Alert archive / Virginia / Mesoscale Discussions in 2004

Mesoscale Discussion 583

May 7, 20045 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 7, 2004, 6:17 PM EDT for 5 states. It was in force for 118 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 7, 2004, 6:17 PM EDT (22:17 UTC)
Expired
May 7, 2004, 8:15 PM EDT
In force
118 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 53 counties

Kent County, DE, Sussex County, DE, Anne Arundel County, MD, Baltimore County, MD, Calvert County, MD, Caroline County, MD, Charles County, MD, City of Baltimore, MD, Dorchester County, MD, Frederick County, MD, Howard County, MD, Kent County, MD, Montgomery County, MD, Prince George's County, MD, Queen Anne's County, MD, Saint Mary's County, MD, Somerset County, MD, Talbot County, MD, Washington County, MD, Wicomico County, MD, Worcester County, MD, Cumberland County, NJ, Arlington County, VA, City of Alexandria, VA, City of Fairfax, VA, City of Falls Church, VA, City of Fredericksburg, VA, City of Harrisonburg, VA, City of Manassas, VA, City of Manassas Park, VA, City of Winchester, VA, Clarke County, VA, Culpeper County, VA, Fairfax County, VA, Fauquier County, VA, Frederick County, VA, Greene County, VA, King George County, VA, Loudoun County, VA, Madison County, VA, Orange County, VA, Page County, VA, Prince William County, VA, Rappahannock County, VA, Rockingham County, VA, Shenandoah County, VA, Stafford County, VA, Warren County, VA, Berkeley County, WV, Hampshire County, WV, Hardy County, WV, Jefferson County, WV, Morgan County, WV

The radar

The Sterling radar (KLWX), 34 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:20 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Washington/Dulle, VA (KIAD), launched 12:00Z, 10.3 hours before the alert went out and 36 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Washington/Dulle, VA at 12:00Z on 2004-05-07Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 28 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Washington/Dulle, VA at 12:00Z on 2004-05-07The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 184 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
28 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-314 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1566 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
33 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
184 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
167 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 7, 10:29 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCNew Castle91 min
May 7, 1:24 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCKent, New Castle96 min
May 7, 1:40 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCKent, New Castle, Sussex3 hr
May 7, 4:35 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCKent, Sussex5 hr
May 7, 11:00 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAllegany, Anne Arundel, Baltimore, Carroll, Frederick, Garrett and 5 more6 hr
May 7, 1:49 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllegany, Garrett, Washington86 min
May 7, 7:02 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCaroline, Essex, Fluvanna, Gloucester, Goochland, Hanover and 13 more2 hr
May 7, 7:20 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAccomack, Caroline, Essex, Gloucester, Hanover, King and Queen and 10 more4 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Virginia, 2004Mesoscale Discussions in Maryland, 2004Mesoscale Discussions in West Virginia, 2004Every mesoscale discussion in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.