Alert archive / Missouri / Tornado Watches in 2004

Tornado Watch 871

October 29, 2004Bourbon County, Cherokee County, Crawford County, Kansas; 47 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Oct 29, 2004, 5:10 PM CDT for Bourbon County, Cherokee County, Crawford County, Kansas; 47 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Oct 29, 2004, 5:10 PM CDT (22:10 UTC)
Expired
Oct 29, 2004, 10:00 PM CDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 50 counties

Bourbon County, KS, Cherokee County, KS, Crawford County, KS, Adair County, MO, Barton County, MO, Bates County, MO, Benton County, MO, Boone County, MO, Caldwell County, MO, Camden County, MO, Carroll County, MO, Cass County, MO, Cedar County, MO, Chariton County, MO, Clark County, MO, Cooper County, MO, Dade County, MO, Dallas County, MO, Daviess County, MO, Greene County, MO, Grundy County, MO, Henry County, MO, Hickory County, MO, Howard County, MO, Jackson County, MO, Jasper County, MO, Johnson County, MO, Knox County, MO, Lafayette County, MO, Lawrence County, MO, Lewis County, MO, Linn County, MO, Livingston County, MO, Macon County, MO, Mercer County, MO, Moniteau County, MO, Monroe County, MO, Morgan County, MO, Pettis County, MO, Polk County, MO, Putnam County, MO, Randolph County, MO, Ray County, MO, Saline County, MO, Schuyler County, MO, Scotland County, MO, Shelby County, MO, St. Clair County, MO, Sullivan County, MO, Vernon County, MO

The radar

The Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 55 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:09 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Warnings issued inside it

14 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 29, 5:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXDaviess, Harrison57 min
Oct 29, 5:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXMercer46 min
Oct 29, 6:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXJackson, Lafayette43 min
Oct 29, 6:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXDaviess52 min
Oct 29, 6:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXJohnson47 min
Oct 29, 6:38 PM CDTTornado WarningEAXGrundy52 min
Oct 29, 6:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFCrawford64 min
Oct 29, 6:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXPutnam31 min
Oct 29, 6:48 PM CDTTornado WarningEAXJohnson42 min
Oct 29, 7:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXPettis, Saline64 min
Oct 29, 7:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXSullivan48 min
Oct 29, 7:28 PM CDTTornado WarningEAXPettis, Saline47 min
Oct 29, 7:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXLinn38 min
Oct 29, 9:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXBoone51 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Topeka, KS (KTOP), launched 12:00Z, 10.2 hours before the alert went out and 171 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Topeka, KS at 12:00Z on 2004-10-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 861 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Topeka, KS at 12:00Z on 2004-10-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 301 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
861 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-115 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
854 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
36 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
301 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
286 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.5
Supercell composite
6.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS20 KWNS 292210
SEL1  
SPC WW 292210
KSZ000-MOZ000-300300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 871
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
510 PM CDT FRI OCT 29 2004

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       SOUTHEAST KANSAS
       NORTHERN AND WESTERN MISSOURI

EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 510 PM UNTIL 1000
PM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS ALONG AND 60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST
OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES NORTH OF KIRKSVILLE MISSOURI TO 15 MILES
EAST SOUTHEAST OF JOPLIN MISSOURI.

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA.
PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 869...WW 870...

DISCUSSION...STORMS INCREASING ALONG DRY LINE FROM NWRN MO SSWWD TO
SERN KS.  WITH VERY STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR AND MDT
INSTABILITY...STORMS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AND BECOME MORE NUMEROUS.
 PARAMETERS SUPPORT A FEW TORNADIC SUPERCELLS AS STORMS DEVELOP EWD
ACROSS MO AND INDIVIDUAL CELLS MOVE RAPIDLY NEWD UNDER THE 100 PLUS
KT JET.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24045.


...HALES

403,0912 370,0930 370,0951 403,0934

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 29, 12:39 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Anderson, Atchison, Bourbon, Chautauqua, Coffey and 18 more3 hr
Oct 29, 2:12 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGentry, Harrison, Mercer, Nodaway, Worth3 hr
Oct 29, 6:00 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBarry, Christian, McDonald, Newton, Stone5 hr
Oct 29, 6:30 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCClark, Scotland6 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2004Tornado Watches in Kansas, 2004Every tornado watch in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.