Alert archive / New Mexico / Mesoscale Discussions in 2004
Mesoscale Discussion 1949
The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Aug 10, 2004, 5:41 PM MDT for 5 counties in New Mexico. It was in force for 64 min.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Aug 10, 2004, 5:41 PM MDT (23:41 UTC)
- Expired
- Aug 10, 2004, 6:45 PM MDT
- In force
- 64 min
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
Counties Chaves County, NM, Curry County, NM, De Baca County, NM, Quay County, NM, Roosevelt County, NM
The nearest sounding before it
Amarillo Airport, TX (KAMA), launched 12:00Z, 11.7 hours before the alert went out and 209 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 47 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -237 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2110 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 39 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 120 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 296 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
181 ACUS11 KWNS 102341 SWOMCD SPC MCD 102341 TXZ000-NMZ000-110045- MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1949 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0641 PM CDT TUE AUG 10 2004 AREAS AFFECTED...ERN NM CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL VALID 102341Z - 110045Z ...ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS ERN NM... THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO EXPAND IN AREAL COVERAGE OVER THE HIGH PLAINS OF ERN NM...ALONG SWD-MOVING WIND SHIFT. THIS ACTIVITY APPEARS TO BE PARTLY INFLUENCED BY UPPER SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING ACROSS ERN CO. WITH NWLY UPPER FLOW INCREASING ACROSS THIS REGION...DEEP LAYER SHEAR APPEARS SUPPORTIVE OF AT LEAST ORGANIZED MULTICELL UPDRAFTS...AS CONVECTION PROPAGATES SSEWD. THERE IS SOME CONCERN THIS ACTIVITY MAY EVOLVE INTO AN MCS AS IT SPREADS TOWARD THE TX SOUTH PLAINS. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS REGION HOWEVER AT THIS TIME A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS NOT ANTICIPATED. ..DARROW.. 08/10/2004 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... ATTN...WFO...LUB...AMA...MAF...ABQ... 34160490 35810350 35720274 34710285 33430301 33070452
Nearby
Mesoscale Discussions in New Mexico, 2004Every mesoscale discussion in 2004
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.