Alert archive / Florida / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2004
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 39, NWS Tampa Bay, FL
NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 10, 2004, 5:22 PM EDT for Polk County, Florida. It was in force for 38 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 10, 2004, 5:22 PM EDT (21:22 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 10, 2004, 6:00 PM EDT
- In force
- 38 min
- Issued by
- NWS Tampa Bay, FL
- Area
- Counties, with a storm outline in the text
County Polk County, FL
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
Tampa Bay, FL (KTBW), launched 12:00Z, 9.4 hours before the alert went out and 74 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 954 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -35 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 801 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 6 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 8 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 3 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
824 WUUS52 KTBW 102122 SVRTBW FLC105-102200- BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 522 PM EDT THU JUN 10 2004 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... NORTHERN POLK COUNTY IN FLORIDA. * UNTIL 600 PM EDT * AT 522 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...5 MILES NORTHWEST OF AUBURNDALE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH. * THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT... AUBURNDALE. POLK CITY. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CONTAIN WIND GUSTS OF 60 MPH OR HIGHER...AND HAIL THE SIZE OF PENNIES OR LARGER. MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY. && LAT...LON 2816 8197 2803 8182 2818 8169 2829 8182 $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tampa Bay, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 10, 3:30 PM EDT, 1 hour 52 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 10, 3:30 PM EDT, 1 hour 52 minutes before
WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 330 PM EDT THU JUN 10 2004 SHORT TERM (TONIGHT-SAT)...SURFACE RIDGE HAS SLIPPED SOUTH AND WINDS ARE CURRENTLY LIGHT SOUTH EXCEPT NORTHERN COASTAL AREAS HAVE WESTERLY FLOW. SURFACE WIND FLOW WILL PROMOTE EARLIER CONVECTION TO THE NORTH THAT MOVES INLAND TOWARD THE EAST COAST. TO THE SOUTH... THUNDERSTORMS WILL STAY CLOSER TO THE COAST. MID/UPPER RIDGE WILL DRIFT TOWARD FL AND PRODUCE A SUBSIDENT FLOW. THAT SHOULD DECREASE COVERAGE SLIGHTLY AND LIMIT THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS TO INLAND AND EAST COAST AREAS. .LONG TERM (SUN NGT-THURS)...NO MUCH CHANGE ATTM. EARLY IN THE PERIOD GFS BRINGS TROPICAL FEATURES IN NW CARIB INTO THE GULF BUT OTHER MODELS SOLUTIONS DIFFER ON STRENGTH AND POSITIONS AFTER THAT. SO WILL KEEP CURRENT PACKAGE UNTIL WE CAN GET SOME CONTINIUITY WITH MODELS. AFTER THAT RIDGING CONTINUES OVER THE REGION WITH NEAR CLIMO TEMPS AND POPS. && .MARINE...NO MAJOR CHANGES OR CONCERNS THROUGH THE PERIOD. THUNDERTORMS WILL OCCUR FROM LATE NIGHT THROUGH AROUND NOON IN THE SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW. && .FIRE WEATHER...NO HIGHLIGHTS. && PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TPA 089/075 089/076 091 403 FMY 091/074 090/075 091 424 GIF 091/073 092/074 092 444 SRQ 088/074 088/075 088 403 BKV 090/071 090/071 091 423 && .TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE. && SHORT TERM...CP LONG TERM...RD
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 10, 5:35 AM EDT, 11 hours 47 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 535 AM EDT THU JUN 10 2004 FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-101500- CHARLOTTE-CITRUS-DE SOTO-HARDEE-HERNANDO-HIGHLANDS-HILLSBOROUGH-LEE- LEVY-MANATEE-PASCO-PINELLAS-POLK-SARASOTA-SUMTER- 535 AM EDT THU JUN 10 2004 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA. .DAY ONE...TODAY: ...ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING... ABUNDANT MOISTURE COMBINED WITH DAYTIME HEATING...THE SEA BREEZES... AND OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES...WILL LEAD TO SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A RATHER LIGHT SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL SETUP DURING THE DAY AND THIS WILL ALLOW THE WEST COAST SEA BREEZE TO MOVE WELL INLAND EAST OF THE INTERSTATE 75 CORRIDOR. