Alert archive / Florida / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2004
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 47, NWS Tampa Bay, FL
NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 25, 2004, 5:45 PM EDT for Hillsborough County, Pasco County, Florida. It was in force for 30 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 25, 2004, 5:45 PM EDT (21:45 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 25, 2004, 6:15 PM EDT
- In force
- 30 min
- Issued by
- NWS Tampa Bay, FL
- Area
- Counties, with a storm outline in the text
Counties Hillsborough County, FL, Pasco County, FL
The radar
The Tampa radar (KTBW), 52 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:48 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
Tampa Bay, FL (KTBW), launched 12:00Z, 9.8 hours before the alert went out and 52 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 2751 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -22 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 707 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 9 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 19 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 58 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
804 WUUS52 KTBW 252145 SVRTBW FLC057-101-252215- BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 545 PM EDT FRI JUN 25 2004 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... NORTHERN HILLSBOROUGH COUNTY IN FLORIDA. SOUTHERN PASCO COUNTY IN FLORIDA. * UNTIL 615 PM EDT * AT 545 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...OVER LUTZ. THE STORM WAS DRIFTING SLOWLY NORTH. * THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT... LUTZ. LAND O LAKES. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CONTAIN WIND GUSTS OF 60 MPH OR HIGHER...AND HAIL THE SIZE OF PENNIES OR LARGER. MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY. && LAT...LON 2820 8252 2812 8251 2812 8238 2820 8239 $$ 69
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tampa Bay, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 25, 1:10 PM EDT, 4 hours 35 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 25, 1:10 PM EDT, 4 hours 35 minutes before
WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 110 PM EDT FRI JUN 25 2004 .SHORT TERM (TONIGHT - SUN)...TONIGHT WILL BE VERY SIMILAR TO LAST EVENING WITH MOIST UNSTABLE AIR MASS AND SEA/LAKE BREEZE BOUNDARIES SUPPORTING SCATTERED EVENING SHOWERS AND STORMS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. WITH RATHER COOL AIR ALOFT SOME STORMS COULD AGAIN BE ON THE STRONG SIDE WITH HAIL AND OR DAMAGING WINDS. BY LATER TONIGHT ALL THE CONVECTION WILL AGAIN WIND DOWN...WITH SKIES CLEARING OVERNIGHT. DURING SATURDAY AND SUNDAY LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED. DEEP LAYERED RIDGING WILL CONTINUE OVER THE REGION WITH THE SURFACE RIDGE AXIS MEANDERING ABOUT THE CENTRAL PENINSULA. SUFFICIENT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE COMBINED WITH DAILY AFTERNOON SEA BREEZE CIRCULATIONS WILL SUPPORT NEAR NORMAL LATE JUNE DIURNAL SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AND STORMS...AND WILL DEPICT POPS IN THE 40-50% RANGE FOR BOTH DAYS. WITH AN EXPECTED INCREASE IN PRECIP COVERAGE THE NEXT FEW DAYS MAX TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE A FEW DEGREES LOWER THAN PREVIOUS DAYS (NO MORE UPPER 90S)...BUT STILL EXPECTED TO RUN A FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL...WITH READINGS 90 TO LOWER 90S ALONG THE COAST TO THE LOWER/MID 90S WELL INLAND. EVEN THOUGH TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE SLIGHTLY LOWER...DEW POINTS IN THE LOWER/MID 70S WILL KEEP THINGS QUITE UNCOMFORTABLE OUTDOORS WITH HEAT INDICES CONTINUING TO RUN IN THE 100-105 DEGREE RANGE EACH AFTERNOON. MET/MAV TEMPS CLOSE AND WILL USE A BLEND. .LONG TERM (SUN NIGHT - FRI)...ONLY MAJOR CHANGE TO FORECAST IS TO INTRODUCE ISOLD LAND BREEZE SHOWERS OUT OVER THE GULF EACH OVERNIGHT IN THE PERIOD. WE HAD SOME SHOWERS OUT THERE THIS MORNING...AND IT IS THE TIME OF YEAR WHEN THESE USUALLY DEVELOP. OTHERWISE...SFC RIDGE AXIS MEANDERS N AND S OVER THE CENTRAL FA. WEAK RIDGING CONTINUES ALOFT AS TUTT LOW MAINTAINS ITS POSITION OVER THE CENTRAL GULF...AND ANOTHER LOW E OF THE BAHAMAS CONTINUES TO MOVE OUT TO SEA. SHOULD SEE TYPICAL SCT AFTN AND EVENING TSTMS FORMING ALONG SEA BREEZE AND OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES. LONG RANGE GUIDANCE INDICATES A TROPICAL WAVE WILL PUSH THRU S FL ON FRI...BUT WILL WAIT FOR FUTURE MODEL RUNS BEFORE MAKING A SHIFT AWAY FROM CLIMO FOR POPS. && .MARINE...SURFACE RIDGE AXIS WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE CENTRAL WATERS THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH LITTLE CHANGE TO ONGOING FORECAST EXPECTED. A LIGHT SOUTHEAST TO SOUTHWEST WIND FLOW FROM SOUTH TO NORTH WITH DAILY AFTERNOON SEA BREEZE NEAR SHORE EXPECTED EACH DAY. WIND/SEA MAY BE HIGHER IN THE VICINITY OF THUNDERSTORMS...OTHERWISE NO HIGHLIGHTS ARE EXPECTED. && .FIRE WEATHER...HUMIDITY LEVELS EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL VALUES THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH NO WATCHES OR FLAGS EXPECTED. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TPA 076 091 076 093/ 20 40 20 40 FMY 075 093 075 093/ 20 40 20 50 GIF 076 094 074 094/ 30 50 20 50 SRQ 076 091 075 091/ 20 40 20 40 BKV 073 092 071 092/ 20 40 20 50 && .TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE. && SHORT TERM...MCMICHAEL LONG TERM...SHARP
