Alert archive / Ohio / Mesoscale Discussions in 2004

Mesoscale Discussion 813

May 22, 200439 counties in Ohio; 16 counties in Pennsylvania; 4 counties in West Virginia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 22, 2004, 2:25 AM EDT for 39 counties in Ohio; 16 counties in Pennsylvania; 4 counties in West Virginia. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 22, 2004, 2:25 AM EDT (06:25 UTC)
Expired
May 22, 2004, 4:30 AM EDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 59 counties

Ashland County, OH, Ashtabula County, OH, Belmont County, OH, Carroll County, OH, Columbiana County, OH, Coshocton County, OH, Crawford County, OH, Cuyahoga County, OH, Delaware County, OH, Erie County, OH, Geauga County, OH, Guernsey County, OH, Hancock County, OH, Hardin County, OH, Harrison County, OH, Holmes County, OH, Huron County, OH, Jefferson County, OH, Knox County, OH, Lake County, OH, Licking County, OH, Logan County, OH, Lorain County, OH, Mahoning County, OH, Marion County, OH, Medina County, OH, Morrow County, OH, Muskingum County, OH, Portage County, OH, Richland County, OH, Sandusky County, OH, Seneca County, OH, Stark County, OH, Summit County, OH, Trumbull County, OH, Tuscarawas County, OH, Union County, OH, Wayne County, OH, Wyandot County, OH, Allegheny County, PA, Armstrong County, PA, Beaver County, PA, Butler County, PA, Clarion County, PA, Crawford County, PA, Fayette County, PA, Forest County, PA, Greene County, PA, Indiana County, PA, Jefferson County, PA, Lawrence County, PA, Mercer County, PA, Venango County, PA, Washington County, PA, Westmoreland County, PA, Brooke County, WV, Hancock County, WV, Marshall County, WV, Ohio County, WV

The radar

The Cleveland radar (KCLE), 67 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 06:28 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 00:00Z, 6.4 hours before the alert went out and 249 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 00:00Z on 2004-05-22Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2621 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 00:00Z on 2004-05-22The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 68 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2621 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-1 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
832 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
29 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
68 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
81 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.6
Supercell composite
3.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

886 
ACUS11 KWNS 220626
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 220625 
PAZ000-WVZ000-OHZ000-220830-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0813
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0125 AM CDT SAT MAY 22 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN-ERN OH/WRN PA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAINFALL 

VALID 220625Z - 220830Z

ELEVATED STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ACROSS NRN OH/LAKE ERIE
INTO WRN PA THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.  PRIMARY THREAT WITH THIS
ACTIVITY WILL BE ISOLATED HAIL.  

WV IMAGERY INDICATED A SHORT WAVE TROUGH OVER SRN LAKE HURON AND
TRAILING SWWD TO NERN IL AT 05Z.  45 KT WLY MID-LEVEL WIND ON THE
SRN PERIPHERY OF THIS FEATURE WILL PROVIDE SUFFICIENT DEEP LAYER
SHEAR FOR ORGANIZED STORMS.  AIR MASS ALONG AND S OF THE WNW-ESE
ORIENTED OUTFLOW BOUNDARY...WHICH EXTENDED FROM CENTRAL IA ESEWD
ACROSS NRN IL/IND INTO CENTRAL OH...IS CHARACTERIZED BY MUCAPE
VALUES RANGING FROM 1500-2000 J/KG.  AREA VAD WIND DATA/RUC
OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS INDICATED A 30 KT SWLY LLJ IMPINGING ON THE
BOUNDARY FROM NRN IND TO NRN OH WHICH WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT
LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE/ASCENT...AND A MOIST/UNSTABLE INFLUX FOR
CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT OVERNIGHT.  LARGE SCALE ASCENT WITH THE SHORT
WAVE TROUGH WILL AID IN SUSTAINING A BROAD AREA OF CONVECTION...WITH
STEEP LAPSE RATES FAVORING A HAIL THREAT WITH THESE ELEVATED STORMS.
 ALTHOUGH STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ESEWD OVERNIGHT AS THE TROUGH
MOVES TOWARD THE LOWER GREAT LAKES...VEERING LLJ TO NEARLY PARALLEL
TO LINE OF STORMS WILL FAVOR BACKBUILDING ALONG THE WRN EDGE OVER
CENTRAL/ERN OH AND TRAINING OF STORMS INTO ERN OH/WRN PA FOR A HEAVY
RAIN THREAT.

..PETERS.. 05/22/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CTP...PBZ...RLX...CLE...ILN...IWX...

41498289 42028082 41767926 40827885 39877935 39788082
39788264 40438390 41158397

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 22, 2:48 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDefiance, Erie, Fulton, Hancock, Henry, Huron and 8 more57 min
May 22, 12:35 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCDefiance, Williams6 hr
May 22, 1:26 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCTrumbull94 min
May 22, 3:36 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Ashland, Auglaize, Champaign, Coshocton, Crawford and 36 more54 min
May 22, 4:20 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAllen, Ashland, Ashtabula, Auglaize, Champaign, Coshocton and 36 more8 hr
May 22, 6:29 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Ashland, Ashtabula, Auglaize, Champaign, Coshocton and 35 more91 min
May 22, 5:23 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBradford, Forest, McKean, Potter, Susquehanna, Tioga and 2 more97 min
May 22, 5:45 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCArmstrong, Beaver, Bradford, Butler, Cameron, Clarion and 16 more5 hr
May 21, 9:34 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGreenbrier, Mercer, Monroe, Raleigh, Summers86 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Ohio, 2004Mesoscale Discussions in Pennsylvania, 2004Mesoscale Discussions in West Virginia, 2004Every mesoscale discussion in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.