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL POP UP ACROSS THE REGION EARLY THIS AFTERNOON AND THEN BECOME MORE NUMEROUS BY LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE MOST NUMEROUS OVER INTERIOR AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. HOWEVER...DUE TO THE LIGHT FLOW...OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES MAY CAUSE A FEW STORMS TO DEVELOP BACK TOWARD THE COAST DURING THE EVENING. THE MAIN THREATS FROM TODAYS STORMS WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL THAT COULD CAUSE MINOR FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AND LOW LYING AREAS. ALSO...BECAUSE BOUNDARIES WILL BE NUMEROUS...THERE IS A VERY LOW THREAT FOR A SMALL BRIEF TORNADO OR WATERSPOUT. WHEN SKIES DARKEN...MOVE INDOORS. IF THERE IS TIME...UNPLUG APPLIANCES AND ELECTRICAL EQUIPMENT. WAIT UNTIL THE STORM ENDS BEFORE USING THE TELEPHONE OR RUNNING WATER. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS TODAY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY: A MOIST SOUTHWEST TO WEST FLOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA AND THIS WILL FAVOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS NEAR THE COAST DURING THE MORNING HOURS THEN SHIFTING INLAND EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED THIS AFTERNOON. && FOR ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION...CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TBW (LOWER CASE) PRC
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jun 10, 3:01 PM EDT, 2 hours 21 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 301 PM EDT THU JUN 10 2004 FLZ042-043-102000- CITRUS-SUMTER- 301 PM EDT THU JUN 10 2004 ...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT EASTERN CITRUS AND NORTHERN SUMTER COUNTIES... THUNDERSTORMS MOVING EAST AT 5 TO 10 MPH...WILL AFFECT INVERNESS ...WILDWOOD AND LAKE PANASOFFKEE...UNTIL 400 PM EDT. GUSTY WINDS UP TO 50 MPH MAY CAUSE LOOSE OBJECTS TO BLOW AROUND. SOME DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND WIRES IS POSSIBLE. THIS STORM WILL PRODUCE PEA SIZE HAIL. RUDE
Special weather statement, Jun 10, 4:31 PM EDT, 51 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 431 PM EDT THU JUN 10 2004 FLZ057-061-102115- DE SOTO-HIGHLANDS- 431 PM EDT THU JUN 10 2004 ...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT SOUTH CENTRAL FLORIDA... A THUNDERSTORM...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH...WILL AFFECT RURAL SOUTHWESTERN HIGHLANDS COUNTY AND RURAL EASTERN DESOTO COUNTY...UNTIL 515 PM EDT. GUSTY WINDS UP TO 50 MPH MAY CAUSE LOOSE OBJECTS TO BLOW AROUND. SOME DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND WIRES IS POSSIBLE. FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS EXPECTED. IF CAUGHT OUTSIDE...CROUCH DOWN IN A LOW SPOT...AWAY FROM TALL OBJECTS. THIS STORM WILL PRODUCE PEA SIZE HAIL. TORRENTIAL RAINS WILL REDUCE VISIBILITY TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES. MOTORISTS MAY WANT TO DELAY TRAVEL.
Special weather statement, Jun 10, 5:04 PM EDT, 18 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 504 PM EDT THU JUN 10 2004 FLZ049-051-052-102145- HILLSBOROUGH-PASCO-POLK- 504 PM EDT THU JUN 10 2004 ...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT LAKELAND... A THUNDERSTORM...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH...WILL AFFECT WINSTON... LAKELAND...CRYSTAL LAKE AND GIBSONIA...UNTIL 545 PM EDT. GUSTY WINDS UP TO 50 MPH MAY CAUSE LOOSE OBJECTS TO BLOW AROUND. SOME DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND WIRES IS POSSIBLE. FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS EXPECTED. IF CAUGHT OUTSIDE...CROUCH DOWN IN A LOW SPOT...AWAY FROM TALL OBJECTS. HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER IS EXPECTED. TORRENTIAL RAINS WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADS...AND MINOR FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 10, 4:58 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TBW | Hardee | 32 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Florida, 2004Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2004
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.