Alert archive / Texas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2004

Mesoscale Discussion 1102

June 5, 200420 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jun 5, 2004, 3:28 PM CDT for 20 counties in Texas. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 5, 2004, 3:28 PM CDT (20:28 UTC)
Expired
Jun 5, 2004, 5:30 PM CDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center

Counties Borden County, TX, Coke County, TX, Crosby County, TX, Dawson County, TX, Dickens County, TX, Fisher County, TX, Garza County, TX, Glasscock County, TX, Howard County, TX, Irion County, TX, Kent County, TX, King County, TX, Lubbock County, TX, Lynn County, TX, Mitchell County, TX, Nolan County, TX, Reagan County, TX, Scurry County, TX, Sterling County, TX, Stonewall County, TX

The radar

The Lubbock radar (KLBB), 130 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:34 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 12:00Z, 8.5 hours before the alert went out and 140 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Midland Regional, TX at 12:00Z on 2004-06-05Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 601 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Midland Regional, TX at 12:00Z on 2004-06-05The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 302 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
601 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-329 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
931 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
26 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
302 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
353 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

117 
ACUS11 KWNS 052028
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 052028 
TXZ000-052230-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1102
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0328 PM CDT SAT JUN 05 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...W TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 052028Z - 052230Z

AREA OF W TX BETWEEN LUBBOCK AND MIDLAND IS BEING MONITORED FOR
THUNDERSTORM INITIATION. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND WILL BE THE 
MAIN THREATS ONCE STORMS DEVELOP. A WW WILL BE NEEDED ONCE
INITIATION BECOMES MORE CERTAIN.

VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS A N-S LINE OF CUMULUS DEVELOPING BETWEEN
LUBBOCK AND MIDLAND ON A SUBTLE BOUNDARY. TRENDS IN SURFACE DATA
SHOW DEWPOINTS DROPPING INTO THE 40S AND FLOW VEERING TO WLY AS
STRONG SURFACE HEATING ENCOURAGES DEEP MIXING ALONG THE NM/TX
BORDER. THIS SHOULD SUPPORT SHARPENING OF THE PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED
BOUNDARY AS IT TAKES ON DRYLINE CHARACTERISTICS. THE ATMOSPHERE
REMAINS QUITE UNSTABLE ALONG AND E OF THIS BOUNDARY WITH MLCAPE
AROUND 2500 J/KG. VERTICAL WIND PROFILES EXHIBIT SELY LOW LEVEL FLOW
VEERING TO NWLY AT 6 KM WITH DEEP SHEAR GENERALLY LIMITED TO AOB 30
KT DUE TO WEAK MID LEVEL FLOW. WITH VERTICAL SHEAR AT LEAST
MARGINALLY FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS...THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT
WOULD SUPPORT A THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND. CONVERGENCE
ALONG THE SHARPENING BOUNDARY COULD SUPPORT CONVECTIVE INITIATION
WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO AS THE CAP CONTINUES TO WEAKEN.

..DIAL.. 06/05/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...SJT...LUB...MAF...

33910022 32660010 31620061 31190105 31330185 32990198
33980203

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 4, 7:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAnderson, Bell, Bosque, Brown, Callahan, Coleman and 22 more4 hr
Jun 4, 8:04 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHansford, Hutchinson, Lipscomb, Ochiltree, Roberts116 min
Jun 4, 9:35 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBell, Burnet, Coryell, Lampasas, Williamson115 min
Jun 4, 11:43 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBorden, Brown, Callahan, Coke, Coleman, Concho and 18 more2 hr
Jun 5, 11:45 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChambers, Hardin, Harris, Jasper, Jefferson, Liberty and 3 more3 hr
Jun 5, 2:34 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArmstrong, Briscoe, Carson, Castro, Collingsworth, Dallam and 19 more116 min
Jun 5, 3:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCArmstrong, Bailey, Briscoe, Carson, Castro, Cochran and 17 more6 hr
Jun 5, 4:14 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtascosa, Bandera, Bexar, Brazoria, Caldwell, Calhoun and 17 more2 hr
Jun 5, 4:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCGray, Hemphill, Lipscomb, Wheeler6 hr
Jun 5, 5:00 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Bowie, Camp, Cass, Cherokee, Delta and 27 more60 min
Jun 5, 5:48 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDallam, Hansford, Hartley, Lipscomb, Moore, Ochiltree and 1 more87 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2004Every mesoscale discussion in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.