Severe Thunderstorm Warning 66, NWS San Angelo, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
734 PM CDT SUN APR 25 2004

.UPDATE...
DRYLINE EXTENDED FROM EAST OF LUBBOCK SOUTHWARD ALONG THE PECOS
RIVER IN WESTERN CROCKETT COUNTY THIS AFTERNOON. COLD FRONT/OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY WAS NORTHWEST OF LUBBOCK...MOVING QUICKLY SOUTHEAST. ONE MCS
WAS MOVING SOUTHEAST INTO KING...KNOX...AND BAYLOR COUNTIES. THIS
MAY CLIP HASKELL AND THROCKMORTON COUNTIES BEGINNING AROUND 9 PM.
SECOND MCS WAS SOUTHEAST OF AMARILLO...FOLLOWING THE PATH OF THE
PREVIOUS MCS.

THIRD GROUP OF THUNDERSTORMS WAS JUST SOUTH OF CWA...FROM JUNO TO
ROCKSPRINGS. SOME OF THESE STORMS MAY MOVE INTO AREAS SOUTH OF
INTERSTATE 10...AND MASON COUNTY THIS EVENING. LOOKS LIKE THE BEST
CHANCE WILL BE IN SOUTHERN KIMBLE COUNTY...INCLUDING TELEGRAPH...AND
PERHAPS JUNCTION OR SEGOVIA. ONLY ZONE CHANGE WAS TO CHANGE RAIN
CHANCES TO INCLUDE THE EVENING...AND TO INCREASE HASKELL AND
THROCKMORTON COUNTIES POPS SLIGHTLY.

BEST RAIN CHANCES FOR MOST OF THE CWA WILL BE ALONG COLD FRONT...AS
IT PUSHES SOUTH. THIS WILL BE MAINLY AFTER MIDNIGHT FOR THE CONCHO
VALLEY AND HEARTLAND.

04

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
SHORTWAVE DROPPING OUT OF COLORADO INTO NORTHERN NEW MEXICO.
MENTIONED YESTERDAY THAT THE GUIDANCE WAS BEGINNING TO SHOW THIS
FEATURE...WHICH WAS MAINLY FROM THE ETA. THE GFS IS NOW SHOWING
THIS FEATURE MOVING ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT. ACTIVITY WILL BEGIN TO
AFFECT THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA THIS EVENING. WITH
THE CLEAR SKIES THAT WE HAVE HAD TODAY ACROSS THE WESTERN PORTIONS
OF THE AREA AND COOL TEMPERATURES ALOFT RAPID DESTABILIZATION WITH
CAPES AROUND 1500 J/KG SHOULD TAKE PLACE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
RESULTING IN THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MAINLY THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN
PORTIONS OF THE BIG COUNTRY. SOME OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS COULD BE
QUITE STRONG AND WOULD NOT RULE OUT A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OR TWO IN
THIS AREA. AS THE WAVE CONTINUES TO TRANSLATE TO THE EAST
SOUTHEAST...WILL SEE SOME PRECIPITATION LINGER INTO THE OVERNIGHT...
MAINLY ACROSS THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA. INTENSITY OF
ANY REMAINING THUNDERSTORMS WILL WEAKEN AS WELL. ANTICIPATE
EVERYTHING TO BE OUT OF THE AREA BY 6 OR 7 AM MONDAY MORNING. WEAK
COOL FRONT MOVES THROUGH AS WELL IN THE WAKE OF THE SYSTEM COOLING
TOMORROW HIGHS A FEW DEGREES RAIN CHANCES GO NEAR ZERO AFTER TONIGHT
AND TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO MODERATE A LITTLE BY TUESDAY AS UPPER-
FLOW BECOMES MORE ZONAL.

INTO THURSDAY AS GFS CONTINUES TO SHOW WAVE WORKING ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA IN THE ZONAL FLOW. WILL KEEP
THE HIGHEST POPS ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST PORTIONS WHERE BETTER
MOISTURE WILL BE LOCATED. THEN QUICKLY ON THE HEELS OF THAT THE
MAIN UPPER-LOW THAT WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHWEST BY FRIDAY MORNING
MAY BEGIN TO SEND PIECES OF SHORTWAVE ENERGY IN THIS DIRECTION THAT
MAY HELP TO ACTIVATE SOME DRYLINE ACTIVITY UNTIL THE MAIN SYSTEM
GETS CLOSER ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY THAT

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

04

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
200 PM CDT SUN APR 25 2004

TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-140-
154-155-168>170-261800-
BROWN TX-CALLAHAN TX-COKE TX-COLEMAN TX-CONCHO TX-CROCKETT TX-
FISHER TX-HASKELL TX-IRION TX-JONES TX-KIMBLE TX-MASON TX-
MCCULLOCH TX-MENARD TX-NOLAN TX-RUNNELS TX-SAN SABA TX-SCHLEICHER TX-
SHACKELFORD TX-STERLING TX-SUTTON TX-TAYLOR TX-THROCKMORTON TX-
TOM GREEN TX-
517 AM CDT SUN APR 25 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...

WHILE MOST OF TE RAIN HAS MOVED EAST...AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE
MOVING SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON MAY COMBINE WITH
AFTERNOON HEATING AND THE INSTABILITY TO PRODUCE A FEW THUNDERSTORMS
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS. ALTHOUGH
WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED...A FEW STORMS MAY BRIEFLY
REACH SEVERE LEVELS. LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREAT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>