Alert archive / Minnesota / Mesoscale Discussions in 2004

Mesoscale Discussion 2255

September 23, 20047 counties in Minnesota; Ashland County, Bayfield County, Douglas County, Wisconsin

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Sep 23, 2004, 3:26 PM CDT for 7 counties in Minnesota; Ashland County, Bayfield County, Douglas County, Wisconsin. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 23, 2004, 3:26 PM CDT (20:26 UTC)
Expired
Sep 23, 2004, 5:30 PM CDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center

Counties Beltrami County, MN, Carlton County, MN, Clearwater County, MN, Itasca County, MN, Koochiching County, MN, Lake County, MN, Saint Louis County, MN, Ashland County, WI, Bayfield County, WI, Douglas County, WI

The radar

The Duluth radar (KDLH), 37 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:27 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

International Fa, MN (KINL), launched 12:00Z, 8.4 hours before the alert went out and 174 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, International Fa, MN at 12:00Z on 2004-09-23Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, International Fa, MN at 12:00Z on 2004-09-23The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 34 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
579 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
47 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
34 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
70 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

992 
ACUS11 KWNS 232027
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 232026 
MIZ000-MNZ000-WIZ000-232230-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2255
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0326 PM CDT THU SEP 23 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...NERN MN/NWRN WI

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 232026Z - 232230Z

...ISOLD TSTM WIND DAMAGE POSSIBLE NEXT 1-3 HOURS ACROSS MN
ARROWHEAD AND PORTIONS NWRN WI...

LATEST ANALYSIS PLACES SFC LOW ABOUT 30 MILES EAST OF
ABERDEEN...WITH WARM FRONT EXTENDING NE TO FAR/30 W INL. AN AXIS OF
SFC INSTABILITY HAS DEVELOPED WITH OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS SUGGESTING
SBCAPE VALUES NEAR 1000-1500 J/KG. VERY STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR IS
IN PLACE WITH LATEST WOODLAKE MN PROFILER OBSERVING 50-60 KT AT 1KM
WITHIN THE LAST 2 HOURS. STRONGEST WIND GUSTS ASSOCIATED WITH THE
LEADING EDGE OF CONVECTION HAVE GENERALLY BEEN IN THE 35-40 KT
RANGE...ALTHOUGH EARLIER A 56 KT GUST OCCURRED AT ANE ON THE N SIDE
OF THE TWIN CITIES. IT APPEARS LIKELY THAT THIS NARROW BAND OF LOW
TOPPED CONVECTION WILL BE MAINTAINED FOR AT LEAST ANOTHER 2-3
HOURS...AND WILL HAVE STRONG/GUSTY TSTM WIND GUSTS POSSIBLY WITH
SOME WIND DAMAGE.

..TAYLOR.. 09/23/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MQT...DLH...FGF...

45899111 46689341 47659561 48609479 48699351 48439160
47789037 46219026 45889075

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 23, 12:06 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnoka, Benton, Blue Earth, Brown, Carver, Chippewa and 30 more114 min
Sep 23, 12:54 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBig Stone, Lac qui Parle, Lincoln, Lyon, Traverse, Yellow Medicine2 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Minnesota, 2004Mesoscale Discussions in Wisconsin, 2004Every mesoscale discussion in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.