTS TO BLOW AROUND. SOME DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND WIRES IS
POSSIBLE. EXCESSIVE CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS EXPECTED IF
OUTSIDE...CROUCH DOWN IN A LOW SPOT...AWAY FROM TALL OBJECTS. IF
INDOORS...REFRAIN FROM USING ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES. HAIL UP TO ONE
HALF INCH IN DIAMETER IS EXPECTED.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 28, 7:48 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningTBW57 min
Jun 28, 7:54 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningTBW66 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Florida, 2004Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.