Alert archive / Texas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2004

Mesoscale Discussion 28

January 24, 200428 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jan 24, 2004, 7:56 PM CST for 28 counties in Texas. It was in force for 94 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jan 24, 2004, 7:56 PM CST (01:56 UTC)
Expired
Jan 24, 2004, 9:30 PM CST
In force
94 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 28 counties

Angelina County, TX, Austin County, TX, Brazoria County, TX, Chambers County, TX, Colorado County, TX, Fort Bend County, TX, Galveston County, TX, Grimes County, TX, Hardin County, TX, Harris County, TX, Houston County, TX, Jackson County, TX, Jasper County, TX, Jefferson County, TX, Liberty County, TX, Madison County, TX, Matagorda County, TX, Montgomery County, TX, Newton County, TX, Polk County, TX, Sabine County, TX, San Augustine County, TX, San Jacinto County, TX, Trinity County, TX, Tyler County, TX, Walker County, TX, Waller County, TX, Wharton County, TX

The radar

The Houston radar (KHGX), 108 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:55 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Lake Charles Mun, LA (KLCH), launched 00:00Z, 1.9 hours before the alert went out and 201 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lake Charles Mun, LA at 00:00Z on 2004-01-25Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 78 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lake Charles Mun, LA at 00:00Z on 2004-01-25The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 223 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
78 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-34 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
558 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
47 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
223 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
238 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

887 
ACUS11 KWNS 250156
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 250156 
LAZ000-TXZ000-250330-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0028
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0756 PM CST SAT JAN 24 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTHEAST TX

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 1...

VALID 250156Z - 250330Z

THREAT FOR SEVERE STORMS REMAINS LIKELY ACROSS WW 1 THIS EVENING.

REGIONAL RADARS SHOW A BROKEN LINE OF STORMS EXTENDING FROM NE TX
/20 S TXK/ SWWD TO 50 NNW VCT...WITH INDIVIDUAL CELLS MOVING ENEWD
AT 45 KT.  A NARROW INSTABILITY AXIS REMAINS JUST EAST OF THESE
STORMS FROM VCT/PSX TO SERN/ERN TX WHERE SLY SURFACE WINDS ARE
MAINTAINING A MOIST ENVIRONMENT WITH SURFACE DEWPOINTS IN THE LOWER
TO MIDDLE 60S. OBJECTIVE ANALYSES INDICATE THE WEAK CAP ACROSS THIS
REGION PER LCH 00Z SOUNDING IS WEAKENING AS UVVS ASSOCIATED WITH A
NERN TX SHORT WAVE TROUGH SPREAD ACROSS SERN/ERN TX.  FURTHER
WEAKENING OF THE CAP IS EXPECTED AS ADDITIONAL LARGE SCALE ASCENT
SPREADS NEWD IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE EXIT REGION OF A 70-75 KT SWLY
MID-LEVEL JET ROUNDING THE BASE OF THE SRN PLAINS UPPER TROUGH.  

DESPITE MARGINAL INSTABILITY ACROSS SERN TX...INCREASING UVVS
SPREADING ACROSS WW 1 AND SUFFICIENT DEEP LAYER SHEAR FOR ORGANIZED
STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO SUPPORT A CONTINUED SEVERE POTENTIAL FOR AT
LEAST THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.

..PETERS.. 01/25/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...HGX...FWD...CRP...EWX...

31569577 31569341 28739453 28759684

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 24, 10:46 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAngelina, Austin, Brazoria, Chambers, Colorado, Fort Bend and 17 more89 min
Jan 25, 1:11 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCJefferson, Orange2 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2004Every mesoscale discussion in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.