Alert archive / Florida / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2004

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 5, NWS Tampa Bay, FL

April 11, 2004Highlands County, Florida

NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Apr 11, 2004, 7:19 PM EDT for Highlands County, Florida. It was in force for 26 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 11, 2004, 7:19 PM EDT (23:19 UTC)
Expired
Apr 11, 2004, 7:45 PM EDT
In force
26 min
Issued by
NWS Tampa Bay, FL
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Highlands County, FL

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Tampa Bay, FL (KTBW), launched 12:00Z, 11.3 hours before the alert went out and 111 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Tampa Bay, FL at 12:00Z on 2004-04-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Tampa Bay, FL at 12:00Z on 2004-04-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 59 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1248 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
34 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
59 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
60 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

859 
WUUS52 KTBW 112319
SVRTBW
FLC055-112345-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
718 PM EDT SUN APR 11 2004

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  NORTHERN HIGHLANDS COUNTY IN FLORIDA.

* UNTIL 745 PM EDT

* AT 718 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...OVER
  CENTRAL HIGHLANDS COUNTY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT...
  SEBRING.

MOVE INSIDE A STURDY BUILDING. DAMAGING WIND...LARGE HAIL...
TORRENTIAL RAIN...AND DEADLY LIGHTNING ARE EXPECTED. STAY INSIDE AWAY
FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

QUARTER SIZE HAIL IS LIKELY. MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY.

REPORT SEVERE WEATHER OR DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY
OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN RUSKIN. &&

LAT...LON 2748 8146 2735 8132 2760 8099 2764 8124

$$

63

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tampa Bay, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Apr 11, 1:46 PM EDT, 5 hours 33 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 11, 1:46 PM EDT, 5 hours 33 minutes before
WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
146 PM EDT SUN APR 11 2004

...SOME MUCH NEEDED RAIN IN STORE...

.CURRENTLY...ANVIL CIRRUS OVERSPREADING ENTIRE CWA AT THIS TIME...
BUT HAS BEEN THIN ENOUGH SO FAR TO ALLOW PLENTY OF SUNSHINE TO
FILTER THROUGH. CONVECTION STILL REMAINS WELL OFFSHORE AND SHOULD
NOT EFFECT US THROUGH THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON...ALTHOUGH AN
ISOLATED SHOWER/TSTM IS STILL NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION WELL INLAND
LATE.

&&

.SHORT TERM (TNGT THRU TUE)...QUESTION IS NOT SO MUCH IF IT WILL
RAIN AS IT IS HOW MUCH WILL IT RAIN. VERY DEEP TROF WILL MOVE SLOWLY
THROUGH THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO THE SOUTHEAST OVER THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. AHEAD OF THE TROF...STRONG UPPER LEVEL
DIVERGENCE...GOOD LOW LEVEL JET...AND PLENTY OF MOISTURE WILL
ADVECT INTO THE AREA. LOOKS LIKE TWO MAIN ROUNDS OF CONVECTION WILL
OCCUR. THE FIRST WITH AN INITIAL DISTURBANCE OVERNIGHT INTO THE
FIRST HALF OF MONDAY...THE SECOND WITH A COLD FRONT LATE MONDAY
NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. EACH ROUND HAS THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE HEAVY
RAINS WITH TWO INCH PLUS STORM TOTALS NOT UNCOMMON BY TUESDAY
AFTERNOON.

WIND FIELDS AND COOLING UPPER LEVELS SUPPORT THE CHANCE FOR
ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH EACH ROUND OF CONVECTION...BUT IT
LOOKS DIFFICULT TO GET ALL THE INGREDIENTS LINED UP AT THE SAME
TIME FOR A SIGNIFICANT OUTBREAK. FOR INSTANCE...LOW LEVEL WIND FIELDS
WILL BE MOST CONDUCIVE EARLY MONDAY MORNING...WHILE BEST UPPER LEVEL
JET SUPPORT LOOKS TO ARRIVE LATER.