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 25, 5:29 AM EDT, 12 hours 16 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 529 AM EDT FRI JUN 25 2004 FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-251400- CHARLOTTE-CITRUS-DE SOTO-HARDEE-HERNANDO-HIGHLANDS-HILLSBOROUGH-LEE- LEVY-MANATEE-PASCO-PINELLAS-POLK-SARASOTA-SUMTER- 529 AM EDT FRI JUN 25 2004 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA. .DAY ONE...TODAY: ...ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE AGAIN TODAY... SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FIRST ALONG THE WEST COAST SEA BREEZE BOUNDARY BY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY INTENSIFY DURING THE AFTERNOON AS THEY MOVE INLAND WITH THE SEA BREEZE. IN GENERAL...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE EASTWARD DURING THE AFTERNOON FROM SARASOTA NORTHWARD...BUT HAVE A SLOW MOTION TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OVER SOUTHWEST FLORIDA. THE MAIN THREAT FROM ANY STRONG TO POSSIBLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE DAMAGING WIND...SMALL HAIL AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...ESPECIALLY ACROSS LOCATIONS WELL INLAND. REMEMBER TO MOVE INDOORS AS SOON AS YOU HEAR THUNDER OR SEE LIGHTNING. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR POSSIBLE WATCHES OR WARNINGS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY: SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED EACH DAY. THERE WILL BE A RISK FOR STRONG STORMS EACH AFTERNOON. STAY TUNED TO THE LATEST FORECASTS FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... SPOTTER SHOULD BE PREPARED TO ACTIVATE ON THEIR OWN IF THREATENING WEATHER DEVELOPS. && FOR ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION...CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TBW (LOWER CASE)
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jun 25, 2:21 PM EDT, 3 hours 24 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 221 PM EDT FRI JUN 25 2004 FLZ065-251900- LEE- 221 PM EDT FRI JUN 25 2004 ...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT WESTERN LEE COUNTY... THUNDERSTORMS...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH...WILL AFFECT ESTERO...FORT MYERS VILLAS...WHISKEY CREEK AND TICE...UNTIL 300 PM EDT. GUSTY WINDS 40 TO 50 MPH MAY CAUSE LOOSE OBJECTS TO BLOW AROUND. MINOR DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND WIRES IS POSSIBLE. FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS EXPECTED. IF CAUGHT OUTSIDE...CROUCH DOWN IN A LOW SPOT...AWAY FROM TALL OBJECTS. HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER IS POSSIBLE. TORRENTIAL RAINS WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADS...AND MINOR FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. JILLSON
Local storm report, Jun 25, 4:01 PM EDT, 1 hour 44 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
401 PM EDT FRI JUN 25 2004
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0155 PM TSTM WND DMG SPRING HILL 28.44N 82.56W
06/25/2004 HERNANDO FL FIRE DEPT/RESCUE
TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN AT LINDEN DRIVE AND FISH COVE
DR.
&&
JSSpecial weather statement, Jun 25, 4:53 PM EDT, 52 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 453 PM EDT FRI JUN 25 2004 FLZ061-062-252130- CHARLOTTE-DESOTO- 453 PM EDT FRI JUN 25 2004 ...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT CHARLOTTE AND SOUTHWEST DESOTO COUNTIES... THUNDERSTORMS...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 5 MPH...WILL AFFECT CLEVELAND AND FORT OGDEN...UNTIL 530 PM EDT. GUSTY WINDS UP TO 50 MPH MAY CAUSE LOOSE OBJECTS TO BLOW AROUND. SOME DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND WIRES IS POSSIBLE. FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS EXPECTED. IF CAUGHT OUTSIDE...CROUCH DOWN IN A LOW SPOT...AWAY FROM TALL OBJECTS. THIS STORM MAY PRODUCE PEA SIZE HAIL. TORRENTIAL RAINS WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADS...AND MINOR FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. JILLSON
Special weather statement, Jun 25, 5:22 PM EDT, 23 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 522 PM EDT FRI JUN 25 2004 FLZ049-051-252200- HILLSBOROUGH-PASCO- 522 PM EDT FRI JUN 25 2004 ...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT NORTHWEST HILLSBOROUGH AND CENTRAL PASCO COUNTIES... THUNDERSTORMS...MOVING NORTH AT 5 MPH...WILL AFFECT LUTZ AND LAND O LAKES...UNTIL 600 PM EDT. GUSTY WINDS UP TO 50 MPH MAY CAUSE LOOSE OBJECTS TO BLOW AROUND. SOME DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND WIRES IS POSSIBLE. EXCESSIVE CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS EXPECTED IF OUTSIDE...CROUCH DOWN IN A LOW SPOT...AWAY FROM TALL OBJECTS. IF INDOORS...REFRAIN FROM USING ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES. HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER IS POSSIBLE. TORRENTIAL RAINS WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADS...AND MINOR FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. JILLSON
The office that day
Everything else NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 24, 8:00 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TBW | Pasco | 30 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Florida, 2004Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2004
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.