Alert archive / Mississippi / Mesoscale Discussions in 2004

Mesoscale Discussion 1306

June 16, 20045 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jun 16, 2004, 2:42 PM CDT for 5 states. It was in force for 3 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 16, 2004, 2:42 PM CDT (19:42 UTC)
Expired
Jun 16, 2004, 5:15 PM CDT
In force
3 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 181 counties

Autauga County, AL, Baldwin County, AL, Barbour County, AL, Bibb County, AL, Blount County, AL, Bullock County, AL, Butler County, AL, Calhoun County, AL, Chambers County, AL, Cherokee County, AL, Chilton County, AL, Choctaw County, AL, Clarke County, AL, Clay County, AL, Cleburne County, AL, Coffee County, AL, Colbert County, AL, Conecuh County, AL, Coosa County, AL, Covington County, AL, Crenshaw County, AL, Cullman County, AL, Dale County, AL, Dallas County, AL, DeKalb County, AL, Elmore County, AL, Escambia County, AL, Etowah County, AL, Fayette County, AL, Franklin County, AL, Geneva County, AL, Greene County, AL, Hale County, AL, Henry County, AL, Houston County, AL, Jefferson County, AL, Lamar County, AL, Lauderdale County, AL, Lawrence County, AL, Lee County, AL, Limestone County, AL, Lowndes County, AL, Macon County, AL, Madison County, AL, Marengo County, AL, Marion County, AL, Marshall County, AL, Mobile County, AL, Monroe County, AL, Montgomery County, AL, Morgan County, AL, Perry County, AL, Pickens County, AL, Pike County, AL, Randolph County, AL, Shelby County, AL, St. Clair County, AL, Sumter County, AL, Talladega County, AL, Tallapoosa County, AL, Tuscaloosa County, AL, Walker County, AL, Washington County, AL, Wilcox County, AL, Winston County, AL, Calhoun County, FL, Escambia County, FL, Holmes County, FL, Jackson County, FL, Okaloosa County, FL, Santa Rosa County, FL, Walton County, FL, Washington County, FL, Ascension Parish, LA, East Baton Rouge Parish, LA, East Feliciana Parish, LA, Iberville Parish, LA, Livingston Parish, LA, Orleans Parish, LA, Pointe Coupee Parish, LA, Saint Helena Parish, LA, Saint James Parish, LA, Saint John the Baptist Parish, LA, Saint Martin Parish, LA, Saint Tammany Parish, LA, Tangipahoa Parish, LA, Washington Parish, LA, West Baton Rouge Parish, LA, West Feliciana Parish, LA, Adams County, MS, Alcorn County, MS, Amite County, MS, Attala County, MS, Benton County, MS, Bolivar County, MS, Calhoun County, MS, Carroll County, MS, Chickasaw County, MS, Choctaw County, MS, Claiborne County, MS, Clarke County, MS, Clay County, MS, Coahoma County, MS, Copiah County, MS, Covington County, MS, DeSoto County, MS, Forrest County, MS, Franklin County, MS, George County, MS, Greene County, MS, Grenada County, MS, Hancock County, MS, Harrison County, MS, Hinds County, MS, Holmes County, MS, Humphreys County, MS, Issaquena County, MS, Itawamba County, MS, Jackson County, MS, Jasper County, MS, Jefferson County, MS, Jefferson Davis County, MS, Jones County, MS, Kemper County, MS, Lafayette County, MS, Lamar County, MS, Lauderdale County, MS, Lawrence County, MS, Leake County, MS, Lee County, MS, Leflore County, MS, Lincoln County, MS, Lowndes County, MS, Madison County, MS, Marion County, MS, Marshall County, MS, Monroe County, MS, Montgomery County, MS, Neshoba County, MS, Newton County, MS, Noxubee County, MS, Oktibbeha County, MS, Panola County, MS, Pearl River County, MS, Perry County, MS, Pike County, MS, Pontotoc County, MS, Prentiss County, MS, Quitman County, MS, Rankin County, MS, Scott County, MS, Sharkey County, MS, Simpson County, MS, Smith County, MS, Stone County, MS, Sunflower County, MS, Tallahatchie County, MS, Tate County, MS, Tippah County, MS, Tishomingo County, MS, Tunica County, MS, Union County, MS, Walthall County, MS, Warren County, MS, Washington County, MS, Wayne County, MS, Webster County, MS, Wilkinson County, MS, Winston County, MS, Yalobusha County, MS, Yazoo County, MS, Chester County, TN, Fayette County, TN, Giles County, TN, Hardeman County, TN, Hardin County, TN, Lawrence County, TN, Lincoln County, TN, McNairy County, TN, Shelby County, TN, Wayne County, TN

The radar

The Mobile radar (KMOB), 91 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:41 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 12:00Z, 7.7 hours before the alert went out and 184 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Jackson, MS at 12:00Z on 2004-06-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1127 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Jackson, MS at 12:00Z on 2004-06-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 108 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1127 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-5 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
576 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
20 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
108 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
114 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
2.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

529 
ACUS11 KWNS 161943
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 161942 
FLZ000-GAZ000-ALZ000-TNZ000-MSZ000-LAZ000-ARZ000-162215-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1306
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0242 PM CDT WED JUN 16 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...MS...AL...SWRN TN...SERN LA...WRN FL PANHANDLE

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 161942Z - 162215Z

ISOLATED SEVERE DOWNBURSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. 
WW NOT ANTICIPATED.

MLCAPES NOW EXCEEDING 2000 J/KG WITHIN VERY MOIST AIR MASS
CHARACTERIZED BY MID 70S F DEWPOINTS.  UPPER TROUGH AXIS TO WEST IS
HELPING TO PRODUCE 20-30 KT UNIDIRECTIONAL SLY FLOW ABOVE 850
MB...WHICH IS CAUSING STORMS TO MOVE NWD WITH SPEEDS OF 20-30 KTS. 
CONTINUED HEATING / DESTABILIZATION ALONG WITH GRADUAL INCREASE IN
STORM DEPTH / INTENSITIES WILL LIKELY ALLOW FOR ISOLATED SVR
DOWNBURSTS.  POOR MID AND UPPER LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL MINIMIZE HAIL
THREAT WITH ONLY VERY SMALL HAIL EXPECTED.

..JEWELL.. 06/16/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...TAE...OHX...BMX...HUN...MOB...MEG...JAN...LIX...LCH...

30288493 30208582 30418704 30258791 30678802 30258821
30348878 30208934 30258966 30018977 29889057 30119175
31029153 31989120 33709093 35169026 35578838 35438670
34238551 31018500

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 16, 10:24 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAcadia, Ascension, Avoyelles, Caldwell, Catahoula, Concordia and 25 more96 min
Jun 16, 9:15 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Carroll, Cheatham, Chester, Crockett, Davidson and 23 more90 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Mississippi, 2004Mesoscale Discussions in Alabama, 2004Mesoscale Discussions in Louisiana, 2004Every mesoscale discussion in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.