&&

.LONG TERM (TUE NIGHT-SUN)...THE LONGWAVE TROUGH WILL PUSH THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.  MODELS ARE A LITTLE SLOWER THIS RUN AND WILL SLOW DOWN
PROGRESSING SHOWERS THROUGH THE AREA.  THE ONLY REAL EFFECT WILL BE
TO HOLD ONTO A 20 POP FOR THE FT MYERS AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT.  AFTER
THAT THE TROUGH PASSES AND STALLS TO OUR EAST WE GET INTO NORTHERLY
FLOW ALOFT.  THIS ALLOWS A SURFACE RIDGE TO BUILD OVER THE STATE AND
PROGRESS EASTWARD WELL INTO THE ATLANTIC BY THE END OF THE WEEK AND
THE WEEKEND.  THE NET RESULT WILL BE SEASONALLY COOL (ESPECIALLY
AT NIGHT) DRY CONDITIONS.

&&

.MARINE...WINDS WILL INCREASE OVERNIGHT AS A LOW CENTER DEEPENS IN
THE CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO. SCEC CRITERIA MAY BE MET LATE TONIGHT...
SO I WILL PUT UP THE HEADLINE. WINDS CONTINUE PERIODICALLY BREEZY...
ALTHOUGH I THINK THE BEST WINDS MAY COME WITH THE COLD ADVECTION
PATTERN TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE
WESTERN GULF. WINDS AND SEAS SHOULD COME BACK DOWN FOR THE END OF
THE WEEK.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...NO CONCERNS THROUGH TUESDAY WITH LOADS OF MOISTURE
AND RAIN. MAY NEED ADVISORIES LATER IN THE WEEK AS THE ATMOSPHERE
DRIES OUT AND WINDS INCREASE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA 070 080 068 074 / 80 70 70 60
FMY 069 081 069 078 / 50 80 70 70
GIF 069 081 067 078 / 80 80 70 60
SRQ 069 079 069 075 / 70 70 70 70
BKV 065 079 063 073 / 90 70 70 50

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
 SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION BONITA BEACH TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT TO
 60 NM INCLUDING TAMPA BAY.

ALSHEIMER/SOBIEN
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 11, 12:18 PM EDT, 7 hours 1 minute before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1218 PM EDT SUN APR 11 2004

FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-112217-
CHARLOTTE-CITRUS-DE SOTO-HARDEE-HERNANDO-HIGHLANDS-HILLSBOROUGH-LEE-
LEVY-MANATEE-PASCO-PINELLAS-POLK-SARASOTA-SUMTER-
1218 PM EDT SUN APR 11 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY:

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE TONIGHT...

A LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF
MEXICO WILL BE MOVING TOWARD FLORIDA THIS AFTERNOON AND SHOULD ARRIVE
IN THE NATURE COAST THIS EVENING AND THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA
OVERNIGHT.

DAMAGING WIND WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT WITH THE LINE OF STRONGER
THUNDERSTORMS. TREES...POWER LINES...AND POORLY CONSTRUCTED BUILDINGS
WILL BE MOST AT RISK.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR
POSSIBLE WATCHES OR WARNINGS.

HEAVY RAINS ARE ALSO EXPECTED WITH THE THUNDERSTORMS
OVERNIGHT...MAINLY FROM THE TAMPA BAY AREA NORTHWARD. THE RAIN MAY
CAUSE MINOR FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AND LOW LYING AREAS.

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY:

THE THREAT FOR STRONG THUNDERSTORMS AND HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT THROUGHOUT THE ENTIRE AREA.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED TONIGHT.

&&

FOR ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION...CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TBW (LOWER CASE)

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Apr 11, 6:48 PM EDT, 31 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
648 PM EDT SUN APR 11 2004

FLZ048-049-051-112330-
HERNANDO-HILLSBOROUGH-PASCO-
648 PM EDT SUN APR 11 2004

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT NORTHERN HILLSBOROUGH...
PASCO...AND HERNANDO COUNTIES...

THUNDERSTORMS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH...WILL AFFECT
ODESSA...LUTZ...MOON LAKE ESTATES AND LAND O LAKES...UNTIL 730 PM
EDT. GUSTY WINDS UP TO 40 MPH WILL OCCUR. FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING IS EXPECTED. IF CAUGHT OUTSIDE...CROUCH DOWN IN A LOW
SPOT...AWAY FROM TALL OBJECTS. HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER
IS EXPECTED. RAINFALL RATES OF 1 INCH PER HOUR ARE EXPECTED.

DAVIS

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 11, 6:56 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningTBW64 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Florida, 2004Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.