Alert archive / Virginia / Mesoscale Discussions in 2004

Mesoscale Discussion 2005

August 14, 20044 counties in North Carolina; 5 counties in Virginia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Aug 14, 2004, 6:28 PM EDT for 4 counties in North Carolina; 5 counties in Virginia. It was in force for 92 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 14, 2004, 6:28 PM EDT (22:28 UTC)
Expired
Aug 14, 2004, 8:00 PM EDT
In force
92 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center

Counties Camden County, NC, Currituck County, NC, Dare County, NC, Pasquotank County, NC, City of Chesapeake, VA, City of Norfolk, VA, City of Portsmouth, VA, City of Virginia Beach, VA, Northampton County, VA

The radar

The Norfolk radar (KAKQ), 135 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:30 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Wallops Is Stn, VA (KWAL), launched 12:00Z, 10.5 hours before the alert went out and 161 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Wallops Is Stn, VA at 12:00Z on 2004-08-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 193 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Wallops Is Stn, VA at 12:00Z on 2004-08-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 14 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
193 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-23 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
541 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
44 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
14 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
59 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

989 
ACUS11 KWNS 142229
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 142228 
DEZ000-MDZ000-VAZ000-NCZ000-150000-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2005
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0528 PM CDT SAT AUG 14 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...EXTREME ERN NC AND SERN VA/COASTAL MD

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 753...

VALID 142228Z - 150000Z

TORNADO THREAT CONTINUES FOR MAINLY EXTREME ERN NC AND SERN VA.
TORNADO WATCH MAY NOT BE EXTENDED NWD AS CHARLEY CONTINUES TO WEAKEN
AND THE MAIN CONVECTIVE BAND IS EXPECTED TO SHIFT MOSTLY OFFSHORE
DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS. 

AT 22Z...RADAR INDICATES THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CHARLEY WAS
LOCATED NEAR THE NC/VA BORDER ABOUT 20 NNW ECG. THE MOTION THE PAST
COUPLE OF HOURS HAS BEEN NNEWD NEAR 30 KT...WHICH PLACES THE CENTER
NEAR ORF AT 00Z AND ABOUT 15 NE WAL AT 03Z. THE WINDS IN THE SYSTEM
CONTINUE TO SLOWLY WEAKEN...THOUGH SUFFICIENT SHEAR EXISTS FOR
TORNADOES...ESPECIALLY IN THE MOST ERN BAND THAT EXTENDS FROM NEAR
ORF TO 10 EAST ECG TO 25 W HSE. HOWEVER...AS THE CENTER CONTINUES TO
MOVE NNEWD...THE BAND ON THE EAST SIDE OF CHARLEY WILL REMAIN MOSTLY
OFF SHORE. AN ISOLATED TORNADO OR TWO WILL BE POSSIBLE NEAR THE
CENTER AS IT TRACKS JUST TO THE EAST OF THE CHESAPEAKE BAY...BUT
GIVEN THE SMALL AREA AND WITH THE GREATEST TORNADO THREAT EXPECTED
TO BE OFFSHORE...ADDITIONAL WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED ATTM.

..IMY.. 08/14/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...PHI...AKQ...MHX...

35097599 35837597 36597669 38587494 37777418

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 14, 2:05 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBladen, Brunswick, Columbus, Craven, Cumberland, Duplin and 10 more115 min
Aug 14, 3:30 AM EDTTornado WatchSPCBeaufort, Bladen, Brunswick, Carteret, Columbus, Craven and 25 more10 hr
Aug 14, 8:37 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaufort, Bertie, Bladen, Brunswick, Camden, Carteret and 40 more113 min
Aug 14, 11:30 AM EDTTornado WatchSPCBeaufort, Bertie, Brunswick, Camden, Carteret, Chowan and 21 more10 hr
Aug 14, 2:34 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaufort, Bertie, Camden, Carteret, Chowan, Craven and 14 more116 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Virginia, 2004Mesoscale Discussions in North Carolina, 2004Every mesoscale discussion in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.