Alert archive / Wisconsin / Mesoscale Discussions in 2004

Mesoscale Discussion 2170

September 5, 20046 counties in Minnesota; 17 counties in Wisconsin

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Sep 5, 2004, 6:30 PM CDT for 6 counties in Minnesota; 17 counties in Wisconsin. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 5, 2004, 6:30 PM CDT (23:30 UTC)
Expired
Sep 5, 2004, 8:30 PM CDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 23 counties

Fillmore County, MN, Goodhue County, MN, Houston County, MN, Olmsted County, MN, Wabasha County, MN, Winona County, MN, Buffalo County, WI, Chippewa County, WI, Clark County, WI, Dunn County, WI, Eau Claire County, WI, Jackson County, WI, Juneau County, WI, La Crosse County, WI, Marathon County, WI, Monroe County, WI, Pepin County, WI, Pierce County, WI, Saint Croix County, WI, Taylor County, WI, Trempealeau County, WI, Vernon County, WI, Wood County, WI

The radar

The La Crosse radar (KARX), 37 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:36 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), launched 12:00Z, 11.5 hours before the alert went out and 216 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2004-09-05Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 246 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2004-09-05The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 282 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
246 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-36 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
698 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
24 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
282 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
329 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

702 
ACUS11 KWNS 052333
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 052330 
WIZ000-IAZ000-MNZ000-060130-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2170
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0630 PM CDT SUN SEP 05 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...SE MN/WRN WI

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 052330Z - 060130Z

...ISOLATED SVR POTENTIAL FOR NEXT FEW HOURS BUT NO WW IS CURRENTLY
ANTICIPATED...

STORMS ARE LIFTING RAPIDLY NEWD ACROSS WRN WI AND APPEAR TO BE
MOVING EAST OF THE LOW LEVEL JET AXIS. THIS COMBINED WITH THE FACT
THAT DIURNAL INSTABILITY WILL BE DECREASING OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS
SHOULD LIMIT SEVERE THREAT. RECENT VELOCITY IMAGERY FROM THE
MINNEAPOLIS RADAR INDICATES SEVERAL ROTATIONAL COUPLETS...SO THERE
IS A THREAT FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES FOR THE NEXT 2-3 HOURS OR SO.
RECENT VWP DATA ALSO FROM MPX SHOW NEARLY 40 KT OF 0-1KM SHEAR AND
FAVORABLE HODOGRAPH STRUCTURE FOR ROTATING STORMS. THE OVERALL
THREAT APPEARS LIMITED ENOUGH HOWEVER...SO AN ADDITIONAL WATCH IS
NOT EXPECTED.

..TAYLOR.. 09/05/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...GRB...MKX...ARX...MPX...

43439120 43619267 45109280 45249000 44728961 43459001

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 5, 2:34 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnoka, Benton, Blue Earth, Brown, Carver, Cottonwood and 27 more56 min
Sep 5, 3:00 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBlue Earth, Brown, Carver, Chippewa, Cottonwood, Dakota and 25 more6 hr
Sep 5, 4:42 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAitkin, Anoka, Becker, Benton, Carlton, Cass and 19 more2 hr
Sep 5, 5:39 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBlue Earth, Brown, Carver, Cottonwood, Dakota, Faribault and 23 more96 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Wisconsin, 2004Mesoscale Discussions in Minnesota, 2004Every mesoscale discussion in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.