Alert archive / Mississippi / Mesoscale Discussions in 2004

Mesoscale Discussion 1049

June 2, 200422 parishes in Louisiana; 25 counties in Mississippi

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jun 2, 2004, 5:45 AM CDT for 22 parishes in Louisiana; 25 counties in Mississippi. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 2, 2004, 5:45 AM CDT (10:45 UTC)
Expired
Jun 2, 2004, 7:45 AM CDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 47 counties

Ascension Parish, LA, Catahoula Parish, LA, Concordia Parish, LA, East Baton Rouge Parish, LA, East Feliciana Parish, LA, Franklin Parish, LA, Iberville Parish, LA, Livingston Parish, LA, Madison Parish, LA, Orleans Parish, LA, Pointe Coupee Parish, LA, Richland Parish, LA, Saint Helena Parish, LA, Saint James Parish, LA, Saint John the Baptist Parish, LA, Saint Martin Parish, LA, Saint Tammany Parish, LA, Tangipahoa Parish, LA, Tensas Parish, LA, Washington Parish, LA, West Baton Rouge Parish, LA, West Feliciana Parish, LA, Adams County, MS, Amite County, MS, Claiborne County, MS, Copiah County, MS, Covington County, MS, Forrest County, MS, Franklin County, MS, Hancock County, MS, Hinds County, MS, Jefferson County, MS, Jefferson Davis County, MS, Lamar County, MS, Lawrence County, MS, Lincoln County, MS, Madison County, MS, Marion County, MS, Pearl River County, MS, Pike County, MS, Rankin County, MS, Scott County, MS, Simpson County, MS, Smith County, MS, Walthall County, MS, Warren County, MS, Wilkinson County, MS

The nearest sounding before it

Slidell Radar S, LA (KSIL), launched 00:00Z, 10.8 hours before the alert went out and 107 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Slidell Radar S, LA at 00:00Z on 2004-06-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1259 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Slidell Radar S, LA at 00:00Z on 2004-06-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 62 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1259 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-55 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
923 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
38 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
62 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
111 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.4
Supercell composite
3.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

886 
ACUS11 KWNS 021046
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 021045 
MSZ000-LAZ000-021245-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1049
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0545 AM CDT WED JUN 02 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN LA/SRN MS

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 376...

VALID 021045Z - 021245Z

LARGE BOWED SQUALL LINE WAS MOVING EAST ACROSS SERN LA AND SRN MS AT
ABOUT 40KT. CONVECTION HAS RECENTLY INTENSIFIED ALONG THE OUTFLOW
MOVING INTO SERN LA AND AIRMASS IN THIS AREA REMAINS VERY MOIST AND
UNSTABLE. FARTHER NORTH...ACROSS MS...AIRMASS WAS A SLIGHTLY MORE
STABLE. HOWEVER...STRONG MID LEVEL REAR INFLOW JET OF 50-60KT WAS
NOTED ON WINNFIELD PROFILER AND WAS MOVING INTO THIS REGION. PRIMARY
THREAT ALONG THE LINE WILL REMAIN DAMAGING WINDS. AT CURRENT
MOTION...STORMS SHOULD REACH ERN EDGE OF SVR TSTM WATCH 376 SHORTLY
AFTER 12Z. INTENSITY TRENDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED AND A NEW
WATCH MAY BE NEEDED IF STORM ORGANIZATION AND STRENGTH IS
MAINTAINED.

..CARBIN.. 06/02/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MOB...JAN...LIX...LCH...SHV...

29998915 30009185 32719194 32718921

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 1, 9:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCaddo6 hr
Jun 1, 10:45 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Avoyelles, Bienville, Bossier, Caddo, Caldwell and 16 more60 min
Jun 1, 11:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAcadia, Allen, Avoyelles, Beauregard, Bienville, Caldwell and 12 more5 hr
Jun 2, 1:34 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAcadia, Allen, Avoyelles, Beauregard, Bienville, Caddo and 14 more116 min
Jun 2, 3:30 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAscension, Catahoula, Concordia, East Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Franklin and 16 more5 hr
Jun 2, 5:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBossier, Caddo, Claiborne, Webster6 hr
Jun 2, 7:41 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClarke, George, Greene, Harrison, Jackson, Lauderdale and 3 more94 min
Jun 2, 5:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlcorn, Benton, DeSoto, Lafayette, Marshall, Panola and 6 more5 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Mississippi, 2004Mesoscale Discussions in Louisiana, 2004Every mesoscale discussion in 2004

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.