Alert archive / Iowa / Mesoscale Discussions in 2004

Mesoscale Discussion 2124

August 26, 20044 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Aug 26, 2004, 9:13 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 62 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 26, 2004, 9:13 PM CDT (02:13 UTC)
Expired
Aug 26, 2004, 10:15 PM CDT
In force
62 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 78 counties

Allamakee County, IA, Appanoose County, IA, Benton County, IA, Black Hawk County, IA, Bremer County, IA, Buchanan County, IA, Cedar County, IA, Clarke County, IA, Clayton County, IA, Clinton County, IA, Davis County, IA, Decatur County, IA, Delaware County, IA, Dubuque County, IA, Fayette County, IA, Grundy County, IA, Henry County, IA, Iowa County, IA, Jackson County, IA, Jasper County, IA, Jefferson County, IA, Johnson County, IA, Jones County, IA, Keokuk County, IA, Linn County, IA, Louisa County, IA, Lucas County, IA, Madison County, IA, Mahaska County, IA, Marion County, IA, Marshall County, IA, Monroe County, IA, Muscatine County, IA, Polk County, IA, Poweshiek County, IA, Ringgold County, IA, Scott County, IA, Tama County, IA, Taylor County, IA, Union County, IA, Van Buren County, IA, Wapello County, IA, Warren County, IA, Washington County, IA, Wayne County, IA, Carroll County, IL, Jo Daviess County, IL, Rock Island County, IL, Stephenson County, IL, Adair County, MO, Gentry County, MO, Grundy County, MO, Harrison County, MO, Knox County, MO, Mercer County, MO, Nodaway County, MO, Putnam County, MO, Schuyler County, MO, Scotland County, MO, Sullivan County, MO, Worth County, MO, Columbia County, WI, Crawford County, WI, Dane County, WI, Dodge County, WI, Fond du Lac County, WI, Grant County, WI, Green County, WI, Green Lake County, WI, Iowa County, WI, Jefferson County, WI, Lafayette County, WI, Marquette County, WI, Richland County, WI, Rock County, WI, Sauk County, WI, Vernon County, WI, Washington County, WI

The radar

The Des Moines radar (KDMX), 108 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:14 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Davenport, (KDVN), launched 00:00Z, 2.2 hours before the alert went out and 161 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Davenport, at 00:00Z on 2004-08-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 3587 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Davenport, at 00:00Z on 2004-08-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 132 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
3587 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-9 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
948 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
41 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
132 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
211 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
3.5
Supercell composite
18.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

977 
ACUS11 KWNS 270215
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 270213 
WIZ000-ILZ000-IAZ000-MNZ000-MOZ000-NEZ000-270315-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2124
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0913 PM CDT THU AUG 26 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN WI / CNTRL AND ERN IA AND NRN MO

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 788...

VALID 270213Z - 270315Z

A NEW WW WILL BE REQUIRED WITHIN THE HOUR TO REPLACE EXPIRING
TORNADO WATCH 788.

STRONG TO POTENTIALLY SEVERE TSTMS HAVE EVOLVED FROM MORE DISCRETE
ELEMENTS INTO CLUSTERS OVER THE PAST HOUR OR SO...LIKELY AS A RESULT
OF EXPANDING/MERGING COLD POOLS. STRENGTHENING CAP ACROSS THE
DOWNSTREAM WARM SECTOR IN COMBINATION WITH THE INCREASED OUTFLOW
DOMINANCE OF ONGOING STORMS SUGGESTS THAT DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE
HAIL WILL BECOME THE DOMINANT SEVERE WEATHER THREATS.

THOUGH AN ISOLATED TORNADO WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE GIVEN THE INCREASING
LOW-LEVEL SHEAR BEING OBSERVED ON THE DVN VWP...IT APPEARS THAT THE
STRENGTHENING CAP AND INCREASED COLD POOL PRODUCTION WILL TEND TO
DISCOURAGE TORNADIC SUPERCELL POTENTIAL.

..MEAD.. 08/27/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LOT...MKX...LSX...DVN...ARX...DMX...EAX...OAX...

40119557 43899115 43878761 40039227

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 26, 9:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBoone, Carroll, Henderson, Henry, Jo Daviess, Mercer and 5 more6 hr
Aug 26, 11:53 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBureau, Cook, DeKalb, DuPage, Grundy, Kane and 8 more97 min
Aug 27, 1:25 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBoone, Bureau, Cook, DeKalb, DeWitt, DuPage and 25 more6 hr
Aug 27, 1:49 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHenderson, Henry, Mercer, Ogle, Rock Island, Whiteside and 1 more56 min
Aug 27, 4:36 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCook, DeWitt, Ford, Fulton, Grundy, Hancock and 11 more84 min
Aug 27, 6:33 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChampaign, DeWitt, Ford, Iroquois, McLean, Mason and 4 more27 min
Aug 27, 9:24 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCalhoun, Greene, Jersey, Macoupin, Madison, Morgan and 2 more96 min
Aug 27, 9:40 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBrown, Calhoun, Cass, Greene, Jersey, Macoupin and 7 more5 hr
Aug 27, 1:07 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Bond, Brown, Calhoun, Greene, Jersey and 6 more113 min
Aug 27, 2:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCalhoun, Cass, Greene, Jersey, Morgan, Pike and 1 more6 hr
Aug 27, 3:49 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCalhoun, Cass, Greene, Jersey, Morgan, Pike and 1 more86 min
Aug 27, 4:10 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Brown, Bureau, Fulton, Hancock, Henderson and 14 more2 hr
Aug 26, 7:45 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Adams, Allamakee, Audubon, Benton, Black Hawk and 56 more90 min
Aug 27, 2:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdair, Buchanan, Caldwell, Carroll, Chariton, Clay and 17 more6 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Iowa, 2004Mesoscale Discussions in Wisconsin, 2004Mesoscale Discussions in Missouri, 2004Every mesoscale discussion in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.