Severe Thunderstorm Warning 46, NWS San Angelo, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
108 PM CDT FRI APR 23 2004

.SHORT TERM...BRIEF AS WILL BE GOING INTO SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS
SHORTLY WITH DRYLINE STORMS FIRING UP ALREADY. BIGGEST THREAT FOR
SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE FROM SAN ANGELO NORTHEAST TO BAIRD. AS THE
COLD FRONT PROGRESSES TO THE SOUTH...ANTICIPATE THAT THE ACTIVITY
WILL BECOME MORE OF A HEAVY RAIN EVENT IN THE LATE EVENING INTO THE
OVERNIGHT. STILL ANTICIPATE POST FRONTAL ACTIVITY TO CONTINUE
THROUGH TOMORROW INTO EARLY TOMORROW NIGHT. STILL WILL BE FAIRLY
COOL TOMORROW WITH CLOUDS AND PRECIP. ALREADY UNDER A TORNADO WATCH
TIL 6 PM...AND WILL CONTINUE TO WATCH THROUGH THE EVENING. THINKING
NOW IS THAT THE BEST SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL BE FROM 3 TO 9 PM.

&&

.LONG TERM...
DID NOT MAKE MUCH CHANGE TO THE EXTENDED FORECAST TODAY. DID LOWER
POPS FOR MUCH OF THE PERIOD IN THE EXTENDED AND IT DID RECONFIGURE
THE MENTIONABLE POPS A LITTLE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ABILENE     58  68  56  73 /  80  70  40   0
SAN ANGELO  60  70  57  75 /  80  70  40  10
JUNCTION    65  73  60  74 /  80  80  50  20

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...TORNADO WATCH UNTIL 6 PM FOR ALL
BUT THE SOUTHERN SIX COUNTIES.
.

&&

27/BRAZZELL

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
105 PM CDT FRI APR 23 2004

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE LIKELY.
TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-140-154-155-
241800-
BROWN TX-CALLAHAN TX-COKE TX-COLEMAN TX-CONCHO TX-FISHER TX-
HASKELL TX-IRION TX-JONES TX-MCCULLOCH TX-NOLAN TX-RUNNELS TX-
SAN SABA TX-SHACKELFORD TX-STERLING TX-TAYLOR TX-THROCKMORTON TX-
TOM GREEN TX-
105 PM CDT FRI APR 23 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...
A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM.
THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS NORTH OF A LINE FROM
SAN ANGELO TO BROWNWOOD THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING. AS A
SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT WILL INTERACTS WITH AN ACTIVE
DRYLINE TO PRODUCE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF VERY LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS TO 70 MPH...AND A FEW TORNADOES.

HAZARDOUS IS ANTICIPATED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS LIKELY THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

TXZ076>078-168>170-241800-
CROCKETT TX-KIMBLE TX-MASON TX-MENARD TX-SCHLEICHER TX-SUTTON TX-
105 PM CDT FRI APR 23 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. AS A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT INTERACTS WITH AN
ACTIVE DRYLINE TO PRODUCE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF VERY LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS TO 70 MPH.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS POSSIBILE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS POSSIBLE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.