Severe Thunderstorm Warning 3, NWS Tampa Bay, FL

WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1043 AM EST TUE FEB 24 2004

UPDATED ZONES AND COASTALS AGAIN TO INCLUDE TORNADO WATCH. ALSO
LOWERED MAX TEMPS A BIT IN THE NORTH WITH COOL POOL DEVELOPING
NORTH OF CONVECTIVE BOUNDARY.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION BELOW.

LOTS OF THINGS TO LOOK AT THIS MORNING. OVER THE NORTH...QUASI-
STATIONARY BOUNDARY IS FOCUS FOR CONVECTION...WHICH CONTINUES TO
TRAIN OVER HERNANDO COUNTY...FED BY MOIST...SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL
FLOW. BOUNDARY WILL WAFFLE AROUND A LITTLE THIS AFTERNOON...BUT
SHOULD NOT MOVE A WHOLE LOT IN EITHER DIRECTION. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN
TO CONTINUE AS SATELLITE SHOWS ACTIVITY CONTINUING TO FORM ALONG
THE BOUNDARY OVER THE EASTERN GULF AND MOVE EASTWARD.

FOR THE CENTRAL FA...LARGE BATCH OF LOW CLOUDS OVER THE GULF IS
MOVING ONSHORE AND SHOULD BE FAIRLY STUBBORN THIS AFTERNOON. MOSTLY
CLOUDY LOOKS GOOD WITH MORE BREAKS INLAND THAN NEAR THE COAST.

DOWN SOUTH...MORE SUNSHINE WILL LET TEMPS SHOOT UP INTO THE 80S
AWAY FROM THE COAST.

OVERALL...CURRENT ZONES LOOK PRETTY GOOD. NO CHANGES PLANNED.

SEVERE THREAT...HAVE HAD BRIEF PERIODS OF ROTATION WITH STORMS
MOVING ALONG BOUNDARY THIS MORNING...BUT NOTHING PARTICULARLY
ORGANIZED YET. ORGANIZATION MAY IMPROVE DURING THE DAY AS LOW LEVEL
INSTABILITY INCREASES AND FEEDS INTO THE BOUNDARY...BUT STRONGEST
UPPER LEVEL WIND FIELDS DONT GENERATE UNTIL TONIGHT.

MARINE...SCEC WORKING OUT WELL SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY...BUT WINDS
MUCH LIGHTER OVER A GOOD PART OF THE NORTHERN LEG. WILL SEPARATE
ZONES ACCORDINGLY AT 1030 AM UPDATE.

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
 SCEC BONITA BCH TO SUWANNEE RVR INCLUDING TAMPA BAY.

ALSHEIMER

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1100 AM EST TUE FEB 24 2004

.AN OLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL FLORIDA THIS MORNING
HAS PROVIDED A FOCUS FOR THUNDERSTORMS WHICH WILL REACH SEVERE LIMITS
FROM LATE MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON FOR POTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL
FLORIDA.

FLZ039-055>057-060>062-065-242100-
CHARLOTTE-DE SOTO-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-LEE-LEVY-MANATEE-SARASOTA-
1100 AM EST TUE FEB 24 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PARTS OF WEST CENTRAL AND
SOUTHWEST FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY:

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL FORM DURING THE AFTERNOON. THESE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRODUCE STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS ALONG WITH THE
POSSIBILITY OF SMALL HAIL. SOME OF THE HEAVIER STORMS MAY HAVE HEAVY
RAINFALL WITH MINOR FLOODING POSSIBLE.

@0006

FLZ042-043-048>052-242100-
CITRUS-HERNANDO-HILLSBOROUGH-PASCO-PINELLAS-POLK-SUMTER-
1100 AM EST TUE FEB 24 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PART OF WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY:

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM EST FOR THE COUNTIES
OF...CITRUS...HERNANDO...HILLSBOROUGH...PASCO...PINELLAS...POLK...
AND SUMTER.

DAMAGING WIND AND LARGE HAIL ARE THE MAIN THREATS UNTIL 400 PM.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR
POSSIBLE WATCHES OR WARNINGS.

SMALL TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE UNTIL 400 PM. TREES...POWER
LINES...AND POORLY CONSTRUCTED BUILDINGS WILL BE MOST AT RISK. STAY
TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR POSSIBLE
WATCHES OR WARNINGS.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
950 AM EST TUE FEB 24 2004

FLZ048-241530-
HERNANDO-
950 AM EST TUE FEB 24 2004

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT HERNANDO COUNTY...
A STRONG THUNDERSTORM...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH...WILL AFFECT WEEKI
WACHEE...BAYPORT AND BROOKSVILLE...UNTIL 1030 AM EST. GUSTY WINDS UP
TO 40 MPH WILL OCCUR. FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS
EXPECTED. IF CAUGHT OUTSIDE...CROUCH DOWN IN A LOW SPOT...AWAY FROM
TALL OBJECTS.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1202 PM EST TUE FEB 24 2004

FLZ049-050-241745-
PASCO-PINELLAS-
1202 PM EST TUE FEB 24 2004

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT WEST PASCO AND NORTHWEST
PINELLAS COUNTIES...

STRONG THUNDERSTORMS...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH...WILL MOVE ONSHORE AND
AFFECT AREAS NEAR HUDSON...PORT RICHEY...TARPON SPRINGS...NEW PORT
RICHEY AND JASMINE ESTATES...UNTIL 1 PM EST. GUSTY WINDS UP TO 40
MPH AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS EXPECTED. TORRENTIAL
RAINS WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADS...AND MINOR FLOODING OF
POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
115 PM EST TUE FEB 24 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0930 AM     HEAVY RAIN       WEEKI WACHEE            28.52N 82.58W
02/24/2004  500 INCH         HERNANDO           FL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            IN A FIVE HOUR TIME FRAME

1210 PM     TSTM WND GST     9 SSW BROOKSVILLE       28.43N 82.45W
02/24/2004  50 MPH           PASCO              FL   TRAINED SPOTTER

1255 PM     WATER SPOUT      2 NE FEATHER SOUND      27.93N 82.63W
02/24/2004                   PINELLAS           FL   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            NEAR THE HOWARD FRANKLIN BRIDGE ON THE PINELLAS COUNTY
            SIDE. REPORTED BY PUBLIC THROUGH 911.

&&

NOAH